February 18, 2012

The Four by Four column: A quartet of English football selections

Four By Four RSS / / 18 February 2012 / Leave a Comment

Will Norwich boss Paul Lambert field a full-strength side against Leicester?

Will Norwich boss Paul Lambert field a full-strength side against Leicester?

Back Norwich @ [1.89]; Back Over 2.5 Goals in Leeds v Doncaster @ [1.82]; Back Bournemouth @ [2.42]; Lay Southend @ [1.74]; The multiple pays approximately [20.0]

Every weekend, four of betting.betfair's football writers will contribute one selection each from the top four leagues in English football, giving you, the readers, an exciting Multiple option.


Norwich v Leicester, KO: Saturday 15:00, Match Odds: Norwich [1.89], Leicester [4.6], The Draw [3.8]

Decades ago, perhaps even just a few years ago even, there would be no question whatsoever over the strength of line-up a manager would field for a FA Cup tie; he would simply select the strongest side available to him. Unfortunately those days are gone and you can never be certain how a newly-promoted Premier League side, desperately trying to get to that magical 42 point mark as quickly as possible, will line-up when it comes to a cup competition.

Norwich are sitting pretty in the Premier League, and with their next league game not until eight days time, boss Paul Lambert should field a full strength side for the visit of Leicester. Should being the operative word. And if they are then [1.89] about a home victory looks a decent wager. I won't go into stats or recent results, put simply, at full-strength Norwich are the better outfit.

Mike Norman's selection: Back Norwich @ [1.89]


Leeds v Doncaster, KO: Saturday 15:00, Match Odds: Leeds [1.65], Doncaster [6.0], The Draw [4.1]

It doesn't get much worse than losing to struggling Coventry: the midweek defeat certainly didn't help Neil Redfearn's chances of landing the job at Leeds on a permanent basis. One thing the Whites have done during their current indifferent run is keep scoring: they have netted at least once in each of their last eight league games, and have only failed to score five times all season. Their home games average exactly three goals each, and that is likely to continue when they host the team with the worst defensive away record in the division.

Doncaster concede at a rate of 2.2 goals per game on the road, and now find themselves bottom of the table. A run of six defeats in seven away games suggests they will struggle to achieve much at Elland Road. A whopping 73% of Rovers' away games have delivered 2.5 goals or more - you've got to fancy that to be extended this weekend.

Andrew French's selection: Back Over 2.5 Goals @ [1.82]


Rochdale v Bournemouth, KO: Saturday 15:00, Match Odds: Rochdale [3.4], Bournemouth [2.42], The Draw [3.4]

Bournemouth's play-off hopes were dented on Tuesday at Leyton Orient, but this looks a good opportunity to make inroads into fellow promotion hopefuls Stevenage and Carlisle United.

I was encouraged by several aspects of their play in midweek, despite losing 2-1. They passed the ball better than Orient, they had more possession and created enough chances to win the game. The only downside was the lack of a clinical edge up front, surprising considering their costly January window signing Matt Tubbs was in the line-up.

The Cherries were involved in a dour affair at Hartlepool last Saturday, drawing 0-0. But their away from in December was excellent, winning two and drawing one. Their squad now looks much stronger with the additions of Tubbs and Donal McDermott, and they have a classier edge to their team than Rochdale. The latter is an extremely gifted player with an eye for a pass.

The Dale gained their first win under new boss John Coleman at the end of January, beating Bury 3-0. Coleman described it as like watching Brazil or Inter Milan, and was mystified at their rock-bottom league position. However, if anyone is going to play like Brazil this weekend, it should be Bournemouth.

Alan Dudman's selection: Back Bournemouth @ [2.42]


Southend v Crewe, KO: Saturday 15:00, Match Odds: Southend [1.75], Crewe [5.3], The Draw [4.0]

Could Southend's win at Gillingham last Monday be enough to restore their confidence and winning ways permanently after just one point in four league games before that? Not for me. Andy Hessenthaler's side have only three points, from a win over Aldershot, to show for their last six league games. The jury is out. Therefore Paul Sturrock's Southend are still on my "lay" list, a tactic that has paid dividends on the last two Saturdays. This time my assessment is because Crewe have five wins from seven games. Nick Powell and Greg Pearson are just two players to watch out for.

Ian Lamont's selection: Lay Southend @ [1.76]


Recommended Multiple

Back Norwich @ [1.89]; Back Over 2.5 Goals in Leeds v Doncaster @ [1.82]; Back Bournemouth @ [2.42]; Lay Southend @ [1.74]; The multiple pays approximately [20.0]

Every weekend, four of betting.betfair's football writers will contribute one selection each from the top four leagues in English football, giving you, the readers, an exciting Multiple option....

Every weekend, four of betting.betfair's football writers will contribute one selection each from the top four leagues in English football, giving you, the readers, an exciting Multiple option....

Every weekend, four of betting.betfair's football writers will contribute one selection each from the top four leagues in English football, giving you, the readers, an exciting Multiple option....


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