Showing posts with label rides. Show all posts
Showing posts with label rides. Show all posts

November 1, 2014

Ryan Moore at the Breeders' Cup: The views on my four rides on Saturday night

22:22 Santa Anita - Telescope

"And he showed what he is capable of over this trip on fast ground when beating Hillstar by seven lengths at Royal Ascot. He comes here in really good nick, and is poised to run a big race."

Ryan Moore has four rides on the second night of the Breeders' Cup including two for his boss Sir Michael Stoute, and here you can read the Betfair Ambassador's exclusive thoughts on his own chances plus those of his main rivals...


To be honest, I'd be lying if I said I've had a good look at the races that I am not riding in. I concentrate on my job, not those of others. Toronado is the form horse in the Mile but it is a very competitive race and he will need luck in running with 14 in the field.

And while Shared Belief is the most likely winner of the Classic, the vibes that I have been hearing have not been overly-positive and he did have a hard race last time.

Here are my views on my mounts and the races I ride in:

19:43 Santa Anita - Dank

This looks a pretty competitive Filly & Mare Turf, with a fair bit of depth to it, so I am pretty surprised to see that Dank is only about a 2-1 chance to win this. Don't get me wrong, I think she is the one to beat on form but the fact is that she came back wrong after finishing well beaten in the Prince Of Wales's Stakes at Ascot, and she has needed time to get her back on song.

But this is where the boss comes into his own. And when he readies a horse for an international prize from a long way out, then it takes a brave man to bet against him, as we saw again with Hillstar in Canada recently. And he would have had this race in mind for this filly ever since he started nursing her back to health and form, and she certainly appears in real good order at the moment.

She obviously won this race last season but to a large extent I think that we got away with it there, as it was coming to the end of a long campaign, and she had been on the go since May. But we can at least be sure that she comes here a fresh horse, and she felt a very good filly indeed when winning the Beverly D last year. She has a nice stall and has a class edge on these.

But there are no end of serious rivals as Flower Bowl winner Stephanie's Kitten and the progressive Dayatthespa look to pose a decent home challenge, and Just The Judge, Secret Gesture and Fiesolana have chances, too. Just The Judge needs to step up again on her EP Taylor win but clearly has to be respected, while Fiesolona could be troublesome if returning to the form of her Matron Stakes win and lasting home over this longer trip. But I am pretty happy with my filly, and she'd be my best chance of a winner.


21:05 Santa Anita - Dimension

I don't know too much about him to be honest, as he has clearly come a very long way since I rode him to win a Kempton maiden three years ago. But he has obviously developed into a pretty classy sprinter in the States, running well from a wide draw when fifth in this race last year and tuning up for this with a win in Kentucky last time. It looks as if he can be slowly away, which won't be ideal round here, but he appears to have an outside place chance, though he does have a lot to find on form I must admit.

Others look to have more obvious chances, including last year's Morny winner No Nay Never, Reneesgotzip and Undrafted, who ran a great race when fourth in the July Cup. But, in truth, you can give most of these a chance - as is the case in most sprints, I find - and Caspar Netscher looked pretty decent when winning the Nearctic last time and this 6 1/2f could be his trip. But no firm opinions here.

21:43 Santa Anita - The Great War

Given this is on dirt, the Europeans don't have that bad a record in this race, with three winners in the last 12 years or so, but it is obviously a guessing game as to how horses will act on the surface.

I think it is probably fair to say that The Great War hasn't fulfilled early expectations just yet, but he looked good when winning over 6f at the Curragh last time and being a War Front gives you hope that he will handle the surface. But as well as the dirt he has to prove that he stays this trip, as he certainly has a lot of pace. But his pedigree does give you some hope on that score. It's clearly a big ask though, and that is why he is the only European horse in here.

And the home team do look exceptionally strong this year. American Pharoah may be out of the race but the likes of Daredevil and Carpe Diem look above-average juveniles coming into this, as does Upstart, so I'd probably be delighted with a place. Of the two favourites, I would favour Carpe Diem, and he could well be favourite for the Kentucky Derby after this.

22:22 Santa Anita - Telescope

This is one race that the Europeans have tended to dominate, but I'll be honest and say that I think Flintshire is the one to beat. I think 1m4f on fast ground is what he needs, he probably ran a career best in the Arc last time, and he is trained by a genius in Andre Fabre.

