Find Me A 100 Winner 
/ Paul Krishnamurty / 01 February 2011 / Leave a Comment 
Robert Garrigus, chuffed as a badger to hole a birdie putt at the the Hyundai Tournament of Champions
The risk-reward layout of TPC Scottsdale ensures twists and turns in the betting and Paul Krishnamurty is hoping either of his two picks get close enough to the action to trade low in the market
Choosing which of this week's two tournaments to search for a triple-figure priced winner was something of a no-brainer, as this column has gone frustratingly close in the last two renewals of the WM Phoenix Open. In 2009, sole pick Scott Piercy led by four at one stage, trading below [3.0], while Rickie Fowler went odds-on before finishing second last year. The following trading system would have made a substantial profit on both occasions, and with an extra pick this time I'm confident of doing so again.
This long-established fixture really is the ideal opportunity to employ such a trading system, as more players than usual tend to trade in short numbers here. The field generally finishes tightly-packed, with swift turnarounds always likely around Scottsdale's risk-reward layout. The last three renewals all produced plenty of weekend volatility.
First up I'm going for a player who knows this course inside out, David Toms at [120.0]. Though yet to win the event, Toms has a very solid Scottsdale record, making the top-20 seven times this century, including four top-tens. He also took the eye on his seasonal debut at the Bob Hope Classic, starting slowly before closing with 66/66/68. Toms may not be quite the major-winning force of old, but remains well capable of winning at this level, as illustrated by a couple of top-three finishes towards the end of the 2010 season.
My second pick is a rather different type of character, wildly inconsistent Robert Garrigus at [140.0]. Such odds are massive when considering that his last four events include a win and a second place. Granted, he's missed both cuts since, but that has always been his style and Garrigus remains worth considering on courses that suit. He is a better player than when finishing 11th on his 2007 course debut. It bodes well that another massive hitter, JB Holmes, has overpowered this course for two recent victories.
The specific trading advice is to have 1.5 units on each player, at odds that combine to a minimum of [60.0]. Then place two lay orders on each player; one at [10.0] and another at [3.0]. Should any lay target be matched, we'll be guaranteed at least seven units profit.
Recommended Bets:
1.5u David Toms @ [120.0]
1.5u Robert Garrigus @ [140.0]
Place order to lay David Toms 10u @ [10.0]
Place order to lay Robert Garrigus 10u @ [10.0]
Place order to lay David Toms 10u @ [3.0]
Place order to lay Robert Garrigus 10u @ [3.0]
Updated 2011 Stats: -5 units
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