March 29, 2012

League Two Betting: Pilgrims are the punt

English Football League RSS / / 29 March 2012 / Leave a Comment

Can Juvhel Tsoumou take advantage of Bradford's triple midweek sending-off?

Can Juvhel Tsoumou take advantage of Bradford's triple midweek sending-off?

"Plymouth have to be fancied for this clash after Bradford had three players sent off after the final whistle at home to Crawley on Tuesday – all in the backline and including the goalkeeper."

For League Two games scoured for the best betting opportunities, thanks to Ian Lamont

Southend [2.18] Cheltenham [3.6] Draw [3.45] (Friday)
Tow teams going through bad spells while trying to maintain promotion pushes meet at Roots Hall. Two draws, three defeats and one win in the last six at home for Paul Sturrock's men might not inspire too much confidence that the Shrimps can shake off back-to-back defeats. Liam Dickinson's long-term injury, suffered against Crawley, won't have helped.
This game might be a turning point however, and there is enough in the price to justify chancing it. That is because Cheltenham's recent run has been exceptionally poor, with just two points from six games. The first came against rejuvenated Northampton and then followed four straight defeats, followed by a draw, all against teams also challenging for promotion. That fact is in Southend's favour.
Recommended Bet
Back Southend to beat Cheltenham @ [2.18]


Port Vale [2.04] Dagenham [4.0] Draw [3.5]
Supporters watching this match are probably in for an entertaining game. Port Vale seem to be able to take the lead, but can't always hang onto it. Furthermore, they concede quite a few goals in the final quarter of games. That is great news for Dagenham, who seem to be thriving on scoring goals in the final quarter. That displays a never-say-die attitude that John Still's strugglers badly need. A lack of goals has really hurt them. The solutions have been that defender Scott Doe has scored twice in the three games, from which the Daggers have garnered seven points, and John Akinde being brought in on loan from Crawley Town. He couldn't score there, but didn't get a run in the team.
Vale might have had the life sucked out of their promotion hopes by administration and problems remain behind the scenes. But Marc Richards remains a quality and consistent performer, with 14 goals. A draw seems most plausible.
Recommended Bet
Back the draw at [3.5]


Shrewsbury [1.79] Aldershot [5.1] draw [3.6]
Aldershot have been on a great run recently but ever since they got to within 10 points of the play-off places on the back of six straight wins I thought it was a tall order to make up that points difference by the end of the season. It will continue to prove too big a margin after Saturday, when I expect them to lose to the Shrews. Peter Vincenti might have given them another win against a Bristol Rovers side making steady progress under Mark McGhee.
But I think Shrewsbury, who will still be smarting from having to forego a winning position because of a fire on Tuesday, will be able to extra another victory from a terrific home record that has not seen them defeated yet. Expect a rude reception from the Shots fans for Marvin Morgan - he of the Twitter rant that prompted his exit from the Recreation ground. He is a threat but hasn't been starting, with Jim Collins (six goals in 13 games) and Terry Gornell the front duo in residence.
Recommended Bet
Back Shrewsbury to win at [1.79]


Plymouth [2.14] Bradford [3.75] Draw [3.35]
Plymouth have to be fancied for this clash after Bradford had three players sent off after the final whistle at home to Crawley on Tuesday - all in the backline and including the goalkeeper. That's the last thing you want when the slide towards relegation has not been getting better. Bradford, as a club, are underperforming given they have a huge following and were in the Premier League 10 years ago. Their 11-game unbeaten home record went in midweek, leaving them with a third straight defeat overall. They also have three losses in a row on the road, with good wins (4-1) at Barnet and Torquay (2-1) before that on their travels.
The Pilgrims are another potentially huge club fallen on bad times but have become resolutely difficult to beat. Goals at either end have been at a bit of a premium but they can edge this one.
Recommended Bet
Back Plymouth at [2.14]

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