Timeform Radio Tip 
/ Terry Norman / 21 July 2011 / Leave a Comment 
Will you back Terry's bets at Bath and Sandown?
"Stan Moore’s gelding has a fine cruising speed and, in a race full of hold-up horses, James Doyle could easily dictate from the front."
Timeform Radio pundit Terry Norman finds the value on a lively afternoon of racing...
Ground is going to play a major part in results at Sandown today. I always prefer a deviation from 'good' as you can eliminate a number on the basis of the surface. The ground is going to be soft at best.
Absinthe (15:55 Sandown) was a leading fancy for the Cambridgeshire on the back of an impressive victory at Windsor. His disappointment in the Newmarket feature was mainly due to him being found to have bled.
Walter Swinburn has taken a cautious approach with the son of King's Best this term, who produced his best performance of the season when a close third to Oceanway over course and distance three weeks ago.
Interestingly, with ground conditions firmly in his favour, Absinthe is only a 1lb above his last winning mark. He has a decent draw and, even though he made the running on his latest start, he doesn't have to force the pace.
Shamacam is not certain to appreciate the step back to 10f or the soft ground, while Aldwick Bay, is an obvious danger of a mark he ran well off and will act on the surface.
The novice stakes at Bath (15:45) may have only five runners but the market is finding it hard to split the top three in the betting.
If Amis Reunis goes off market leader it will have more to do with the reputation of her trainer, Richard Hannon, rather than what has achieved on the track. She also runs like she needs six furlongs already.
Arnold Lane, highly-rated by his trainer Mick Channon, has had minor problems which has kept him sidelined and I much prefer The Penny Horse, a fine fourth to Forevertheoptimist in an listed event at Sandown.
Stan Moore's gelding has a fine cruising speed and, in a race full of hold-up horses, James Doyle could easily dictate from the front.
Recommended Bets
Back Absinthe @ [5.0] in the 15:55 @ Sandown
Back The Penny Horse @ [3.3] in the 15:45 @ Bath
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