February 28, 2011

World Cup Betting: Sri Lanka v Kenya

Match Previews RSS / Ed Hawkins / 28 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Lasith Malinga could return

Lasith Malinga could return

"There have been reports of discord in the Kenya camp with players squaring up (idealogically) to coach Eldine Baptiste. "

It's back to the one-sided contests as Sri Lanka host Kenya in Colombo on Tuesday. Ed Hawkins analyses this one. Follow him on Twitter here


London start time: 09.00

Team news
From the sublime to the ridiculous. Following the thrilling clash between India and England in Bangalore, Sri Lanka meet Kenya in a potentially soporific affair.

It would be good if the hosts could unleash Lasith Malinga, the wild fast bowler, to help ensure proceedings are wrapped up quickly. Malinga is yet to play and it would be wise if he was given a cosy route back. Game time for one of their most potent weapons is important.

The very least we expect of an associate team is pluck. But that may be missing from Kenya. There have been reports of discord in the camp with players squaring up (idealogically) to coach Eldine Baptiste.

"The coach has his own way of doing things which did not go down well with some senior players," Kenya chief Samir Inamdar said. "But ultimately, the coach has a duty to do and the players as well have a duty. I hope they will overcome those differences and play well."


Venue and conditions
The RPS in Colombo is a good batting wicket, as proved by the 543 runs scored between Sri Lanka and Pakistan. Pakistan won that game as the toss bias proved to be reliable.

The side that bats first has now won 15 of the last 19. That shouldn't concern Sri Lanka this time, however.

Kenya have been bowled out for 112 (against Pakistan) and 69 (against New Zealand) so far. They may improve slightly but it would be a surprise if they breached 200.


Match odds
Kenya are as big as [36.00] and when a side is so massive it takes very little for them to shorten enough for a worthwhile back-to-lay. On the flip side, it will not take must for them to double in price especially if Sri Lanka bat first.


Top batsman - Sri Lanka
Mahela Jayawardene is [5.10] for honours and he may be the best bet in this market. Of course openers Upul Tharanga and Tillakaratne Dilshan are favoured to go well - they are around [2.40] - but they have looked a little cumbersome so far.


Top batsman - Kenya
Collins Obuya (61) has almost twice as many runs as Seren Waters (33). Both men can be backed at [4.00]. Steve Tikolo is the same price.


Featured market one
There were only three sixes in the previous match at the RPS. And there were only two struck by Sri Lanka against Canada. Between 0-4 sixes is the jolly at [1.40]. Between 5-7 and eight or more are both around [1.70].


Featured market two
Malinga will be included under Any Other for top Sri Lanka bowler if you reckon pace will be Kenya's undoing as it was against New Zealand. The problem is spin was their undoing against Pakistan. And you might have heard that Sri Lanka are well stocked in that department.


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Ten to Follow Leaderboard: Double points Donald does the business

Ten to Follow Tipping Comp RSS / Paul Krishnamurty / 28 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Staying out of these helped Luke Donald win the WGC Matchplay

Staying out of these helped Luke Donald win the WGC Matchplay

Following the first WGC event of the season, for which double points were on offer, we have big changes on the leaderboard, including a new leader. The 122 points earned by Luke Donald propelled Paul McGlinchey to pole position, and his side also contains the top scoring player so far, Bubba Watson. There's another chance for bumper scoring next week in the form of the next WGC event, but first we've got the Honda Classic.

Paul McGlinchey 417
Kendolph Express 382
EME15 371
wedge1 371
Duncan 364
Joe Dyer 363
Holly Stott 351
Sam Harrop 346
Adi Crow 343
Ontheteeee 328
TopDollar1 323
Sportsman 323
Mark Peters 309
Lochinvar 309
Steve 301
Martyns23 298
Louie Mendoza 293
Feizal Rahman 292
Richard Ball 289
Steven Rawlings 288
Gary Binosh 283
stonecolds 282
Lee Adamson 278
Chris Doppler 277
Alan Vye 273
Mike Rangecroft 269
Hoof Hearted 268
Silk Success 268
USNA1964 266
ReaseHeath 264
Stan Oentoe 263
golfvet 260
Justahunch 257
Team Bunkered 251
Martys Men 248
Ben 245
Mick Hoy 242
Rachel Labo 242
Barracuda59 242
Dave Harding 241
Deportivo la Combo 241
Buck Ashcraft 240
wowiezowiee 237
Ian KP 227
niknak 227
the loonatic 226
doubling 226
Playoff Sunday 221
InstaScud 221
Better lucky than good 217
Golfnut 217
DJSavedmylife 216
Barrowboy 216
Paul Krishnamurty 216
Linda Angell 212
Iain Hendy 211
ElBandido 211
EME19 211
Danny Knight 211
Mr Stupid 207
Julie Connor 206
EME14 206
willieb83 206
Aidan14 202
Spursboy 201
5 Penalty Stroke 201
Just Someone 201
Matthew Taylor 201
Gingermoff 197
Mahseer 197
Hestias Putter 196
EME20 196
EME8 196
EME6 195
Andrew Gyton 193
Ronsk 192
Aberdonia 192
Macca Maclean 191
Carsten Lymann 191
Steve Bovey 191
AJM2011 191
Dave Dunning 191
Perfect Potential 190
Peter Sonnenburg 187
Team Hulmes 186
Royal Smudge 186
Mighty Whites 2008 186
James Voortman 185
Matthew Gibbons 183
Cherio 182
No Hookers, please 182
Aussie Warriors 181
Rich 181
Andjay 181
Bramblyhedge 181
Humbert The Priest 181
Tony Buck 176
jaytay2 176
Milners 176
Daniel Lambert 175
Anonymous30 172
Mascherano 172
Stroke of Luck 171
Shot 2 from the Native Area 171
Paul Dean 171
Feeling Better 171
Eriskaybet 170
Stuart Glover 167
bowmak316 166
The Shepherds Crook 166
Niall Duggan 166
Ronan McCarthy 166
Slim Tim Herron 166
EME9 166
Neil Bartlett 165
Ken Melton 165
Kieran Aherne 161
Bunyip 161
FCTwisters 161
jamie glowacki 160
Dan Geraghty 158
webuyanypar.com 157
parorbetter 157
Anonymous24 156
MaldenGolfClub 156
EME4 156
Double D 156
Stewart Davidson 156
JAMPOT 156
Greelo 155
EME3 153
Dean Broughton 151
Convo 150
Keith Murphy 146
EME22 146
Tigers 19 Holes 146
GreenArmy 145
Andrew Livermore 145
LoudmouthPants 142
Tony Pickett 142
Simon Frederick 141
Steven Barrett 141
Figjam 140
Neil Spencer 140
Llamedos 136
Corey De Bruyn 136
BJG 136
Dazmac 135
James Pacheco 135
Matts Caddies 135
Lucky Sod 131
Michael 130
Hodges Hawks 130
Towser 130
Tight Lines 127
jjlaff 126
A whales vagina 126
demoncleaners 125
Mavericks Boys 125
Stephen Crowson 121
Dan Chipowski 121
KangaMick 120
Lee Wallis 120
Super Hans 117
Easy Tiger 116
Terry 116
Agro 115
Drew the Tipster 115
Donny Osmond 111
Timcaznat 110
Drew J 110
Clonmullin 105
EME1 105
Simon 96
Nathan Whitbread 95
EME13 80
Nigel Robson 80
LEEDSLEEEDSLEEDSLEEEDS 80
Greig Steele 80
EME5 75
Kevin 70
Fredhed Barnrat 70
Tom A 65
Mike Norman 55

Following the first WGC event of the season, for which double points were on offer, we have big changes on the leaderboard, including a new leader. The 122 points earned by Luke Donald propelled Paul McGlinchey to pole position, and...

