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/ Ben Caudell / 25 March 2012 / Leave a Comment 
Ben'sn backing Simon on Sunday
"Blanco is worth a small punt at [3.6] in the match odds, but I believe the value bet is to back the Spaniard +4.5 Games at anything over even money."
After a decent Saturday, Ben Caudell aims to make it a winning weekend with one bet from each draw in Miami...
Two of our three bets came in yesterday with Alberto Ramos defeating Feliciano Lopez in straight sets and Kevin Anderson versus Sam Querrey, exceeding the 23.5 suggested game line.
We start Sunday's proceedings with a bet on Gilles Simon, ranked 13 in the world, who can be backed at [1.7] to defeat the left-handed veteran Jurgen Melzer.
Simon comes into this match-up with a superior ranking as well as a better match and surface rating. He's won four of his last five matches on hard-courts and four of his last five in the United States.
With two wins over the Austrian on hard - the head-to-head series is tied at 2-2 - and, with three of the four matches going the distance, we can expect another close affair. But Simon gets my nod of approval to make the third round. He performed admirably in Indian Wells, where he reached the quarter-finals, and he will be confident in the knowledge that his opponent has lost four matches in a row when priced as an underdog (2.00 - 2.99).
Another player to take note of today is Spanish teen sensation Garbine Muguruza Blanco who defeated Vera Zvonareva 6-4 6-4 in round two. She has incredible form coming into her match against the aging Flavia Pennetta, having won nine matches in a row on hard-courts, five in a row against big servers and four of her last five when priced as a moderate underdog ([3.0] - [5.99])
Clearwater ITF champion Blanco is worth a small punt at [3.6] in the match odds, but I believe the value bet is to back the Spaniard +4.5 Games at anything over even money.
Recommended Bets
Back Gilles Simon @ [1.7] to beat Jurgen Melzer
Back Muguruza @ [2.1] + 4.5 games against Flavia Pennetta
Ben Caudell explains why he's backing two outsiders today and anticipating a long match between Sam Querrey and Kevin Anderson......
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