Peterborough v Sheffield Wednesday: Tight affair in prospect

"Dave Jones' men have been solid on their travels this season, conceding just 25 goals, fewer than everybody in the league bar Charlton."

Back under 2.5 goals at 2.01/1

Andy Tongue expects goals to be at a premium at London Road with the stakes so high...

Peterborough v Sheffield Wednesday
Saturday 17:20, Live on Sky Sports 2

After Friday night's action at the top of the table, attention switches to the relegation battle in the second televised Championship game of the weekend as Posh host fellow strugglers Wednesday.

Peterborough

Having looked relegation material for much of the season, Darren Ferguson's side find themselves out of the bottom three on goal difference with two games remaining. By the time we kick off here, though, both Wolves and Barnsley, who also have 51 points, could have climbed above them. Posh are unbeaten in five at London Road now, including wins over both Cardiff and Watford, though they still have the worst home record over the course of the season. Backing over 2.5 goals was previously pretty much a given in games involving Posh but having not had a goalless draw for more than three years until last month, like a London bus, three have recently arrived in quick succession.

Sheffield Wednesday

A run of just one defeat in seven means Wednesday now have 55 points, four more than today's opponents, Wolves and Barnsley and a win here would guarantee their safety while a point would go a long way towards doing so. They could still lose their last two and be okay depending on other results. Leroy Lita's arrival on loan in January has gone a long way to solving their goalscoring problem and he has struck six times in his 12 starts. Dave Jones' men have been solid on their travels this season, conceding just 25 goals, fewer than everybody in the league bar Charlton.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals

Wednesday are solid enough at the back while Posh are not quite the same free-scoring, defensively-loose side they were earlier in the season. This is sure to be a tense affair and the visitors will be more than happy with a point, which makes under 2.5 goals an attractive bet at 2.01/1.

Correct Score

The visitors have shown an admirable appetite to scrap for their boss Jones. It's not pretty on the eye but survival in the first season back in the second tier would be seen as a good achievement and a draw here would all but ensure that. A small play on 1-1 at 7.413/2 is advised.

Recommended Bets

Back under 2.5 Goals at 2.01/1
Back 1-1 correct score at 7.413/2

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Against All Odds: Juve and Bayern to keep it tight

"The Old Lady face a huge uphill battle to make the last four and their only chance of doing so is keeping a clean sheet."

Lay Over 2.5 goals in Juventus v Bayern Munich @ 1.8810/11 

Juventus and Bayern Munich meet in the Champions League this evening and while the Betfair markets are predicting plenty of goals, Paul Robinson thinks the value could be in opposing them.

Juventus lost the first leg in Germany 2-0 and in truth, they were outclassed for the majority of the 90 minutes. The Germans got an early lead and then never looked back, producing an authoritative performance. The Italians best chances fell to Arturo Vidal but he picked up a booking at the Allianz Arena and is suspended tonight, along with defender Stephan Lichtsteiner.

The Old Lady face a huge uphill battle to make the last four and their only chance of doing so is keeping a clean sheet. If they concede then they will need to score four goals and Bayern haven't conceded that many in the Champions League since a 4-0 hammering at Barcelona in 2009.

FCB have their domestic league sewn up so they can 100% focus on avenging their penalty shoot-out final loss to Chelsea last year. They have looked good in this competition for the most part this season, although it's mildly concerning that after securing a 3-1 lead over Arsenal in the last 16, they ended up scraping through after losing the second leg 2-0. 

Jupp Heynckes will no doubt remind his players of that before kick off tonight and while they will surely try and get that all important away goal, keeping a clean sheet for as long as possible will be the main objective. Munich have been defensively excellent this term, especially in the Bundesliga as they have conceded just 13 times in 28 matches.  

There is plenty of goal threat on show but I'd argue that each sides' defence is the strongest part of their team. The Germans will set out to stifle the Italians and I can see this staying 0-0 for quite a long time. That's why, with over 2.5 goals trading around the 1.8810/11 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day. 

Recommended Bet
Lay Over 2.5 goals in Juventus v Bayern Munich @ 1.8810/11 

This match is live on Sky Sports Four at 19:45

Wagered: 99 pts
Returned: 88.95 pts
P/L – 10.05 pts (after commission)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)

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