There's very little change on the leaderboard to report after a very difficult weekend for golf punters. No team included either winner, SSP Chowrasia or Aaron Baddeley, and only six players earned any points for their team....

We have a new leader, with Kendolph Express becoming the first team to top 300 points. In keeping with the rest of the golf season to date, most of the points were earned on the European Tour. Dubai Desert Classic...


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Market Movers: Monday February 28

Market Movers RSS / Editor / 28 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

All the betting moves ahead of today's racing at Catterick, Plumpton and Wolverhampton

Catterick
14.10
Bright Sparky 6.6 in to 5.7
Knight Valliant 14.0 in to 9.2

14.40
Not Talking 7.4 in to 5.8
The Red Laird 10.5 in to 6.8
Stagecoach Opal 27.0 in to 15.0

15.40
A Bridge To Far 2.32 out to 2.8
Total Submission 5.6 in to 3.55

16.10
Silent Cliche 2.26 out to 3.1
Wolf Moon 4.0 in to 3.15

16.40
Hazy Oaks 4.75 in to 3.6
Miss Champagne 13.3 in to 9.2

17.10
Sir Charlie Hutch 5.1 in to 3.85

Plumpton
14.20
Promised Wings 5.3 in to 4.1
Castle Myth 29.0 in to 15.0

15.20
Oscar Close 6.0 in to 4.1
Beau Lake 3.75 out to 5.2

16.50
Master DOr 4.1 out to 5.0
Double Pride 9.0 in to 7.2
Deep Pockets 10.5 in to 7.4

Wolverhampton
14.30
Six Wives 6.6 in to 5.6

15.00
Well Deal Again 2.04 out to 2.6
Dr Red Eye 5.7 in to 3.8

15.30
Dubai Hills 1.95 out to 2.46
Captain Ramius 4.0 in to 2.66

16.00
Whats Up Doc 4.8 out to 8.4

17.00
Black Pond 2.52 in to 1.65

18.00
Sweet Origin 2.6 in to 1.72
Laylas Dancer 5.0 out to 6.4

All the betting moves ahead of today's racing at Catterick, Plumpton and Wolverhampton...

All the early price movements on Betfair's racing markets....

All the day's early movers on Betfair's racing markets......


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Welcome Back Ruby


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Barnsley-Central By-Election Betting: A time to go with your heart

UK Politics RSS / Paul Krishnamurty / 28 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

The BNP will be targetting Barnsley Central

The BNP will be targetting Barnsley Central

"A low turnout looks guaranteed, and this is where the BNP come into play. They can't possibly win the seat, but achieving second place might only require 16% - the Tories and Lib Dems scored 17% each last May, on a full General Election turnout, when their national poll ratings were much higher."

A toxic mix of spending cuts and a corrupt MP has combined to give the BNP the chance of a strong by-election performance in Barnsley this week, and that presents most punters with a rare moral conundrum says Paul Krishnamurty

Anyone serious about gambling knows that golden rule number one is to never let your heart rule your head. Normally this is no problem. Only yesterday, this Arsenal fan couldn't resist backing Birmingham at value odds to win the Carling Cup. When it comes to the rather more serious business of politics, however, putting principles to one side is simply not an option.

In most cases, it wouldn't be a problem. At the last General Election, I was happy to back Labour, Conservatives and Lib Dems in constituencies where they were fancied. There is a precedent, however. Back in the 2000 US Presidential Election, having read extensively about George W Bush's new brand of 'compassionate conservatism' and how it would affect America and the wider world, I opted out of backing my prediction. A good move, because looking in the mirror the next day would have been impossible.

A similar moral conundrum has been swirling around my head these last few days, in weighing up Thursday's Barnsley Central by-election. As odds of [1.01] suggest, it would be a shock of epic, unimaginable proportions for Labour to lose this seat. Which leaves one betting option, on who finishes second, and I have a horrible feeling it could go to the BNP.

Extremists thrive on dissatisfaction with the mainstream political classes. That is a sentiment increasingly widely shared, but Barnsley has better reason than most. This election is only happening because the Labour MP Eric Illsley was imprisoned for expenses fraud. Barnsley voters might well ask why Illsley retained the Labour candidacy last May, when investigations must have already begun.

But if a section of this electorate wants to protest against Labour, where are they to turn? This is a working-class Northern, Labour stronghold - exactly the type of area about to be particularly badly hit by massive cuts to their local government budget. A mining town that used to be Arthur Scargill's base, at the heart of the 1980s conflict with the Thatcher government. Most people around here would never even dream of voting Conservative, and there's never been any substantial Liberal Democrat presence either. Neither have won 20% of the vote in any of the last four General Elections, so one must assume they won't bother wasting too many resources fighting a contest that will certainly result in defeat.

A low turnout looks guaranteed, and this is where the BNP come into play. They can't possibly win the seat, but achieving second place might only require 16% - the Tories and Lib Dems scored 17% each last May, on a full General Election turnout, when their national poll ratings were much higher. In that same contest, on what was otherwise a terrible night for Nick Griffin's band of racists and convicted football hooligans, the BNP scored 8.9%. They also scored 8.6% in the neighbouring constituency, compared to less than 2% nationally. Even more worryingly, the BNP scored around 18% in Barnsley in the 2009 European Elections, on a similarly low turnout.

Such consistent (relative) electoral success in Barnsley, and indeed Yorkshire generally, leads me to conclude that they are under-estimated in the market without Labour, having been matched at up to [38.0]. I hope with every fibre of my being that they flop abysmally, but fear the Nazis might make Friday morning's headlines. Such is the paucity of their 'movement', even grabbing third place would be deemed newsworthy.

So what to do? I will be sitting it out, although I understand if other punters refuse to allow their values and political beliefs to interfere with their betting. If your conscience can cope, then the BNP represent the best value betting option without Labour. But my wider advice is for the overwhelming majority of decent Barnsley voters. Please, get out and vote on Thursday. Don't let the extremists get some cheap publicity because of apathy. If you're angry about immigration, vote for the non-racist UKIP. If you're on the Left and angry with Labour, vote Socialist, Green or an independent. Alternatively, if you genuinely think that making a bunch of racist football hooligans the political face of Barnsley is a good idea, Britain remains a free country.

A toxic mix of spending cuts and a corrupt MP has combined to give the BNP the chance of a strong by-election performance in Barnsley this week, and that presents most punters with a rare moral conundrum says Paul Krishnamurty...

The appointment of Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor is a big development with many repercussions and the big winner, is Labour......

Liberal and Tory voters are unlikely to make a pact for the first by-election since the formation of the coalition, says Paul Krishnamurty. But should Labour be backed at short odds?...


