Tipsy Dara and Markadam make some appeal at the morning prices...
David Cleary has found two overpriced horses in the 16:00 at Carlisle for you...
It's a quiet day on the racing front in Britain, with just a low-grade all-weather card at Lingfield and some smallish fields over jumps at Carlisle to keep us occupied (as might be anticipated, the Irish cards at Limerick and Wexford have a bit more quality to them).
The staying handicap chase at 16.00, from which topweight Prophete de Guye is a non runner, is easily the most open race at Carlisle, all seven of the remaining runners holding some sort of chance. No fewer than five of them wear cheekpieces, the exceptions being See U Bob and Tipsy Dara. See U Bob comes here in good form, having finished runner-up in weak races on his last two starts, and has conditions that will suit him down to the ground. Richie McLernon takes over in the saddle from Maurice Linehan, who has been able to claim five pounds off him of late, so See U Bob's chance isn't quite so good at the weights as it might first appear.
Tipsy Dara is another in good form this winter, at least up until her last run, when she disappointed in a small field at Newcastle. Before that she had won here and at Ayr, her defeat of the subsequent winner Billy Cuckoo for the first of those successes reading particularly well. Those wins came over two and a half miles but the step back up to three miles and beyond ought to suit her.
The other mare in the line-up Posh Bird ran a good race, retried in cheekpieces, at Catterick last time, though typically she was doing her best work at the finish, hitting full stride just too late, as so often with her. Dusky Bob travelled more sweetly than usual in cheekpieces first time when running well over hurdles at Sedgefield earlier in the month. Whether the headgear would work so well a second time remains to be seen. Mister Philson is the relatively unknown quantity in the field, being a prolific winner of points in Ireland, though he's on no more than averagely treated on his form in hunter chases, yet to get off the mark in that sphere.
The field is completed by two Carlisle regulars, Vamizi and Markadam. Vamizi won over three miles on this card a year ago and is now just 2 lb higher, the drop back in the weights the result of his indifferent form in two starts since his reappearance; Markadam ran poorly in a better race here last time, but has won twice over hurdles and once over fences from three earlier starts at the track. Tipsy Dara and Markadam make some appeal at the morning prices. As for the rest of the card, it looks ideal for backers of short-priced favourites.
Recommended Bets:
Back Tipsy Dara and Markadam @ 8.415/2 and 12.5n/a respectively in the 16.00 at Carlisle
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