September 25, 2011

Follow The Money: Con Artist is no fraud

Follow the Money RSS / Follow The Money / 25 September 2011 / Leave a Comment

Kieran Fallon is as good as anyone around Epsom and will be using all his experience to try and get Con Artist first past the post

Kieran Fallon is as good as anyone around Epsom and will be using all his experience to try and get Con Artist first past the post

Three bets as ever in this popular column and no prizes for guessing the format. Two backs and one lay based on price movements it is then.

We start with the 15:00 where Dubawi Sound has been very well backed from [2.88] in to [2.24]. He's only made one career start to date, however he won in taking style at 50/1. He's reportedly a big horse so has probably taken time to grown into his frame and perhaps this explains his absence for the past five months. However, his trainer has proved excellent at getting horses back to fitness quickly and he should be able to go on from that pleasing debut and continue his progression with this interesting prospect likely to make a much better four year old next year.

In the 15:35 there has been a bit of money for Con Artist of the powerful Godolphin stable, moving into [5.8] from [6.8]. He had a cracking 2010, where he ended at Sandown bumping into the useful Jet Away, who is now rated in the 100s. Things went badly wrong on his comeback this year however, where he never travelled from a long way out and was beaten by 23 lengths. He returns today, four months later and if his trainer (who tends to be better towards the end of the season) can get him straight then he will surely take all the beating in what looks a poor affair for a 0-95 handicap. Kieren Fallon takes the ride and he rides Epsom as well as anyone, with a record of nearly 30% for the owners, so the absence of Frankie Dettori shouldn't put anyone off.

It appears quite a quiet day for lays today, however one drifter is in the 16:10, where The Bells O Peover has gone from [2.71] out to [3.25] for Mark Johnston. On paper he should be miles ahead of the handicapper merely carrying a 6lb penalty for an impressive 18 length victory last time out. However, only the Frankels of this world are truly that far clear of their peers, particularly in a standard Pontefract handicap and punters are taking a suspect view of the form. This is also a better race and it contains a number of course specialists such as Shesha Bear and Epsom Salts. With this being The Bells Of Peover's third start in 11 days, perhaps he is vulnerable today.

Recommended Bets

Back Dubawi Sound @ [2.24] 15:00 Epsom
Back Con Artist @ [5.8] 15:35 Epsom
Lay The Bells O Peover @ [3.25] 16:10 Epsom

That's all for today. If you're on the move this information is recorded on 0870 90 80 181.

Two backs and a lay are the the way the Follow The Money boys roll. Here are their selections on this busy Saturday afternoon....

Today's Follow The Money movers come from the meetings at Worcester and Newmarket....

Todays Follow The Money movers come from the meetings at Newmarket and Perth....


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