September 17, 2011

Two And A Half Goals: Dour game expected at Stadium of Light

Two And A Half Goals RSS / The Inside Man / 17 September 2011 / Leave a Comment

More low-scoring stuff at Sunderland?

More low-scoring stuff at Sunderland?

"Most punters think of Blackpool as the free-scoring entertainers with the happy-go-lucky manager who lit-up last year’s Premier League, but that’s simply no longer the case. Set-piece master Charlie Adam and goal-getter D.J.Campbell have moved on to pastures new and as a result only two of Blackpool’s games this season have gone over two goals."

Four games from the English divisions are previewed and analysed for their worthiness in the Over/under 2.5 goals betting...

Saturday
Torquay v Rotherham

Goals look a certainty for this clash between two teams in the top half of League Two.

Torquay boss Martin Ling claims his side are as good as anybody in the division and bemoans that his team have ended with too many draws (four) in their eight games this season. This kind of talk suggests he wants much better than their current sixth place in the table.

To turn draws into wins though, Torquay will need to become more offensive. This is great news for fans, who've already seen their home games averaging a massive three and a half goals so far.

In terms of goal action though, Torquay must doff their caps to today's visitors. Second-placed Rotherham come with betting satisfaction almost guaranteed, somehow averaging almost four goals per game on the road. Indeed the only time they failed to go over the mark was last week's 1-1 draw at Accrington Stanley, which included goal-line clearances and misses-galore.

The price on offer for three or more goals is simply huge. Don't miss out!

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 goals @ [1.8]

Blackpool v Cardiff
In betting, as in life, we're often told to trust our instincts. Be aware though that on occasions your instincts can lead you up the garden path.

Most punters think of Blackpool as the free-scoring entertainers with the happy-go-lucky manager who lit-up last year's Premier League, but that's simply no longer the case. Set-piece master Charlie Adam and goal-getter D.J.Campbell have moved on to pastures new and as a result only two of Blackpool's games this season have gone over two goals.

It's a similar story for Cardiff. They no longer have their most able striker from last year, Craig Bellamy. The Welsh side have similarly seen only two of their six games go over the two goal mark.

These sides lie next to each other, in sixth and seventh place in the table. With their identical win-loss records and identical goal-difference, there's no reason to think this encounter between two promotion rivals should be anything but tight...and so we won't.

Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 goals @ [1.94]

Sunday
Southampton v Birmingham
With five victories from six games, Southampton have continued where they left-off last season, by defeating just about every team in their path. This has come as little surprise to many football fans, with Saints showing even last season that they are a side with huge momentum that could take them all the way to the Premier League.

That momentum has been achieved with a real style, which means Southampton are quickly becoming the new Blackpool in terms of entertainment. The 23 goals scored in their opening six games says it all. Whichever way you look at the stats, be it home form, away form, or recent results, Saints are always a banker for goals.

Meanwhile Birmingham are unrecognisable since losing Alex McLeish as manager. Gone is the dour, defensive mindset, replaced instead by Chris Hughton's much more positive approach. This is illustrated by the fact that five of Birmingham's six games this season, including all of their away games, have gone over 2.5 goals. Expect this match to be no different.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 goals @ [1.84]

Sunderland v Stoke
This is a simple case of two teams who struggle to score but know how to keep things tight.

In Stoke's case, tight means water-tight, as shown by their heroic defensive display to hang-on for a 1-0 win against Liverpool last week. Tony Pulis's men have faced two sides with legitimate title hopes in the shape of Kenny Dalglish's men and Chelsea, and two who are likely to be at the wrong end of the table in Norwich and West Brom. Yet it's made no difference to their results which read four goals, four games, two goals for, two against. It's machine-like and effective, but no good if you're betting on goals.

Sunderland have proved similarly unreliable for goals, with just six scored in their opening four matches. Importantly though, the level of their opposition does seem to make a difference. Games against Chelsea and Liverpool produced five of those six goals, while matches against Swansea and Newcastle yielded just one.

Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 goals @ [1.63]

The Inside Man makes four weekend selections with a strong emphasis on the Premier League......

The Inside Man turns his attentions to English and Scottish domestic football over the weekend in search of the best bets in the ever-popular over/under 2.5 goals markets on Betfair....

Neil Harvey talks us through four European games where backing either Under or Over 2.5 Goals looks an appealing option....


Betfair website

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