Showing posts with label Juvenile. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Juvenile. Show all posts

March 18, 2013

Sky Dogs Tips: Warhawk value in Draper Juvenile shootout

"Barrie Draper has a mightily strong hand but while Ballymac Eske will be the obvious choice of his two, kennelmate Farloe Warhawk should not be under-estimated, given his far superior record over the CD and the likelihood that he will lead"

Three months after the Oaks final, greyhound racing returns to Sky Sports for an intriguing Juvenile shoot-out which is sure to have a major bearing on the Derby, supported by a riveting Springbok final as the novice hurdlers do battle. Darrell Williams is across the best of the action.

21:19 Juvenile

T1 Alien Planet
Exceptionally fast win in the puppy race on Derby final night shows what he is capable of. Unraced since November and mixed record after a long break. Connections unsure about the trap one draw (two from five record). Winner of only one of his last nine races.

T2 Teejays Bluehawk
Will have to do it the hard way judged on previous trial form (yet to race at this track). Beaten at odds-on on his seasonal return at Hove and has won only one race in his last seven outings.

T3 Ballymac Eske
Derby favourite but yet to win in three starts at Wimbledon although only just touched off by Farloe Warhawk in a riveting Puppy Derby final. Fast trial last week but unraced since December. Would prove hard to beat if poaching an early advantage.

T4 Farloe Warhawk
Ran unbeaten in the Puppy Derby here last summer and has won 12 of his last 14 races. Capable of very fast starts here as confirmed in last week's trial although overall time suggested he needed it. Without a race for four months but can go well fresh. Chance depends on getting clear of his kennelmate.

T5 Jaytee Hellcat
Still to see what he is truly capable of but a fast winner here in November and confirmed that run with an impressive trial last week. Likely to enjoy plenty of racing room and chance is better than his odds might suggest.

T6 Lenson Champ
Has a fitness edge on most of his rivals but even a 'flyer' is highly unlikely to prove good enough judged on his previous moderate Wimbledon record.

Verdict:
Barrie Draper has a mightily strong hand but while Ballymac Eske will be the obvious choice of his two, kennelmate Farloe Warhawk should not be under-estimated, despite obvious signs of needing his trial last week. The two fought out a tremendous buckle in the Puppy Derby - where Eske had actually led - but given Warhawk's far superior record over the CD and the likelihood that he will lead he offers slightly more value over his rival and earns the slimmest of votes. Value seekers could do worse than include Jaytee Hellcat, whose trial last week confirmed his ability and he could surprise granted a likely clear run.

19:34 Sprint
King Scotty would be fast enough to win the 'A' division on his best form here and rates the night's best bet in a far from strong line-up. Comeragh King is at least winning races and rates best of the rest.

19:49 Ladies
A belter of a contest but Oaks third Forest Mollie (yet to win in four here) may struggle to hold in-form Lughill Valerie early on. Bridge Ruth is improving with each race here and is preferred to fast starting Jaytee Cuba who has Britania Joan to clear.

20:04 Marathon
Aero Rebel will be popular back in marathon company as will Black Lamora, who looks well drawn as the lone wide tag, but Buglys Billie has been in excellent form this season and can make it six wins in her last nine races.

20:19 Springbok final
Rockview Royal defends the competition's only unbeaten record and has won three of his five races here, but his chance depends on leading early, which may prove difficult alongside Westmead Meteor, who went fastest in the semi-finals. Both jump well, but Ricky Holloway's runner is also stronger and could prove hard to handle even if only handy early on. Lenson Johnny beat the selection in the first round but may struggle to clear the inside pace of Druids Abouttime and Durrow Lark.

20:34 Sprint
Aero Joseph makes some appeal after his good trial and fast Romford win last month but Lil Risky has a good record here and is the logical choice.  Ballymac Jones has won his last five races from trap one but his trial was poor.

20:49 Standard
A great match-up between Bubbly Phoenix and Loughteen Blanco but one which Blanco is expected to win given his likely lead ability claims and excellent current form. Derby semi-finalist Phoenix, beaten on his comeback, is faster at his best but is also far more effective from trap six.

21:04 Stayers
Leger winner Blonde Reagan has an excellent draw outside five railers and should make it four from six over CD. Bubbly Swallow is capable of fast times here but may struggle to enjoy a clear run from trap five. Droopys Xavier (third in the Leger) is still to win here from five tries and may not clear middle favouring Ballymac Pen.