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Greek Football Stats: Atromitos v Olympiakos Volos

Statistical Previews RSS / Tobias Gourlay / 28 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

It won't be all Greek to you if you've read this column before kick-off

It won't be all Greek to you if you've read this column before kick-off

"Five of Atromitos' last seven home and away matches have been level at half-time"

Two Super League teams meet in the semi-finals of the Greek Cup this Wednesday afternoon. Here are all the top line stats you need ahead of the match.

Atromitos v Olympiakos Volos

Competition: Greek Cup
Kick-Off Time: 02 March 16:00 GMT

Basic Stats

League Position: 12 5
Current Form: DWLLDD LLWWDW
Recent Head-To-Head 2-2 2-0 0-3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals this season (28 matches)

29/71 32/68

Super Stats

• Five of Atromitos' last seven home and away matches have been level at half-time
• Atromitos have drawn more home games (7/11) at full-time than any other club in the Super League
• Olympiakos Volos have drawn as many games (11/24) at full-time as anyone in this season's Super League
• Atromitos have scored only one goal in their last five home and away Super League games

In-Play Stats

• Since their last visit to the Peristeri Stadium in October, all six of the goals Olympiakos Volos have conceded away from home have come after half-time
• Nine of Atromitos' 13 home games this term have had the same result at half-time and full-time

Two Super League teams meet in the semi-finals of the Greek Cup this Wednesday afternoon. Here are all the top line stats you need ahead of the match....

Two Liga Leumit teams meet in the Israeli State Cup this Tuesday morning. Here are all the top line stats you need ahead of the match....

15th hosts 3rd in the Turkish Super Lig this Friday afternoon. Here are all the top line stats you need ahead of the match...


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Timeform Weekend Review: Quinz wins for Hobbs and Johnson

Timeform Features RSS / Timeform / 28 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Mount Oscar survives a blunder but cannot overhaul the younger Quinz

Mount Oscar survives a blunder but cannot overhaul the younger Quinz

"Quinz put in such an exemplary round of fencing that connections are now very much considering the Grand National."

Timeform takes a look back at the best action from the weekend, where ever-softening conditions gave us some astonishing performances.

Saturday's card at Kempton looked full of quality on paper and it didn't disappoint, with novice Quinz emulating Gloria Victis by winning the highly-competitive Racing Post Chase despite only limited experience over fences, in the process continuing Philip Hobbs' and Richard Johnson's stranglehold on the valuable race.

Prominent throughout, Quinz put in such an exemplary round of fencing that connections are now very much considering the Grand National, despite his jockey not initially being convinced the horse was ready for such a test. The fact that he may never get another chance to race off 10-8 could shape their thoughts and there's every possibility that he may now miss the Stewart Family Spinal Research Handicap Chase at Cheltenham for the Aintree showpiece. He also has the option of the Mildmay Novices' Chase at the same meeting so it will be interesting as to where we see him next.

Mount Oscar rolled back the year's and nearly emulated Marlborough, who won the race aged twelve in 2004, when looking likely to overhaul the winner, before Quinz seemed to find more after the last. This was a spirited performance and, incredibly for one of his age, his highest rated effort over fences.

Nacarat ran a gallant race in third but the weight seemed to tell, possibly finding the rain-softened conditions more testing than he would have appreciated. It's hard to be certain whether the breathing operation and first-time tongue strap had any effect as it wasn't surprising that his effort petered out in the straight on the ground and we may know more when he is back on a better surface.

In the Pendil Novices' Chase, Captain Chris finally landed his first win over fences after succumbing to Ghizao (twice) and Medermit in his three chase starts. In all honesty this race wasn't much of a test for him though as American Trilogy's jumping left a lot to be desired, whilst Adams Island simply wasn't good enough. Like the same owner's Wishfull Thinking, Captain Chris is still in the RSA Chase, but recent reports suggest they could both take their chance in the Golden Miller, rather than take on the likes of Ghizao and Medermit again, and they are both strong contenders.

The Adonis Juvenile Hurdle saw a clutch of ex-French horses make their British debut and it was Arc winner Zarkava's half-brother Zarkandar who impressed most. Having apparently taken time to get over being gelded, Zarkandar created a good impression on his hurdling debut, suddenly appearing on the bridle in the straight after momentarily being out-paced by sharper rivals turning in. Somewhat excitable beforehand, his performance on track was thoroughly professional, and he now heads straight to the Triumph Hurdle, for which he is now one of the leading fancies.

Runner-up Molotof , who's fluent jumping allowed him to travel well throughout the race, ran an encouraging race before being overhauled close home and can surely win good races for a trainer who won the race with Punjabi, Binocular and Soldatino in the last four years.

The Dovecote Novices' Hurdle provided a very impressive winner in Sire de Grugy, who had no trouble ploughing through the soft ground and stepped up on his minor wins at Fakenham and Folkestone to put himself firmly in line for further Graded success. He won't have that opportunity at Cheltenham, however, as he is not entered in anything, but Aintree beckons and providing he gets his conditions, he'll be a force to be reckoned with as his jumping looks assured and he's open to more improvement.

Paul Nicholls will have been disappointed with the running of Toubab, whose ability to jump probably wasn't helped by the soft ground, but he will have been delighted with the progress of Empire Levant, who stepped out of juvenile company with a highly promising, albeit well-beaten, second. He too may prefer better ground so is one to follow closely back on more suitable terrain.

In the concluding bumper, Oscar Magic opened his account at the first time of asking, at the expense of previous winner Tour d'Argent. He clearly knew his job, responding well when pressed to record a pleasing win and he looks to have a bright future over hurdles. In the meantime, however, he's now close up in the market for the Champion Bumper at the Festival.

Heavy conditions at Newcastle produced an Eider that caused some within the industry to question it's four mile one furlong distance, as the race itself reduced most competitors to a walk, none more so than eventual third Morgan Be, who somehow scrambled over the last to bag some prize money after being all but pulled up in the straight. All the plaudits must go to winner Companero however, as he brushed off his trainer's pre-race talks of retirement with a pillar-to-post victory, showcasing a foot-perfect round of jumping and seemingly endless reserves of stamina to win by 30 lengths from the very tired Giles Cross. The runner-up, who loves heavy ground but may not have stayed the full marathon distance, was the only horse to give chase to the winner and deserves full credit for doing so.

Despite having what looked a very hard race, both horses have been reported to be none the worse for their exertions, but time will tell whether it will have left its mark permanently.

Switching codes, there was also quality action on the all-weather at Lingfield where the front-running Waveband produced a career-best in taking the Listed Cleeves Stakes from another filly in Anne of Kiev. Seemingly thriving since joining David Barron in October of last year, she is equally as effective on turf so connections have an exciting prospect to start the season with.

On Sunday, the Graded action continued at Fontwell where Celestial Halo confirmed his well-being with victory in the National Spirit Hurdle. Not having to match his Kingwell performance of a week ago, he nonetheless impressed by backing the performance up with another classy effort and is now due to attempt to right the wrongs of last year's fall when leading in the Aintree Hurdle. In this form he will be a major player.

Of the supporting races, Fruity O'Rooney was perhaps the classiest performer and he made all to win the novices' chase, carrying on the Moore family's fine form after Sire de Grugy's performance yesterday. However, he is now going to be hard to place with a double penalty from now on and is seemingly no better than a fairly useful staying novice.

