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/ Stephen Molyneux / 30 March 2012 / Leave a Comment 
Jeremy Noseda: Trains Meydan nap Western Aristocrat
"Jeremy Noseda has an excellent record with his runners in Dubai and Western Aristocrat was just beginning to really get his act together towards the end of last year..."
Timeform Dubai Handicapper Stephen Molyneux brings you his SmartPlay selections for the $10 million Dubai World Cup card...
14:10 - African Story will be the strongest favourite of the night in the opening Godolphin Mile but the value lies elsewhere, specifically with Western Aristocrat. Jeremy Noseda has an excellent record with his runners in Dubai and Western Aristocrat was just beginning to really get his act together towards the end of last year, winning a Grade 1 in America and also finishing a fine third in the Hollywood Derby on his final outing. His form has more depth and hopefully he can get us off to a good start.
14:45 - The Dubai Gold Cup looks a match between Fox Hunt and Opinion Poll and that is the order in which I think they will finish. Jockey bookings suggest otherwise but my take on Frankie Dettori riding Opinion Poll is that he is a tricky horse and Dettori knows him well whilst Fox Hunt was a regular ride for Silvestre de Sousa last year so it makes sense to go that way. Fox Hunt has more to offer at this trip and should hopefully confirm form with Opinion Poll from their running in the Nad Al Sheba Trophy last time.
15:25 - Aidan O'Brien sends his strongest ever team to Dubai and Wrote could be the first of potentially at least two winners for Ballydoyle when he takes his chance in the UAE Derby. Wrote progressed with each run last year, culminating in victory in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf and a reproduction of that effort should see him have too much for the likes of Mickdaam and stablemate Daddy Long Legs.
16:00 - The Al Quoz Sprint is hugely competitive and it wouldn't surprise me if the whole field are priced up at double figures on Betfair. I will probably back a couple as I love tackling these sprints and Addictive Dream will be high on the list having really impressed me in Dubai this year. He won both his races on turf and shaped as if still in form on tapeta last time when again trying to slip his field over two furlongs out but having nothing left on the more demanding surface. The other one to throw in the mix is Prohibit, who had valid excuses for his defeat last time and is over-priced as a result.
16:35 - The other sprint on the card, the Dubai Golden Shaheen, is less competitive in terms of depth but just as difficult to solve. The Australiians will be cheering on Sepoy, the Americans Giant Ryan and The Factor whilst old favourite Rocket Man will also have plenty of support, but I prefer Krypton Factor who has really impressed me since reverting to six furlongs. A tough juvenile for Sir Mark Prescott, he has really thrived of late and had plenty in hand when beating Hitchens last time despite enduring a wide trip. He should stalk the pace from stall five and hopefully Kieren Fallon will be able to make his move at the two-furlong marker and prove hard to run down.
17:25 - The Dubai Duty Free regularly eclipses the Dubai World Cup for strength in depth and this year's renewal is no different. The Hong Kong challenge is really strong, to the point of me almost deserting my old mate Mutahadee, but Mike de Kock simply can't not have a winner on this card given his unwavering support for the Dubai Racing Carnival as a whole and Mutahadee could be his best chance. He positively bolted up on his first two starts this season and simply had too much to do when third behind Master Of Hounds in the Jebel Hatta last time, still showing a fine turn of foot to get into a challenging position at all. He has been well backed since the markets for this race opened and hopefully his supporters will be collecting their rand come the finish.
18:00 - Godolphin seem sure to have a winner at some point and I'm hoping that Cavalryman will do the business in the Dubai Sheema Classic. It's easy to forget that Cavalryman finished third in the Arc back in 2009 and it's just as easy to remember that he hasn't really threatened to win a race since then. That might be about to change, however, after an encouraging comeback that saw him run on strongly into second behind Mikhail Glinka in the Dubai City Of Gold recently. He wouldn't be the first horse to revive all of a sudden and whilst Sir Nicholas Abbey and Cirrus Des Aigles will provide stiff opposition, Cavalryman represents the each-way value.
18:40 - My take on the Dubai World Cup can be read HERE and in truth my opinion hasn't changed in the seven days since I wrote that. So You Think was shortened in the aftermath of the barrier draw and it's not hard to see why. As I said, he needs keeping safe in any staking plan whilst I have been encouraged by the confidence surrounding Eishin Flash who is the each-way selection.
Timeform SmartPlays
Back Western Aristocrat to win the 14:10 (nap)
Back Fox Hunt to win the 14:45
Back Wrote to win the 15:25
Back Addictive Dream and Prohibit to win the 16:00
Back Krypton Factor to win the 16:35
Back Mutahadee to win the 17:25
Back Cavalyrman to win and place in the 18:00
Back So You Think to win the 18:40, back Eishin Flash to win and place
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Visit timeform.com to download a race card for Dubai World Cup night.
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Timeform's North American team give readers three more bets for Friday evening's action......
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