Recommended Bets
King Scotty 19:34
Loughteen Blanco 20:49
Westmead Meteor 20:19
Farloe Warhawk 21:19

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February 28, 2012

Sky Dogs Tips: Bert best in Juvenile and it's Mel for the Bok

Sky Previews RSS / / 28 February 2012 / Leave a Comment

Will we see Wimbledon winners?

Will we see Wimbledon winners?

"With the benefit of having already won a competition this year, Coolavanny Bert, who still appears open to further improvement looks the one to beat, judged on his recent trials"

Sky Sports' live televised Wimbledon card tonight is oozing with treats but don't miss Coolavanny Bert in the Racing Post Juvenile, part of a double header with the Springbok, where Westmead Melanie is set to take all the beating, says Darrell Williams.

21:45 Juvenile

T1 Mill Maximus

Northern Puppy Derby winner in October but unraced since and recent trials plus a moderate record after a break suggest he has a bit to find in such exalted company

T2 Coolavanny Bert
Rapidly improving youngster (the only pup in the field) who completely dominated the Henlow Derby (won the final by five lengths). Could have a fitness edge, further backed up by two smart trials.

T3 Eden Star
Winner of three major prizes last season including the Puppy Derby over CD and a winner of 10/13 starts. Unraced since winning the Laurels in November, but has an excellent record fresh

T4 Farloe Iceman
Trial spin last week offers some encouragement but has won only one of his last five races and has hardly been dealt the draw he would have liked

T5 Silverview Perky
Hugely impressive Oaks winner (and was only four spots off the clock in an earlier round). Hasn't run since (December), but has a good record first time back and drawn to make a major impact

T6 Go Go Sonic
Another with a layoff to overcome (unraced since December) and previous record suggests he will improve for the effort.

Verdict
With every single runner a Category One winner, this could hardly be a stronger renewal. However with the benefit of having already won a competition this year, Coolavanny Bert, who still appears open to further improvement looks the one to beat, judged on his recent trials. Eden Star, who has an excellent record fresh, is an obvious danger, but value seekers are directed towards Silverview Perky, who appears well drawn, and could hardly have been more impressive during the Oaks.


19:40 Standard Div 2
All eyes will be on Irish Derby finalist Razldazl Bugatti, but he's unraced since that final last September and the value may lie in veteran Yahoo Jamie who appears ideally berthed in trap one.

20:00 Sprint
Lil Risky is unbeaten in two sprints here and bounced back to form at Doncaster on Friday, but Razldazl Rioga, while not a sprinter by trade, could hardly have been better prepared for his return and can make all.

20:15 Ladies
Bansha Mo, beaten only once in six starts, is a rare runner here for Harry Crapper and the hint should be taken after a rapid trial last week. In form Ministry Millie is untried here.

20:35 Springbok
Westmead Melanie will take all the beating in her bid for a rare victory for the fairer sex in the novice hurdlers crown. Set to lead up the inside runners, last year's Oaks semi-finalist proved her mettle with an impressive strong running success in the heats to take her tally to four out of four over timber (all over the CD). Royal Premium showed marked improvement when getting beaten only a head by the selection in the semi-final, and with his proven stamina (he was a regular over six bends on the flat), he looks the logical forecast link.

20:50 Marathon
Lottes Girl is unbeaten in two starts over the CD, and last year's Dorando marathon winner can take advantage of a fitness edge to beat reigning Marathon champion Capoley Ash, who is unraced this year. Powerfast Pigeon, ran well here in December, and rates the chief threat.

21:10 Stayers
Undoubtedly the best six bend race of the year. In-form Express Trend was an Oaks semi-finalist last year, while dual big race winner Lonely Boy won here in the Betfair Trainers Championship last year. But for value try Skywalkershearer, who saves his best for Wimbledon and is five from six over CD.

21:25 Standard Div 1
Razldazl Jayfkay can start his second campaign for a Derby win by beating old rival Boher Paddy. Dolores Ruth's charge was all the rage for last year's 'big one' before exiting in the Quarter-final but looks spot on judged by his trials and is far better drawn than his rival.

