March 16, 2013

Against All Odds: Posh to have a jolly up at the seaside

"The one thing Peterborough have in their favour over a lot of the teams around them is that they can score plenty of goals."

Lay Blackpool v Peterborough @ 1.9210/11

Peterborough travel north to Blackpool this afternoon and Paul Robinson thinks they can upset the odds at Bloomfield Road.

Blackpool began life back in the Championship in quite a promising fashion and up until Christmas time they were in the play-off mix. It's been downhill in 2013 though and while they have excuses - losing Ian Holloway towards the end of the year and then losing his replacement in January - their current position of 13th can't quite be considered good enough at this level.

Paul Ince is the new man in charge and while he's lost just one of his five games in the hot seat, he's only won one of them. That victory came last time out at high flying Watford, which on the face of it would signify a possible revival for The Seasiders, but I'd treat it with caution as Watford were missing a couple of key players and largely underperformed. My enthusiasm is further tempered by the fact that Blackpool have won just two of their last 15 at home and they haven't scored in either of their last two.

Peterborough are fighting relegation - 22nd in the table and two points adrift of safety having played a game more than Barnsley above them. Darren Ferguson's men are in decent form at the moment though, and in truth, they have been since the middle of December. 

Posh ended a run of one point from a possible 24 by beating Cardiff in Wales and since then they've only lost four of their next 15. They're undefeated in four; winning at Blackburn, drawing at Elland Road and holding both Charlton and Ipswich at home. 

The one thing Peterborough have in their favour over a lot of the teams around them is that they can score plenty of goals. This could prove crucial in their quest for survival and it's helped them get some good results on the road. They've netted 17 times in their last eight away fixtures and as Blackpool haven't been too prolific lately, that could be the difference today.

On current form I can't have Blackpool at odds-on, so with their price trading around the 1.9210/11 mark, I have to make them my lay of the day.  

Recommended Bet
Lay Blackpool v Peterborough @ 1.9210/11 

Wagered: 74 pts
Returned: 69.27 pts
P/L – 4.73 pts (after commission)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)

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