Timeform takes a look back at the best action from the weekend, where ever-softening conditions gave us some astonishing performances....

Fifty of the best prospects for the Flat from Timeform's experts, plus big-name interviews & much, much more. Read on to find out exactly what's inside......

The calm before the Cheltenham storm somewhat, but this week's action is set to feature some good horses and lots of opportunities to bolster you betting kitty for the Festival......


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Paul Nicholls' Weekend Runners: The Timeform Review


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Market Movers: Sunday February 27

Market Movers RSS / Editor / 27 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

All the early price movements on Betfair's racing markets.

FONTWELL

14.10
Vico 2.15 out to 2.72
Hong Long Harry 9.5 in to 7.2

14.40
Sarando 3.55 in to 3.0
Fruity O'Rooney 5.1 in to 3.8
Lord Ragnar 3.45 out to 4.6

15.10
Skippers Lad 18.5 in to 11.0
Rateable Value 6.0 in to 4.7
Pete The First 4.6 out to 5.6
Quel Bruere 5.2 out to 6.2
Oracle Kid 16.0 in to 12.0

15.45
Celestial Halo 1.86 out to 2.6
Sentry Duty 4.3 out to 5.9
Afsoun 60.0 in to 27.0

16.15
Herons Well 4.7 in to 3.85
Horsham Lad 6.0 out to 7.4

16.45
Just The Job 4.7 in to 4.1
Flow Gently Along 16.0 in to 7.8

17.15
Destroyer Deployed 2.86 out to 3.35
The Gurner 11.5 in to 8.2


TOWCESTER

14.30
Buddy Holly 8.0 in to 6.8
Lucky Landing 18.0 in to 12.5

15.00
Lightening Fire 10.0 in to 7.6
Grand Fella 3.8 out to 5.0

15.30
Shelomoh 11.0 in to 8.8

16.05
Round The Horn 2.24 out to 2.9
Argentia 17.5 in to 7.8

16.35
Panzer 3.2 out to 3.85
Preuty Boy 4.8 in to 3.65

17.05
Syndication 2.76 in to 2.08


LEOPARDSTOWN

13.50
Jetson 3.2 out to 4.2
Dantes King 8.8 in to 6.0

14.50
Golan Guy 7.8 in to 4.4
Sheer Genius 13.0 in to 9.0

15.20
Doctor Deejay 22.0 in to 12.0

15.55
Osirixamix 2.48 in to 1.95

16.25
Ten Fires 10.0 in to 6.2

All the early price movements on Betfair's racing markets....

All the day's early movers on Betfair's racing markets......

This evening's market movers from Wolverhampton......


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Sunday Poker Tournament - $400k GTD

Grand Series of Poker RSS / Dave Allan / 27 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Grand Series of Poker

The major Sunday poker tournament on Betfair on February 27th is the $400k Guaranteed Event 1 of the Grand Series of Poker commencing at 20:00 CET.

The deepstacked event kicks off the exciting Grand Series of Poker and has a buy-in of just $190+$10. Betfair players can earn up to 100,000 in sponsorship should they finish in the top three of any of the main events - more details here.

If your average buy-in is smaller then why not check out the GSOP-Mini schedule. Tonight's feature is the $40k GTD event with a buy-in of just $20.

Click here for full details of all the GSOP and GSOP-Mini Events

Sign Up at Betfair Poker and play the GSOP

The major Sunday poker tournament on Betfair on February 27th is the $400k Guaranteed Event 1 of the Grand Series of Poker commencing at 20:00 CET....

The sixth edition of the Grand Series of Poker (GSOP) kicks on on Sunday 27 February and will run until Sunday 13 March and whilst we are aware that each site on the Ongame Network will be running this fantastic...

There is plenty of noise going around at the moment concerning the GSOP but what exactly is this GSOP they are talking about? The GSOP is an acronym for the Grand Series of Poker, a series of games hosted on...


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Premier League Betting: Stoke v West Brom

Premier League RSS / Mike Norman / 27 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

John Carew is fancied to give West Brom’s defence a difficult time on Monday night

John Carew is fancied to give West Brom’s defence a difficult time on Monday night

"At [1.96] to back Stoke look worthy of a best bet selection given both club’s respective home/away form, their excellent record against Albion, and the fact that the Baggies are incapable of keeping a clean sheet."

Stoke host West Brom on Monday night knowing that a win will give them every chance to challenge for a top six finish. Mike Norman previews the game. Best Bet: Back Stoke at [1.96] to beat West Brom.


Venue: Britannia Stadium, Stoke
Kick-Off/TV: 20:00, live on Sky Sports 1


West Brom fell into the relegation zone for the first time this season thanks to Wolves' 4-0 victory over Blackpool on Saturday, but such is the tight nature of the Premier League table currently, a win for Roy Hodgson's men on Monday night will move the Baggies up three places and just two points behind 10th place Everton. A win for the home side will set Stoke up nicely for an end-of-season challenge to finish in the top six and a possible Europa League qualifying slot.

Unusually for this stage of the season both managers have virtually full strength squads to choose from. Tony Pulis' only major doubt is winger Matthew Etherington who is still struggling with a back problem, but Abdoulaye Faye could return after recovering from a hamstring injury.

Hodgson will be boosted by the news that Scott Carson and Jonas Olsson have recovered from illness, though whether he will be equally pleased when he learns about his new club's poor record against Stoke is unlikely. Albion have won just one of their last 28 meetings against the Potters, and in recent years, Stoke have won seven and drawn one of their last eight encounters, including a comprehensive 3-0 victory at The Hawthorns in November.


Match Odds: Stoke [1.96], West Brom [4.7], The Draw [3.5]

This will be Hodgson's second crack at beating Stoke at the Britannia Stadium this season but he won't have fond memories of his first attempt - a 2-0 loss during his brief spell as Liverpool boss. The side he has inherited have now gone a club record 25 Premier League games without recording a clean sheet, and that sequence is unlikely to be broken against a physically strong Stoke side who will put the ball into the box at every opportunity.

Stoke have won their last four games at the Britannia whereas West Brom have lost five successive away league games, the last four without scoring. At [1.96] to back Stoke look worthy of a best bet selection given both club's respective home/away form, their excellent record against Albion, and the fact that the Baggies are incapable of keeping a clean sheet - especially on the road (none in 13 league games so far this season).


Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Six of Stoke's last seven league games on home soil have gone the way of Under 2.5 Goals - available to back at [1.86] here - but eight of West Brom's last 11 away league games have ended with Over 2.5 Goals ([2.12]) being the outcome. It's a close one then, but given the better odds on Overs, and the fact that all league games involving Stoke this term have averaged 2.4 goals per game, and for Albion it's 3.22 goals per game, then Over 2.5 Goals has to be the selection.

Stoke are the only side in the Premier League this season not to score a goal in the first 15 minutes, so perhaps In-Play punters might want to wait until this point before backing Over 2.5 Goals. If the score is 0-0 at this point then the odds should drift to around [2.4], but in my opinion, the chances of this bet being successful will still be the same.


