February 17, 2011

The Championship Betting: Foxes can see of The Robins in no time

Championship RSS / Andrew French / 17 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Leicester City are on a terrific run of form under new boss Sven-Goran Eriksson

Leicester City are on a terrific run of form under new boss Sven-Goran Eriksson

"In each of Leicester's four successive wins they have been ahead after 45 minutes – and they have not taken the lead in any of that quartet later than the 28th minute, which suggests boss Sven-Goran Eriksson has them ready from the off."

Just like our Championship expert Andrew French, Leicester City are in fantastic form at the moment, and Andrew can see the Foxes winning again this weekend as well as a win for Millwall and goals at the Liberty Stadium.


Leicester v Bristol City

There's so much to like about Leicester at the moment, and plenty of reasons to suggest Bristol City will not offer much resistance as the Foxes march towards a fifth successive victory. So, it's no surprise to see the home side as short as [1.44] for the win - and while I am pretty confident they will take three points, that's too skinny to interest me. Therefore, I was pleased to see that Leicester/Leicester in the Hal Time/Full Time market was a far more agreeable [2.12] - especially as recent trends suggest the Foxes will be in control of this one by the break. In each of their four successive wins they have been ahead after 45 minutes - and they have not taken the lead in any of that quartet later than the 28th minute, which suggests boss Sven-Goran Eriksson has them ready from the off. Bristol City have lost four of their last six: and in three of those defeats, they have been trailing at the interval. Leicester also show no mercy to struggling opponents - they have won five of seven against bottom-half sides (drawing the other two).

Back Leicester HT/Leicester FT [2.12]


Millwall v Middlesbrough

I am surprised to see Millwall trading at odds against. The Lions have been just about unplayable at home recently, with six consecutive wins during which time they have conceded only one goal. In fact, they have been in good form generally with only two defeats in 14 outings and both of those were away to teams with promotion aspirations (Norwich and Leicester). Boro had been on a decent run under Tony Mowbray, but back-to-back defeats have brought that to an end - and the way they threw a 3-1 lead away to lose 4-3 at home to Swansea on Saturday suggests they are still vulnerable at the back. Middlesbrough have not won away from home against a top-half side this season - while Millwall have won seven out of nine at The Den against teams below halfway.

Back Millwall at [2.16]


Swansea v Doncaster

For a top-six side that has won nine home games, Swansea's goalscoring record at the Liberty Stadium is particularly low: just 19 in 15 games. However, 14 of their 19 have come in games against bottom-half teams, giving them an average of much nearer two a game when entertaining struggling opponents. They cracked in four at Middlesbrough last weekend and they have got goals in them: they brushed aside lowly Crystal Palace 3-0 at home just over a month ago. What makes me think this game will have goals is the fact that Doncaster are the visitors. Never mind the fact they shipped six at home to Ipswich in midweek - Rovers have real defensive problems away from home. The 31 they have conceded on the road is the second worst in the division, and it gets even more pronounced when you consider they have let in 20 during seven trips to top-half sides: that is almost three a game. Donny away games produce an average of 3.64 goals a game - the highest in the division - and 10 of their 14 away trips (including three of the last four) would have paid out to Over 2.5 Goals backers.

Back Over 2.5 Goals at [1.96]


Since his winter break Andrew has had 15 winning bets from just 21 selections, resulting in a profit of £102.97 (£10 stake/liability on each selection)

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