"Marcelo Oliveira’s side have conceded a staggering 37 goals so far, which is four worse than any other team."
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Coritiba v Internacional @ 1.834/5
Coritiba host Internacional in the Brazilian Campeonato tonight with under 2.5 goals trading at odds-on. But given that five of Cortibia's last seven home games have had three goals or more, Paul Robinson believes that's definitely a price worth laying.
Sometimes in betting everything you touch turns to gold and that's the kind of run we're on right now. Our bet was a winner after just 22 minutes of play yesterday and it now means we've had five winners in a row and seven out of the last eight.
Coritiba are having a disappointing campaign to date and they are down in 15th place after picking up just 19 points from their opening 19 fixtures. One look at the goals against column tells us why they are struggling as Marcelo Oliveira's side have conceded a staggering 37 goals so far, which is four worse than any other team. If they could just tighten up a little bit then they would surely move up the table as they've scored on 31 occasions themselves, which is the joint second best offensive record. Their last four have all gone over 2.5, in fact their last three actually went over 3.5, and they defeated Cruzeiro 4-0 in their previous home match.
Internacional are up in sixth place and they're almost the complete opposite of Coritiba, which is why we're getting such a good price to lay on unders.
Fernandão's men are up in sixth place with 31 points from their 19 fixtures and with just 15 conceded, they have the third best defensive record in the division. It's a good job they keep it that tight as they don't score many either; 22 in 19 at an average of just over one per game.
Internacional's statistics don't really give us much encouragement to predict a goal fest here, but I'm somewhat confident that Coritiba can drag them down to their level of defending and get them to open up a bit more. 1.834/5 about under 2.5 goals is simply far too short here and well worth taking on, which is why I'm making it my lay of the day.
Recommended Bet
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Coritiba v Internacional @ 1.834/5
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