Half Time/Full Time

As alluded to above, Stoke don't score early goals; in fact, from the 31 league goals they've scored this term, just seven have been scored in the first half of their games. There's no reason to believe that trend will continue, but given that Hodgson is likely to set his stall out to defend - especially in the early stages - then backing Draw HT/Stoke FT at [5.2] could prove very profitable.


First Goalscorer

John Carew - who could have joined Albion in January - looks to be a shrewd signing by Pulis as it's his height and strength that fits perfectly into Stoke's style of play. It's Carew that I feel will give the away team most problems, so at around [6.8] to back in this market, he is another speculative wager worth having.


Best Bet: Back Stoke at [1.96] to beat West Brom
Back Draw/Stoke at [5.2] in Half Time/Full Time market
Back Over 2.5 Goals In-Play at around [2.4] if score is 0-0 after 15 minutes


*Mike's record on his Best Bets this season is 23 wins from 47 selections resulting in a profit of £68.40 (£10 stake/liability per selection)

If you're sick of seeing Manchester United somehow managing to overcome every obstacle put in their way year after year to keep up an incredible level of consistency, there's only one man to blame for it all, says Frank Gregan....

Stoke host West Brom on Monday night knowing that a win will give them every chance to challenge for a top six finish. Mike Norman previews the game. Best Bet: Back Stoke at [1.96] to beat West Brom....

West Ham host an in-form Liverpool this Sunday lunchtime but could struggle to break down a resolute Reds defence......


Betfair website

Israeli Football Stats: Hapoel Ra'anana v Maccabi Ironi Jaat

Statistical Previews RSS / Tobias Gourlay / 27 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Happily, there is much more to Israeli football than Avram Grant

Happily, there is much more to Israeli football than Avram Grant

"Both teams have scored in only one of Hapoel Ra’anana’s last nine games"

Two Liga Leumit teams meet in the Israeli State Cup this Tuesday morning. Here are all the top line stats you need ahead of the match.

Hapoel Ra'anana v Maccabi Ironi Jaat

Competition: Israeli State Cup
Kick-Off Time: 01 March 11:00 GMT

Basic Stats

League Position: 4 13?
Current Form: DLDDDW LLWDLW
Recent Head-To-Head 0-0 0-0

Over/Under 2.5 Goals this season (26 matches)

27/73 50/50

Super Stats

• Maccabi Ironi Jaat have the worst defence in this season's Liga Leumit, conceding 48 goals in 24 games so far?
• Hapoel Ra'anana have drawn as many games (10/24) as anyone in Liga Leumit
• Five of Hapoel Ra'anana's last six home matches have stayed Under 2.5 Goals?
• Both teams have scored in only one of Hapoel Ra'anana's last nine games

In-Play Stats

• Maccabi Ironi Jaat have won all five of the away games in which they have been ahead at half-time
• Eleven of Hapoel Ra'anana's 13 home games this term have had the same result at half-time and full-time

Two Liga Leumit teams meet in the Israeli State Cup this Tuesday morning. Here are all the top line stats you need ahead of the match....

15th hosts 3rd in the Turkish Super Lig this Friday afternoon. Here are all the top line stats you need ahead of the match...

Eighth hosts first in the Turkish Super Lig this Monday afternoon. Here are all the top-line stats you need ahead of the match...


Betfair website

Follow The Money: Halo to come crashing down back to earth

Follow the Money RSS / Follow The Money / 27 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Celestial Halo may be worth laying this afternoon

Celestial Halo may be worth laying this afternoon

"Our next selection is today’s lay in the shape of Celestial Halo in the 15.45 at the same track, who has drifted from [2.12] out to [2.66]. Whilst he is the top rated in this field the fact remains that Celestial Halo has not visited the winner’s enclosure since November 2009 for a run of nine races without success."

You know the drill: two recommended backs and one recommended lay based on early price movements. FTM boys, over to you.

Today's Follow The Money movers come from the meetings at Fontwell and Towcester.

We start with the opener at Fontwell, a Novice hurdle at 14.10, where Hong Kong Harry has been backed from an early [9.5] in to [6.4]. Given that this gelding showed relatively little last season (fell and beaten 50 lengths on his two starts) Alan King was relatively bullish in his pre-season assessment, claiming that he was a typically "active and buzzy" son of Sir Harry Lewis and that more would be seen from him this year. A second first time out this season was followed by a less than impressive run in a Sandown handicap when tailed off and ultimately pulled up. Notwithstanding this, Hong Kong Harry's return to novice company can only be a plus and with the favourite in the race, Vico, a major drifter ([2.1] out to [2.9]) we might just see him break his duck today.

Our next selection is today's lay in the shape of Celestial Halo in the 15.45 at the same track, who has drifted from [2.12] out to [2.66]. Whilst he is the top rated in this field the fact remains that Celestial Halo has not visited the winner's enclosure since November 2009 for a run of nine races without success. If we add into the melting pot the fact that Paul Nicholl's charge has been placed just once from five attempts over two and a half miles (and takes on specialists at this trip with the likes of Karabak and Sentry Duty) it is not too difficult a decision to take Celestial Halo on at the price.

We go to Towcester for our final mover where, in the 16.35, Preuty Boy has shortened from [4.8] in to [3.65]. Carrying top weight today in this handicap chase, Preuty Boy showed his liking for this testing course when runner up to a smart sort (albeit beaten by 27 lengths) last time. With doubts about the ability of the morning favourite Panzer to handle today's heavy going and not too much else in the race to cause concern, Preuty Boy looks more than a solid selection.


Recommended Bets

Back Hong Kong Harry @ [6.4] Fontwell 14.10
Lay Celestial Halo @ [2.66] Fontwell 15.45
Back Preuty Boy @ [3.65] Towcester 16.35

That's all for today. If you're on the move this information is recorded on 0870 90 80 181.

You know the drill: two recommended backs and one recommended lay based on early price movements. FTM boys, over to you....

The FTM boys give us their usual two backs and a lay......

Today's Follow The Money movers come from the meetings at Lingfield, Sandown and Warwick respectively....


Betfair website

XY Factor - Sunday 27 February

XY Factor RSS / XY Factor / 27 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

The XY Factor heads to Towcester on Sunday.....

Today's Race: Towcester 4.35

Today's Bet and current Betfair price:
5 point win MISS FLEUR [3.35]

Yesterday's Return: -5

Running Return (February)
-57.48

VERDICT:
Yesterday's selection traded at 1.04 before being collared in the dying stages on the opener at Lingfield. Towcester will be a paradise for mudlarks this afternoon and MISS FLEUR has form on bottomless ground and a relatively light weight - she is top-rated.

The XY Factor heads to Towcester on Sunday........

The XY Factor is at Lingfield on Saturday........

The XY Factor bids for three wins in-a-row on Friday.......


Betfair website

Cricket World Cup Betting: West Indies v Netherlands

Match Previews RSS / Andrew Hughes / 27 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Gayle has the ammunition

Gayle has the ammunition

"But though they gave England a hard workout and in Ryan ten Doeschate, have a world class one day batsmen, the Nethelands’ bowling is dangerously weak..."

The West Indies have suffered a huge blow with the loss of Dwayne Bravo and now they face a stiff test against a battling Netherlands side.

