Golf Bets 
/ Paul Krishnamurty / 14 February 2012 / Leave a Comment 
Rising star - Thorbjorn Olesen
"Thorbjorn Olesen has already been runner-up three times, and registered impressive top-20s amongst elite company in a couple more Gulf events recently."
With so many golfers capable of winning tournaments each week Paul Krishnamurty believes the markets have definitely underestimated some possible future winners. Want to know who? Read on.
Results over the past fortnight have gone some way towards vindicating a couple of themes about the new golf order that I've been laying out on these pages for several months.
Firstly, that prolific winners amongst the game's elite are becoming few and far between, meaning the favourites rarely represent good value anymore. As Rory McIlroy, Lee Westwood and Tiger Woods showed over the weekend, class does not necessarily equate to finishing the job.
Secondly, as there has never been such strength in depth on both main tours, on any given week it is possible to identify several plausible outsiders at crazy prices.
Last week it was the turn of Rafael Cabrera-Bello, a [250.0] chance with a promising reputation. The Spaniard had been a Find Me a 100 Winner pick for two of the last three Gulf events and although last week's column covered the PGA Tour, regular readers may be pleased to know I kept the faith. Unlike the previous fortnight, when another recent selection Kyle Stanley, fulfilled his promise on the PGA Tour.
Both were players with plenty of form over recent months, albeit without winning, but when big odds are frequently on offer, it pays to persevere. After all, one win in triple figures could, theoretically, pay for over two years worth of losing level-stakes bets on that player. Here's another five such candidates who regularly catch the eye at silly prices.
Thorbjorn Olesen
When this 22-year old Dane joined the European Tour last season, following a short successful Challenge Tour campaign, many experts identified him as a star of the future. He's already been runner-up three times, and registered impressive top-20s amongst elite company in a couple more Gulf events recently. Yet because, typically for a young player, Olesen has also missed more than his share of cuts, he's often a rank outsider. Before making the top-ten in Abu Dhabi, he was around the [500.0] mark.
Bernd Wiesberger
A similar story can be told about this 26 year-old Austrian entering his second season on the main tour. Wiesberger has made the top-five on four of his last 16 starts, yet was available at a mammoth [700.0] before last week's encouraging top-25 in Dubai. Those odds are simply wrong and sooner or later, the market is going to wise up.
(Both Wiesberger and Olesen were highlighted before a ball had even been struck this season by Mike Norman in his five rising stars to follow column)
Tom Lewis
Despite courting much attention after an impressive Open performance as an amateur and an immediate breakthrough in the professional ranks, the fickleness that characterises betting markets these days means Lewis can suddenly be found among the rags. That early win in Portugal may have prompted an overreaction, yet because he failed to deliver at cramped odds on continents where he had no past experience, Lewis was available at over [200.0] during the Gulf Swing. Those conditions didn't prove to his liking, but expect the young Englishman to make a big impression once again when the tour returns to mainland Europe.
David Horsey
Horsey probably lacks the long-term potential of the above trio, but is another persistently under-rated character. Having won an event in each of the last two seasons at big odds and put up several more good challenging performances, he certainly owes any regular followers nothing and after a slow start to 2012, may again be wrongly dismissed by the market. As one of the world's best putters, Horsey is particularly worth keeping an eye on in low-scoring affairs.
Gareth Maybin
2011 saw Maybin's star wane after a series of near-misses during the previous two seasons, but the Northern Irishman showed enough during the Gulf Swing to think this might be the year he finally breaks through. If last week's [400.0] odds are any sort of guide, it could potentially come at odds that pay for a decade's worth of losers. However given his promising record in Asia, it may be worth considering a much shorter quote of [65.0] this week in India for the Avantha Masters.
Rory McIlroy and Tiger Woods will have an army of followers this week, in the Betfair markets that is, but Paul Krishnamurty believes both are worth taking on at their current short odds....
Dan Geraghty is hoping for better luck with his three-ball tips, making four selections for the opening day action at the Commercialbank Qatar Masters...
Danny Lee is a massive [350.0] and Ryan Palmer a chunky [160.0] to win the Waste Management Phoenix Open at Scottsdale but this pair of birdie machines could kickstart their seasons on a course that looks to provide an ideal...
No comments:
Post a Comment