Recommended Bets
Razldazl Jayfkay 21:25
Bansha Mo 20:15
Westmead Melanie 20:35
Coolvanny Bert 21:45
Lottes Girl 20:50
Skywalkershearer 21:10

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March 1, 2011

Sky Dogs: Paddy to make it a perfect seven in Juvenile

Sky Previews RSS / Darrell Williams / 01 March 2011 / Leave a Comment

"In selecting Boher Paddy, I’m siding with a greyhound that has yet to taste defeat, and one that has no doubt been perfectly prepared for the occasion by his master trainer, whose decision to give his charge just one four bend trial over the CD appears to have proved spot on judging by his impressive time"

Six of the best from the Class of 2010 do battle in the eagerly awaited Racing Post Juvenile from Wimbledon - live on Sky Sports - but while Razldazl Jayfkay may prove up to answering the hype, Darrell Williams can't resist Boher Paddy to make it a perfect 7 from 7 for Charlie Lister.

The decision to switch the Juvenile from its traditional New Year slot has proved a masterful move, with Fear Zafonic narrowly failing to add Derby glory to his success two years ago, and with Boher Paddy and Razldazl Jayfkay sitting aloft the 2011 Derby ante post market, there's every chance that this year's winner will be adding Classic success come the middle of June.

Razldazl Jayfkay was unlucky not to make a winning British debut on Springbok night three weeks ago, and Dolores Ruth's newly re-seeded wide runner could hardly come into tonight's race in better shape after an electrifying trial last week. Coupled with a draw outside rails favouring Mill Bling Bling, and it's not hard to understand why the Irish runner is favourite. That's presuming, of course, Kelly Macari's rival makes an immediate bee-line for the fence. If not, clearing him might not prove so straight-forward.

In selecting Boher Paddy, I'm siding with a greyhound that has yet to taste defeat, and one that has no doubt been perfectly prepared for the occasion by his master trainer, whose decision to give his charge just one four bend trial over the CD appears to have proved spot on judging by his equally impressive time. The fact that he had got within one spot of the Nottingham sprint record the week previous is further testament to the ability of both the dog and his handler, and I expect Boher Paddy to trap in front.

Of the remaining runners, the one that interests me most is Blue Artisan, who has proved particularly well suited to a trap one draw in the past, and while his very shrewd trainer Harry Williams is quick to point out that he is probably only 75% fit, having not raced since October, he might just be worth a small saver.

The supporting card, as ever at Wimbledon is of the highest quality - perhaps even more so, given the Betfair Trainers Championship is just three weeks away - and while one or two races look tricky, there are also some tasty wagers to be had.

Having seen the nap well and truly turned over in the supporting hurdle race on Springbok night, you would have thought I might have learned my lesson, but I can't resist a play on Toems Champ in the 20:15.

Seamus Cahill's beaten Springbok favourite (another losing tip!) had little chance on the prevailing going that night, but put that run firmly behind him when flying round Romford the other day. Expected to comfortably reverse Springbok form with the first three home that night, his early speed should also see him prove too quick for the more established hurdlers in the line-up, and he rates the night's best bet.

It's not only in the Juvenile that I'm expecting Charlie Lister to turn over a Dolores Ruth trained favourite, as I also feel the Newark maestro can strike with reigning Derby champion Bandicoot Tipoki in a fascinating four bend race at 20:50.

Making his first start at Plough Lane since that memorable victory last May, 'Tipoki' has an excellent record when returning from an absence, and with a plethora of fast times over the 480m trip last year, including a 2826, just one spot off the now track-record, in last year's Derby first round, he represents excellent value at around [5.0].

Irish Champion Stakes winner Makeshift warrants the maximum respect, and could hardly have been better prepared, but his draw outside his rival may just prevent him trapping ahead.

John Mullins has his team in excellent shape at the moment and can capture the first live Sky race (19:40) with Give Mesome Luck, who given his previous early pace at the track, looks perfectly drawn for a run as the lone wide seed.


Selections (in order)
Toems Champ 20:15
Bandicoot Tipoki 20:50
Boher Paddy 21:45
Give Mesome Luck 19:40

Six of the best from the Class of 2010 do battle in the eagerly awaited Racing Post Juvenile from Wimbledon - live on Sky Sports - but while Razldazl Jayfkay may prove up to answering the hype, Darrell Williams can't...

Toems Champ has excellent chances of maintaining Seamus Cahill's strong record in the Springbok final - live on Sky Sports tonight - but Darrell Williams thinks rapidly improving Blonde Banjo can claim his thunder for hurdles loving Ricky Holloway....

Our regular Sky night tipster brings another pair of dogs to oppose...


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