/ Joe Szekeres / 17 September 2011 / Leave a Comment 
Deacon Blues is our best bet this afternoon
"he [Deacon Blues] is a Group 1 winner waiting to happen and can easily defy it against a group of sprinters who are probably not quite in the same league."
Three selections from the Timeform Free Form Site, with the bet of the day coming at Newbury...
Caspar Netscher can get us off to a winning start on Saturday afternoon in the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes (14:30) at Newbury. He has demonstrated a consistent level of form all season, and his third in the Richmond Stakes behind Harbour Watch is better form than any of his rivals have achieved so far. That particular race looks to have been one of the strongest juvenile contests of the season, with several next-time-out winners having met at Goodwood, and Caspar Netscher himself has tasted victory since, running out a comfortable winner of the Group 2 Gimcrack Stakes at York last month. He beat Burwaaz and Lilbourne Lad on that occasion, two solid pattern performers, and he can follow up today despite the 3 lb penalty. He is unraced on ground softer than good, which is the only concern, but if he handles contditions he should win.
Croisultan is the pick of the twenty-seven Ayr Gold Cup (15:20) hopefuls this afternoon after a very solid performance behind Bewitched at the Curragh last Sunday. At Royal Ascot, Bewitched was sent off the warm favourite for the Group 1 Golden Jubilee Stakes (only to return lame and be sidelined for two months), so she is no doubt a high-quality filly, and the fact that Croisultan was able to get within a length and a quarter of that opponent speaks volumes regarding his chances in this handicap racing off a mark of 100. The draw can always be difficult to predict for these big sprint handicaps, but low stalls have tended to fare well over the last few days, and the good to soft ground conditions are definitely something likely to suit our selection.
Deacon Blues is another performer racing with a 3 lb penalty this afternoon, in his case in the World Trophy (15:40) at Newbury. His penalty comes as a result of a seven-length romp in the Group 3 Phoenix Sprint Stakes at the Curragh last month, but he is a Group 1 winner waiting to happen and can easily defy it against a group of sprinters who are probably not quite in the same league. The one drawback is that he is unproven over this trip, with all of his best form coming over six furlongs, but he has demonstrated in the past that he isn't short of speed and the easier ground conditions will definitely play to his strengths. Frankie Dettori is booked for the ride, another plus for the James Fanshawe trained four-year-old, and the pair combine to form our best bet of the afternoon.
Recommendations
Back Caspar Netscher @ [3.05] in the 14:30 at Newbury
Back Croisultan @ [16.5] in the 15:20 at Ayr
Back Deacon Blues @ [2.86] in the 15:40 at Newbury
Three bets for Friday from Timeform's Free Form Site......
One selection each from Ayr, Yarmouth and Pontefract today......
No jumps racing in the UK today but here are three selections from the Timeform Free Form Site to hopefully get you jumping for joy!...
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