London Start Time: 09:00

Venue and Conditions
The Feroz Shah Kotla had an unfortunate reputation to live down but in the first game here on Thursday the relaid wicket was a fair one and remained true throughout. Even so, this is not exactly a batting paradise and 250 is likely to be a good score. Fielding second might be tricky too as the temperature drops and the dew accumulates

Team News
In the absence of Bravo, West Indies can either slot in batsman Kirk Edwards or play an extra bowler and move everyone else up a place, although this would mean exposing Keiron Pollard or Darren Sammy at six.

Netherlands have no injury worries and they won't want to tinker with a batting line-up that caused England problems. If they want to freshen up a tame bowling attack, they could call on a second specialist spinner in Adeel Raja.

Match Odds
The Netherlands will feel this is their best chance of knocking over one of the Test playing nations. The West Indies, never high on confidence, have lost their vice captain, leader on the field and most reliable one day bowler in Dwayne Bravo. At times against South Africa, they looked a shambles. So odds of [7.0] about a Netherlands win might look appealing.

But though they gave England a hard workout and in betting.betfair columnist Ryan ten Doeschate, have a world class one day batsmen, the Netherlands' bowling is dangerously weak and the likes of Chris Gayle, Darren Bravo, Ramnaresh Sarwan and Shivnarine Chanderpaul can take full advantage. With the Windies having had vital experience of playing on this track, I suspect we may have to wait a while for the first shock of World Cup 2011.

Top Batsman
The Netherlands medium pace attack should suit Chris Gayle down to the ground and he is the solid selection to top score at [3.75] or better.

For Holland, all of the batsmen got starts against England and I liked the look of aggressive opener Wesley Barresi who can be backed at [6.5].

Featured Market
Chris Gayle is due a big performance and we should side with him in preference to his younger teamate in the 'Da(rren) Bravo v Gayle' market at [1.75] or better.

Best Bet

Chris Gayle to top score for West Indies at [3.75]


Betfair website

Cricket World Cup Betting: Canada v Zimbabwe

Match Previews RSS / Andrew Hughes / 27 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Back Brendan to top score

Back Brendan to top score

"Brendon Taylor is the classiest bat in the Zimbabwe line-up and though he struggled against Australia’s pace bowlers, Canada’s medium pace dobblers should be much more to his liking."

Both these teams were thrashed in their opening fixtures but this is a chance for two of the Group A minnows to get a win on the board

London Start Time: 04:00
Venue and Conditions
A slow but true pitch and a fast outfield had characterised the three ODIs played at this ground, including England's win over Netherlands last week. So Friday's low scoring affair between Australia and New Zealand was a slight surprise, as was the variable bounce. That said, even if the pitch is wearing a little, neither of these sides have the quick bowlers to exploit it in the way that Australia did.

Team News
Canada opted to protect their talented youngsters Hiral Patel and Nitish Kumar for their opening game against Sri Lanka, but after a woeful batting performance, both are likely to get their chance here. Zimbabwe will probably be unchanged, though they may consider bringing all-rounder Greg Lamb for Regis Chakabva.

Match Odds
This is an intriguing match-up between two improving Associate teams. Though both were blown away by top class seam and pace bowling in their opening games, it has to be remembered that they were up against two of the tournament favourites. Canada do have one or two exciting young batsmen and could cause a surprise here, but at [1.23] I'm going to side with Zimbabwe, who have the stronger bowling and who put in a sparkling fielding performance against Australia.

Top Batsman
Rizwan Cheema caught the headlines pre-tournament with his innings against England and top scored against Sri Lanka, but the reliable selection in the Canadian line up is dependable accumulator Ashish Bagai, who can be backed at [5.5]

Brendan Taylor is the classiest bat in the Zimbabwe line-up and though he struggled against Australia's pace bowlers, Canada's medium pace dobblers should be much more to his liking. He should be backed at [4.0] or better

Featured Market
The average number of fours in ODIs at this ground is 50 so you should consider backing '50 or more' in the Total Fours market at [2.25] or better

Best Bet

Back Brendan Taylor to top score for Zimbabwe at [4.0]


Betfair website

February 27, 2011

Ryan ten doeschate: A repeat performance can see us beat the Windies

Netherlands RSS / Ryan ten doeschate / 27 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Ryan ten doeschate's century against England was one of the highlights of the tournament so far

Ryan ten doeschate's century against England was one of the highlights of the tournament so far

"Reaching my hundred was one of the sweetest moments of my career and I was on top of the world at the half-way stage. I've really struggled leading up
to this match and only found my rhythm on the day before the match. That performance has created a lot of interest in me and I've done an incredible amount of
press stuff this week."

Tuesday's Centurion Ryan ten doeschate on meeting his hero, gunning for Sachin Tendulkar's wicket and unprecedented media attention on himself.

The World Cup is up and running and some teams have put some early markers out. I think Australia have been wrongly undersetimated in the lead up to the tournament but have wasted no time in showing how good they are when the World Cup proper comes around. Pakistan are the other team who have shown a position of early strength with a narrowish but ultimately convincing win over co-hosts Sri Lanka.

Our first week has been fascinating and while we were ultimately very disappointed about losing to England, the team are as confident as I've ever seen them. It was a good all-round performance from us and people have certainly taken note of how impressive our performance was in pushing England so close. In my pre-match article I spoke about standing up to the big teams and really going at them and that's something
we felt we did well on Tuesday.

Our post-match debrief centred around the execution of our bowling plans and this is the area where we missed the chance to crownn a good performance with what would have been a remarkable victory. We know that we were below par with the ball and if the batters can give the team another chance by posting a decent score, I have no doubt we will see it home. Having said that, it is important to note that quality players like Andrew Strauss and Kevin Pietersen are severe on anything remotely loose.

Reaching my hundred was one of the sweetest moments of my career and I was on top of the world at the half-way stage. I've really struggled leading upto this match and only found my rhythm on the day before the match. That performance has created a lot of interest in me and I've done an incredible amount of press stuff this week. The highlight for me was being invited to discuss my knock with Sir Viv Richards on a live Indian cricket show. He always comes across as a good bloke but he exceded every level of my expectations and it was truly great to see how someone like him is so humble and genuinely friendly.

The West Indies pose the next challenge for us on Monday. Dwayne Bravo's injury is a real shame and a big loss for the tournament because he's such a colourful guy as well as such a great player. I guess that will place extra emphasis on Chris Gayle and keeping him quiet will be our top priority. But we are are certainly full of confidence and I expect everyone to be up for it on Tuesday. We had a run out on the field today and the stadium is pretty special.

We only have two days between the West indies match and our next fixture, which is against South Africa in Chandigar. For obvious reasons its a game I'm looking
forward to and in particular to playing against my childhood hero Jacques Kallis. Apart from him, I am probably most excited about playing against Sachin Tendulkar. His name invariably pops up in all interviews and the hype surrounding him here is too difficult to articulate. I can't see myself getting another chance to play against him so it will be a big moment for all of us. All the bowlers will be queing up for the honour of bagging the 'big fish' of the World Cup.

But before we get ahead of ourselves and worry about Kallis and Tendulkar we need to follow up our opening performance with a good showing against the West Indies.
We'll be sticking to our processes and will keep pursuing a brave style of play. We really believe that if we can replicate the performance we put in against England, we can actually get over the line this time.


