Given that Romain Wattel finished seventh against a stronger field last week in Malaysia, I'm rather surprised to see him trading at anywhere near this column's triple-figure range.
Talented young Frenchman is a top golfing prospect - can he make his breakthrough at this week's China Open?
Elsewhere this week, I've laid out the argument for maintaining loyalty towards big-priced proven winners, and a similar policy of perseverance can make sense when it comes to the very best young prospects.
See, for instance, how loyal followers of Thorbjorn Olesen were rewarded a fortnight ago with his breakthrough win at the Sicilian Open. This week's pick has looked of a similar class to Olesen during a promising first 14 months on the European Tour and is also bound to go very close sooner or later. Indeed, given that Romain Wattel finished seventh against a stronger field last week in Malaysia, I'm rather surprised to see him trading at anywhere near this column's triple-figure range.
That was Wattel's second top-ten and sixth top-25 in his last ten events - an impressive tally for anyone and evidence that this highly-rated prospect is making fast progress. He still displays many hallmarks of a novice such as dubious shot selection, but the raw talent is plain to see. Amongst this field he ranks fourth for driving distance and eighth for putting average, which must bode well for this week's China Open venue.
As this 7,667 yard course is reportedly playing very long, it may well be possible to eliminate half the field from calculations. The slow, grainy greens might normally be a concern for a European novice, but the Frenchman putted well enough on similar surfaces at Malaysia last week.
The great unknown is whether Wattel's temperament will hold up should a winning chance present itself, emphasising the importance of a sound trading strategy. His numbers clearly illustrate he's good enough to get in to contention, therefore shortening enough to hit the lay targets, and if he does
turn out to lack 'bottle', then at least we'll be able to bank some profit.
The recommended plan is to back Wattel for two units, then place two lay orders at 12.011/1 and 3.03/1, ensuring a minimum of eight units profit should he reach the first target.
Recommended Bets
2u Romain Wattel @ 110.0109/1
Place order to lay 10u @ 12.011/1
Place order to lay 20u @ 3.03/1
Updated 2012 Stats: +49.5u
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