Showing posts with label Bulletin. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bulletin. Show all posts

August 24, 2012

York Ebor Betting Bulletin: Will you be going Barefoot at York?

"The Sky Bet Mobile Stakes is the top-traded race on the card with more than £270,000 locked up already. To us, it’s impossibly cryptic. Unless, of course, you read the Pricewise column, in which case it’s a piece of cake and Willie Wag Tail will waltz home. Many of you agree, as tumbling odds of 6.05/1 from 9.08/1 seem to indicate."

All the fancies and fallers from the morning's betting before day three of the Ebor meeting

The main focus today as far as quality goes is the Nunthorpe Stakes at 15:40. Four quality sprinters are battling it out at the head of the market and the finely balanced nature of the contest has fired up the Betfair masses. They've stumped up more than £200,000 at the time of writing (12:15: and that pot is swelling at a rapid rate.

Bated Breath is desperately seeking his first Group 1 win and although he's usually there or thereabouts he needs to make an extra effort today. The market is still scratching its collective head over whether he will or not, but he's a solid joint-favourite at the moment and a live contender. What will actually go off favourite at the off is anybody's guess; this is competitive racing at its finest.

Surprisingly at the time of writing the opening Class 2 handicap over a mile-and-a-half, the Sky Bet Mobile Stakes is the top-traded race on the card with more than £270,000 locked up already. Rubik's Revenge seems a doddle in comparison with sorting out the winner of this contest... it's impossibly cryptic. Unless, of course, you read the Pricewise column, in which case it's a piece of cake and Willie Wag Tail will waltz home. Many of you agree, as tumbling odds of 6.05/1 from 9.08/1 seem to indicate.

Next up creating a buzz on our site is the Group 2 Gimcrack Stakes at 14:30. This important two-year-old dash has raked in more than £100,000 so far with Pearl Acclaim, the second favourite, moving in from 6.25/1 to 5.59/2. The first three in the betting all have their supporters so liquidity should continue to be buoyant and value available on any of your fancies.

For some unknown reason the market for the Group 3 Strensall Stakes at 15:05 has yet to catch fire, but we expect this to change once the big hitters have digested their elevenses and re-focussed their attention. The £75,000 already clicked into place should explode in an hour or so and the interesting filly for money here is the ultra-consistent Barefoot Lady. Punters have forced her down from 10.09/1 to 8.415/2.

If you're alive and kicking tomorrow morning, and we very much hope you are, this is the place to be for all the money moves in the Ebor and beyond. See you then.

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August 23, 2012

York Ebor Betting Bulletin: The Fugue unfancied for Yorkshire Oaks

"The Fugue doesn’t appear as strong in the market for the Yorkshire Oaks as you might expect, mainly due to the support for last year’s Arc runner-up Shareta 3.55n/a from 4.77/2. Interesting to see if the money-vibes prove right on this one."

With day two of the Ebor Meeting nearly upon us we take a snapshot of the markets to see where Betfair customers' early money has been going

Many punters would have had the rare treat of enjoying racing without any financial interest as Frankel lit up the Ebor meeting with another stunning performance. That's all well and good, but today we put the Pegasus memories to one side and it's back to the business we all get up in the morning for...the war of opinions that is exchange betting.

There are a couple of Group races to get our teeth into today, both are bubbling along nicely with more than £400,000 already matched in the Group 1 Yorkshire Oaks and £220,000 matched on the Group 2 Lowther Stakes.

The Fugue doesn't appear as strong in the market for the Yorkshire Oaks as you might expect, mainly due to the support for last year's Arc runner-up Shareta 3.55n/a from 4.77/2. Interesting to see if the money-vibes prove right on this one.

The Lowther Stakes at 14:30 seems more straightforward with a rock-solid favourite Newfangled dominating the market, (more than £50,000 matched at a single price 2.01/1 alone). In spite of this market confidence there has been a noticeable move for the James Fanshawe-trained Badr al Badoor 8.07/1 from 11.010/1, so this once-raced filly could be on the upgrade, and looks destined for a place on the podium at least.

Two Group races; two strong favourites. If both do the business it could be a long and painful afternoon for layers. Luckily for them the card also features our very own Betfair Don't Settle For Less Handicap at 15:05.