Betfair website

Manchester United: Blame it all on Fergie

Premier League RSS / Frank Gregan / 27 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Manager, problem-solver, father figure and all-round legend. We give you Sir Alex...

Manager, problem-solver, father figure and all-round legend. We give you Sir Alex...

"We now have University lecturers that earn their living answering questions like that. They'll tell you about global brand awareness, historical trends, the importance of momentum and the balance between ambition and expectation. Nonsense - there's a one word answer to the question- Fergie!"

If you're sick of seeing Manchester United somehow managing to overcome every obstacle put in their way year after year to keep up an incredible level of consistency, there's only one man to blame for it all, says Frank Gregan.

A little over a year ago this column predicted that Manchester United would end the 2009/10 season without a trophy. It didn't come to fruition because United picked up the Carling Cup but that did little to sate the thirst that the United faithful have for trophies.

An eventful year has since past. Manchester City have continued to flex their financial muscle, Tottenham have proved that last season was no flash in the pan and Liverpool under new ownership and management have shown with the purchases of Andy Carroll and Luis Suarez that they are back in business. Chelsea were crowned champions but are enduring a painful run at present. In an attempt to get back on track they secured the most-sought after signature in English football when Fernando Torres put pen to paper, a clear signal that they have no intention of downsizing.

Manchester United's investment in the summer was modest. Javier Hernandez, Chris Smalling and Bebe were all bought with an eye on the future. It could be argued that once again Man Utd's financial plight hampered them in the transfer market with their rivals spending larger amounts on better players.

Since the season kicked off Sir Alex hasn't enjoyed a hassle-free season. Wayne Rooney started the campaign as Public Enemy Number One after England's World Cup debacle and revelations about his private life coupled with persistent injury problems fuelled his petulance. It looked as if it would all end in tears when Rooney's desire to leave Old Trafford became public, particularly when he was linked with a move across the city to Eastlands.

Another massive blow to the Reds was the injury sustained by Antonio Valencia against Rangers in the middle of September. The Ecuadorian is the real deal, a class act who has blossomed since the departure of Cristiano Ronaldo and has become one of United's most influential players. His injury added to Rio Ferdinand and Rooney's ongoing problems, an ageing squad and a bitter resentment towards their American owners meant it was all doom and gloom at the Theatre of Dreams.

Six months down the track and all is rosy in the red part of Manchester. They're top of the Premier League, into the quarter finals of the FA Cup and in great nick after their first leg in the round of 16 in the Champions League. They'll be looking forward to a massive end of season party with a possible treble in the offing. Unbelievable! How do they do it?

We now have University lecturers that earn their living answering questions like that. They'll tell you about global brand awareness, historical trends, the importance of momentum and the balance between ambition and expectation. Nonsense - there's a one word answer to the question- Fergie!

It seems no matter what problem is put before him, the great man rises above it. He is the Kenny Rogers of football, he "knows when to hold 'em, knows when to fold 'em!" In the past he has seen David Beckham walk away, lost the services of the best player in the Premier League when Cristiano Ronaldo headed for warmer climates and it looked certain that he would lose Rooney.

He survived the losses of Beckham and Ronaldo, partly because he was able to bring in very decent replacements (let's not forget Ronaldo came in as Beckham went out) but the loss of the former Everton man during such tough financial times for the club would have been a disaster. There were a lot of United supporters at the time who were saying "let him go", such was Rooney's attitude, form and conduct but the master man-manager somehow sorted the situation out.

It was fitting that the problematic England striker then came up with a wonder goal to win the Manchester derby after his side had been outplayed for most of the game. Once again it left the footballing world asking the same question - 'how do they do it?' Odds of [23.0] are available on them to win all three competitions that they are challenging for and the way they keep somehow getting results suggests it's not beyond them.

It was another case of Glory Glory Man Utd yesterday against Wigan but they have two massive challenges this week with away games against Chelsea on Tuesday and Liverpool on Sunday.Those two games could well decide if, at least as far as the Premier League is concerned, the Reds go marching on on on!

If you're sick of seeing Manchester United somehow managing to overcome every obstacle put in their way year after year to keep up an incredible level of consistency, there's only one man to blame for it all, says Frank Gregan....

Stoke host West Brom on Monday night knowing that a win will give them every chance to challenge for a top six finish. Mike Norman previews the game. Best Bet: Back Stoke at [1.96] to beat West Brom....

West Ham host an in-form Liverpool this Sunday lunchtime but could struggle to break down a resolute Reds defence......


Betfair website

WGC Golf Tips: Back the matchplay specialist

World Match Play RSS / Paul Krishnamurty / 27 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Luke Donald is arguably the best exponent of matchplay golf in the world

Luke Donald is arguably the best exponent of matchplay golf in the world

"Matchplay is different, however, especially over 18 holes. Some players clearly prefer this format, and Donald is the ultimate example. Luke has won his five matches this week by an incredible 22 hole aggregate margin, compared to 11 for Kaymer. He is the only player who hasn't at least endured a bad spell of holes, except perhaps when taking his foot off the gas against Manassero."

It's been a marathon week and the reduction of the final to just 18 holes has been welcomed by Paul Krishnamurty. But who will come out on top and seal the deal?

WGC organisers have made a smart move in shortening tonight's final to 18 holes. While we would all like to see as much golf as possible, the week is something of a marathon anyway and previous 36-hole finals have tended to drag on, especially when they've been one-sided. US TV coverage is bad enough without giving them an extra five minutes between shots to fill. And in all truth, it will be nice to put my feet up for a couple of hours with the Sunday paper this afternoon, after yesterday's gruelling schedule.

Martin Kaymer may well share that sentiment after last night's late finish, though if the German needs a lift, all he need do is look at the updated world rankings. Kaymer thoroughly deserves his new status as the world's leading player, especially as his predecessor at number one, Lee Westwood, has started the season slowly. What better way to celebrate than to win his first WGC title?

Nevertheless, punters should be extremely wary of assuming that Kaymer is anything like an odds-on 'good thing' tonight. Indeed a closer look at those rankings shows that if Luke Donald wins tonight, the Englishman will himself rise to number three. It is the perfect illustration of golf's new order, where rather than one man dominating, any one of 10, maybe 20 or even 30 players are separated by a wafer-thin margin.

This final also presents the ideal opportunity to revisit the never-ending punting debate about the relationship between strokeplay and matchplay form. Frankly, if this were a strokeplay event in the desert, I'd be recommending a large bet on Kaymer. Whatever their rankings, choosing between a man with nine titles over the last three years, and another with only one during the last five years plus a plethora of final day failures, is a no-brainer.

Matchplay is different, however, especially over 18 holes. Some players clearly prefer this format, and Donald is the ultimate example. Luke has won his five matches this week by an incredible 22 hole aggregate margin, compared to 11 for Kaymer. He is the only player who hasn't at least endured a bad spell of holes, except perhaps when taking his foot off the gas against Manassero. Factor in Donald's previous record in this event, the Ryder Cup and even the Walker Cup as an amateur, and the Englishman has a strong claim to being the world's finest match player.