Luckily, so is Telescope, and the boss produced Conduit for back-to-back wins in this race, and he resisted the temptation to take this horse to the Arc, so he has been tuning him up for this ever since.

To be straight up, I was a little disappointed by his third in the Juddmonte at the time, but on reflection it probably was a pretty decent run against faster horses over a trip short of his best at York. And he showed what he is capable of over this trip on fast ground when beating Hillstar by seven lengths at Royal Ascot. He comes here in really good nick, and is poised to run a big race.

Aidan has suffered a blow with last year's winner Magician ruled out of this race but the rest of the field should be relieved; he possessed brilliance on his day, and I'd go as far to say that if he had run up to his best in this race, he would have won.

I travelled over to the Woodbine International with Michael Owen, and I felt for him when Brown Panther had to be withdrawn there. That experience wasn't great and, more importantly, these conditions won't ideally play to the horse's strengths and bigger dangers could be Main Sequence, Hardest Core and maybe even Chicquita if they can harness her undoubted, if wayward, talent.

But for me I think Flintshire is the one to beat - he does have the best recent form, for all that he seemingly finds it hard to win - and Fabre successfully trod the same path with Arc fourth and Turf winner Shirocco at Belmont in 2005. I hope that I am wrong though. But whatever way you look at it, it is a pretty competitive race even without Magician, and one likely to be truly-run, too.


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April 13, 2013

Ryan Moore: Five rides at Doncaster today

Ryan Moore on Duke Of Firenze

"I think you will see him to much better advantage today and he has been going well at home in preparation for this."

Betfair Ambassador Ryan Moore has five booked rides at Doncaster today and here he talks exclusively about the chances of each...


14:20 Doncaster - Chandlery

This looks a pretty hot race for a listed race - even the lowest-rated horse, Stand My Ground, is very interesting in a first time hood on his first start for David O'Meara - so Chandlery will need to be pretty straight to even be competitive here and probably post a career-best to win. He has been off the track since July 2011 with a broken pelvis but I hear that he has recovered well and has been going well enough at home. And you always like to have these comeback horses pretty straight but the odds are that he will need the run. But don't forget what a promising and classy juvenile he was, winning the Group 2 Vintage Stakes on his last start. But, like I said, this is very competitive - Gabrial has form in better company, while Sovereign Debt deserves respect - and I have seen weaker Group 3s than this, so I am probably bang up against it.


14:55 Doncaster - Man Of Plenty

Won first time up last season in a Windsor maiden and went on to put up a couple of decent placed efforts in handicap company, back at Windsor (where I beat him a head on Rye House) and then at Goodwood. He is not obviously well handicapped on those runs but 1m4f on good ground, though he has form in the soft, could just be a combination that suits this horse. But, whatever the ground come race-time, he is still lightly-raced, and has a fair chance on his first start for Ed, whose horses seem pretty forward.


15:30 Doncaster - Duke Of Firenze

I thought that he could go on and win good races after impressing me when I partnered him to victory at Windsor in June, but he was beaten in his three next starts. And that was a little disappointing. But looking back at it, there were excuses for those defeats. He was only beaten off a 9lb higher mark by Fulbright next time up at Newmarket, and the winner advertised that form when going on to win in Group 2 company; he probably didn't fully see out the 7f at Doncaster; and on his last start at Ascot he again probably wasn't ideally suited by the soft ground. So, back over 6f on good ground, I think you will see him to much better advantage today and he has been going well at home in preparation for this. But you don't need me to tell you what a competitive race this looks - Musselburgh winner Move In Time is interesting and Jack Dexter is an obvious threat - and any significant rain would be a worry.


16:05 Doncaster - Duke Of Clarence

I haven't sat on him so I can't tell you a great deal about him that the form book doesn't. He proved himself progressive towards the end of last season, winning on good and soft ground, but he would need to step up on his fourth at Warwick this month were you to seriously fancy his chances here. But I hope that he will be sharper here and he obviously can't be written off. There are plenty of potential improvers in here though, probably none more so than Lingfield winner Carazam off 8st 7lb and recent Newcastle scorer Beaumont's Party at the other end of the weights.


17:15 Doncaster - School Fees

Another horse that I don't know too much about. I see that she only beat one home at Kempton last month but some of her form last season is obviously a lot more encouraging, and she is only 1lb higher than when winning at Bath last July, and she looks versatile as regards ground. But she has to put three modest runs behind her here, and she doesn't look an obvious winner to me. Let's hope I am wrong, and I see the stable are in good form.

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