This wide-open handicap over a mile is a layer's paradise and is right up there in terms of liquidity with more than £200,000 matched. Punters, however, are fumbling in the dark - going as they are, 9.08/1 the field. Also confusing matters are the likely flip-flopping favourites with Kahruman currently uneasy 8.88/1 from 7.26/1 and Anderiego strengthening from 11.010/1 in to 9.08/1. A couple of the runners are very much on the slide, Vainglory 46.045/1 from 23.022/1 and Santefisio 50.049/1 from 20.019/1 so you might want to steer clear of those. Most notably moving in the other direction is Crown Counsel 12.5n/a from 17.5n/a so that could be the each-way play.

With such a wide open betting heat, the best plan may be to get out a dart, chuck it at the dartboard and pray. We did and hit double 15, so we might be doubling our normal stake and plunging on Indian Jack. Then again, we might not!

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June 16, 2012

Euro 2012 11am Bulletin: England's Walcott dilemma

"Walcott is now almost certain to start against the Ukraine but I have my doubts as to whether he'll be able to produce a similar lung-bursting performance for 90 minutes."

Mike Norman reports on yesterday's action, Theo Walcott, tonight's Group A fixtures, and the value play in the Top Goalscorer market.


It never rains but it pours. That's the feeling you had yesterday if you were either 1) in Donetsk watching Ukraine v France, or 2) an England fan after veteran ex-Aston Villa defender Olof Mellberg had given Sweden a 2-1 lead in Kiev.

Euro 2012 has been far from a dull tournament by any means but the star of the show so far was definitely that spectacular thunderstorm that interrupted the start of yesterday's first Group D game. Or was it the sight of several thousand French fans getting soaked to the bone that brought a smile to my face? Let me think about that one.

Victories for France and England have seen their odds in the Winner market reduce slightly; France are third favourites at 9.08/1, England are fourth favourites at 14.013/1. Are these the third and fourth best teams in the tournament? Maybe, but they are some way behind Spain (3.452/1) and Germany (3.92/1) in my eyes.

One man dominates this morning's media - England's man of the match from last night Theo Walcott.

Walcott was introduced on the hour mark - in place of the ineffective James Milner - and completely turned the game back in England's favour. We've seen him have this impact from the bench before, most memorably for Arsenal against Barcelona a few seasons ago only for him to disappoint when he was given a start in the game that followed.

Walcott is now almost certain to start against the Ukraine but I have my doubts as to whether he'll be able to produce a similar lung-bursting performance for 90 minutes. Walcott or Milner though... it has to be the Arsenal man.

Another man almost certain to start against Ukraine is suspension-free Wayne Rooney, but who he'll replace is quite a talking point at the moment. Andy Carroll's header showed what kind of threat he can be in England's attack, but Danny Welbeck's performance v Sweden - and that finish of course - arguably deserves to keep him in the starting XI. My hunch is that Hodgson will start Rooney just behind Carroll.

The Three Lions need just a point on Tuesday night and they are effectively 1.33n/a to win or draw as that's the price you can currently get match at in the Group D To Qualify market.

It's make your mind up time for the next four days as the remaining group games on each day kick-off at the same time. All four nations are still in with a chance of qualifying from Group A tonight and I'm desperately hoping (for financial reasons of course) that two of the most entertaining teams of the tournament so far - Russia and Poland - advance.

The Russians should have few problems getting at least a point against Greece and are available to back at 1.13n/a To Qualify, but the other game is far more difficult to call. Poland (2.261/1) must win, whilst any other result will see the Czech Republic (1.97n/a) go through.

Expect some change in the Top Goalscorer market this evening with Alan Dzagoev - currently third favourite at 8.47/1 - back in action. Greece have surprisingly been very poor in defence and Dzagoev is definitely worth a wager. Just a single goal tonight will see his odds reduce dramatically, a brace will probably see him go odds on before Mario Gomez (3.152/1) and Fernando Torres (6.85/1) take to the field in the next few days.

Recommended Bet
Back Alan Dzagoev @ 8.47/1 to be Top Goalscorer

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