When the gap between the top players is so small in the first place, any match like this is going to be basically a toss of a coin affair. For that and the above reasons, my recommendation is to back Donald, although this is not a match for big stakes. Given how closely they are matched, the best strategy might be to lay whoever goes in front first.

The third place consolation match is equally hard to call. Bubba Watson has definitely been superior to Matt Kuchar over the week, but I wonder whether this inspirational player will be able to get his competitive juices flowing again so quickly after yesterday's marathon effort. Kuchar is a completely contrasting type of character, recently taking over from Jim Furyk as the PGA Tour's 'Mr Consistency', and rates a tentative pick.

Recommended bets

2pts Luke Donald @ [2.1] (vs Kaymer)
2pts Matt Kuchar @ [1.9] (vs Watson)

It's been a marathon week and the reduction of the final to just 18 holes has been welcomed by Paul Krishnamurty. But who will come out on top and seal the deal?...

Paul Krishnamurty looks ahead to today's quarter-finals and tells us why the mammoth hitting of Bubba Watson could mean he's last man standing....

While the big names fell yesterday, Paul's picks marched on. Will they be in the frame this time tomorrow?...


Betfair website

Fontwell Placepot: Sunday February 27

Daily Placepots RSS / Simon Baker / 27 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Fontwell Park

Fontwell Park

"Initial instinct was to take on Celestial Halo given he had a hard enough race just over a week ago, but he does have a fair bit in hand at the weights, so there probably isn’t much mileage in leaving him out."

Fontwell is the better of today's two NH meetings so that's where we're heading for the placepot...

14:10 - There are several in this that have the potential to improve for various reasons, but standard-setter Vico is one of them, and if he matches the form he showed when runner-up at Wincanton back in November he'll almost certainly be placed, and thus rates as a first-leg banker.

14:40 - Sarando might well win this novices' chase, but I can't find a piece of form, hurdles or fences, to justify him being a whole point shorter than Fruity O'Rooney in the betting, so it is with him that we'll side for the first selection. There's a chance the two already mentioned might take each other on up front, so in goes Lord Ragnar who might well get a race run to suit even if he hasn't looked a natural chaser to date.

15:10 - Quel Bruere's form comes and goes too often for comfort, but he pretty obviously has a weak handicap in him of this mark judged on the form he's shown when runner-up on two of his last starts. Swainson isn't reliable either, but if he repeats the form he showed when winning here last time, with the same rider in the plate, he'll be thereabouts too.

15:45 - Initial instinct was to take on Celestial Halo given he had a hard enough race just over a week ago, but he does have a fair bit in hand at the weights, so there probably isn't much mileage in leaving him out. There is, however, no harm in taking some insurance in the shape of Sentry Duty, who usually goes well on the back of a break, shaped better than the bare result when last seen in the Relkeel Hurdle, and most importantly, has the form to be right in the mix.

16:15 - Ornais will probably come on for his reappearance and is the one to beat, but he's currently an odds-on shot, and it will be to our advantage for placepot purposes if we can get him out of the two. Therefore we're banking on Herons Well, who looked like he retains most of his ability when runner-up in one of these at Ffos Las recently.

16:45 - Just The Job will prove very difficult to beat if he runs as well as he did when runner-up at Huntingdon on Thursday and the fact that he has overcome quick turnarounds in the past lends further weight to the argument for him. We can probably afford a back up and the one chosen for that role is Haarth Sovereign, who shaped with a fair bit more promise than the distance beaten would suggest last time.

Selections: 16 lines

14:10 - 1
14:40 - 2, 5
15:10 - 2, 6
15:45 - 3, 4
16:15 - 1
16:45 - 4, 7

Fontwell is the better of today's two NH meetings so that's where we're heading for the placepot......

Probably the best all-weather card of the year so far at Lingfield, the highlight the final of the sprint series....

For what looks a tricky day across the board, we turn to Lingfield for 'Placepotting' purposes, where the difficulty of the task in hand means the prospective financial gains are highly attractive....


Betfair website

Paul Nicholls: Massively excited about Zarkandar and Sam Winner


Betfair website

Ryan Giggs: The ultimate team man but not the greatest

Football Food For Thought RSS / Paul Moon / 27 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

He may be a little greyer and a yard slower but Giggs is still absolute class

He may be a little greyer and a yard slower but Giggs is still absolute class

"His contribution to Manchester United is obvious and overwhelming in equal amounts. Originally an out-and-out lightning quick winger winger, he has since learnt to adapt to an offensive playmaking role within the side, blending skill, movement and experience with football intelligence."

Ryan Giggs has been around longer than the Premier League and won just about every club honour up for grabs. But where does he rank alongside the greatest United legends and where was the one area he let others down, asks Paul Moon.

Ryan Joseph Giggs OBE (born 29 November 1973) is the most decorated player in English football history and a credit to the game. His incredible haul of 32 winners' medals include 11 Premier League wins and two Champions League titles, quite remarkable achievements. But where does he rank in the Manchester United hall of fame?

On the January 31 2011 he was named Manchester United's greatest ever player by a worldwide poll conducted by United's official magazine and website. Without wishing to sound churlish or attempting to devalue his marvellous achievements, the award sits somewhere between the sentimental and frivolous, as was his BBC Sports Personality of the Year award in 2009 by the way.

The reality is that the winner of the 'greatest player ever' category must surely rest between Sir Bobby Charlton, Eric Cantona, George Best and Denis Law. And that's without nominating Cristiano Ronaldo or Bryan Robson. That said, Giggs is the best 'clubman' United has ever had and some distance ahead of Gary Neville, Paul Scholes and Roy Keane.

His contribution to Manchester United is obvious and overwhelming in equal amounts. Originally an out-and-out lightning quick winger winger, he has since learnt to adapt to an offensive playmaking role within the side, blending skill, movement and experience with football intelligence. His final ball has improved year on year and he has that unique ability to affect games and make a difference. One has also to pay homage the remarkable levels of fitness he still shows; let's not forget he's closer to his 40th birthday than his 30th.

The way he conducts himself on and off the pitch is similarly impeccable and in 20-years of playing football for his club he has never been sent off. In the days of over-zealous refereeing, that's no mean achievement.

It will surprise some that he actually signed on for archrivals Manchester City as a youth in 1985-87 but since then has spent his entire senior career at Manchester United where he holds the club record for competitive appearances and the club record for team trophies won by a player. Devout loyalty to a club is commendable and should be applauded but is it possible he would have become an even better player had he transferred abroad?

He is a player who clearly looks after himself but paradoxically this approach has produced the one stain on his career to date! It is something of a disappointment that he has not always shown the necessary resolve to play regularly for his country. Since 1990 he has too often missed international commitments through alleged injuries, only to somehow recover in time for his next club fixture. In his long career he has averaged just three games per year, playing a total of 64 games for Wales. Of course Wales have never been involved in a major tournament during that period but still; he's missed far too many games.

I'm sure one day he will manage Wales and inherit a similar set of circumstances. I'm sure he'll find that just as frustrating as the likes of John Toshack and Mark Hughes did as regards him.

The pace has gone a little and those marauding runs down the wing are few and far between these days but his influence within this youngish United side is there for all to see. United may yet win the league title, the FA Cup and the Champions League, just like they did back in 1999. No-one would begrudge Giggs a second treble of that nature...

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