Showing posts with label hopeful. Show all posts
Showing posts with label hopeful. Show all posts

September 3, 2012

US Racing Preview: Shanghai Hopeful of success at Saratoga

Shanghai Bobby could show quite a bit of improvement on his 112p rating now that he steps up from a pair of good wins at around five furlongs...

Simon Rowlands looks ahead to Monday's racing in the US...

In much the same way that there is no "I" in "team", but both "I" and "me" in Timeform, there is no "u" (pronounced "you") in Labor Day in the US but there is in Labour Day in Canada. Make of that what you will.

Labor Day, or Labour Day, falls on the first Monday in September and means that punters and punsters alike have plenty of good racing to go at in North America on the first day of the week for a change.

Just about the most prestigious race of all is the G2 Three Chimneys Hopeful Stakes at Saratoga (due off at 16:52 local time, 21:52 BST). With $300k in purse money, this seven-furlong race should go some way to clarifying the pecking order among the top juvenile males. The race was won by Currency Swap in 2011, a colt who is not far off the best sprinters/milers 12 months on.

Bern Identity was top Timeform juvenile in North America for a while, but his win in the Sanford Stakes here in July was workmanlike rather than better, and the runner-up that day, Handsome Jack, had been given a slightly bigger beating by Shanghai Bobby previously.

Shanghai Bobby is a son of Harlan's Holiday, who was high-class at nine and ten furlongs, and he could show quite a bit of improvement on his 112p rating now that he steps up from a pair of good wins at around five furlongs.

With a number of unknowns in opposition, not least his stable-companions Lawn Man and Overanalyze, support for Shanghai Bobby cannot be with maximum confidence. But he sets a good standard, with the likelihood of more to come, and looks the one to beat.

Del Mar stages the other G2 on Labor Day, the Yellow Ribbon Handicap for fillies and mares over eight and a half furlongs on turf (post time 18:00 locally, 02:00 on Tuesday BST).

The race is something of a rerun of the G2 John C Mabee Stakes at course and distance in August. City To City got up on the line that day to deny All Star Heart, and the pair oppose on the same terms while dominating the Morning Line along with the lightly-raced Byrony.

However, it would be folly to overlook the Mabee third, Go Forth North, who lines up 3 lb better off for one and a half lengths and has plenty of form in the book which suggests she can go close at a bigger price. She made the running that day but has performed well from off the pace, too.

Go Forth North does not win often, it has to be said, but her consistency could well see her hit the board again and a "show" bet (to finish in first three) on the Tote is recommended.

Parx racetrack near Philadelphia stages some fine racing, not least the $350k G3 Smarty Jones (16:40 local time, 21:40 BST) over an extended mile on dirt. Dwyer Stakes winner Teeth of The Dog deserves to be popular under ideal conditions, despite conceding weight to the majority of his rivals, and the main question is whether he will be a value price. Anything over 3.0 would make appeal.

The Labour Day meet at Woodbine in Canada features a couple of $200k races for two-year-olds, but a better proposition for punters may be the $125k Algoma Stakes (due off at 13:57 locally, 18:57 BST). Awesome Fire is the Morning Line favo(u)rite but drops in distance back on a synthetic surface and looks to have plenty on her hands with Tee Game, Casa Loma and possibly It's Gail.

Additionally, Awesome Fire's come-from-behind style is helped by a strong pace up front, which is by no means certain to unfold here. She is worth laying if at 4.0 or shorter on Betfair.

Recommendations
1 pt win Shanghai Bobby
1 pt show (Tote) Go Forth North
1 pt win Teeth of The Dog
lay to lose 2 pts Awesome Fire

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March 13, 2012

Supreme Novices' Hurdle: Henderson, Harrington & Longsdon all hopeful

News RSS / / 12 March 2012 / Leave a Comment

Who will win the Supreme Novices' Hurdle?

Who will win the Supreme Novices' Hurdle?

"I do think Darlan has that touch of class."

Find out what Nicky Henderson, Jessie Harrington and Charlie Longsdon had to say about their runners in Tuesday's Cheltenham curtain-raiser, the Supreme Novices' Hurdle....

Trainer Nicky Henderson expects Darlan to put the fall he had at Newbury behind him when he lines-up for the Supreme Novices' Hurdle at Cheltenham on Tuesday.

The JP McManus-owned five-year-old was travelling as well as anything when he came down at the second-last flight in the Betfair Hurdle won by Champion Hurdle hope Zarkandar.

He had been unbeaten up to that point, and connections are full of hope Darlan can put the record straight in the Festival curtain-raiser.

"How Darlan took that fall I've no idea as he schooled well after Newbury," said Henderson.

"I do think Darlan has that touch of class. Tetlami, our other runner in the Supreme, you'd call a good horse but Darlan might be a touch better."

Darlan will be ridden by Tony McCoy, who admits he would not change mounts for anything else in the race.

"Darlan was going very well but it was a long way out at Newbury. Who knows what would have happened, but I wouldn't swap him," said the champion jockey.

"Steps To Freedom is a fair horse and apparently he's flying but I hope Darlan has got a very good chance."

Steps To Freedom's trainer Jessica Harrington reports everything has gone to plan since he beat Prospect Wells on this course in November.

"He is in flying form I could not be happier, he has done everything I have asked of him on the run up to this week," she told her website, www.jessicaharringtonracing.com.

"People question why I haven't run him since November but that was always the plan.

"I am really looking forward to him hopefully showing his true colours and to get the Irish off to a winner in the first."

Jockey Robbie Power is looking forward to a decent show from Steps To Freedom.

"The plan's gone perfectly well with him, and he won over course and distance around there in November, which at Cheltenham is a major help," he said.

"We know he handles the track and he has been going well at home.

"For every race at Cheltenham you need a little bit of good luck, he's a tough horse off the Flat and had plenty of hustle and bustle in the bumper at Aintree last year."

Charlie Longsdon feels his two runners, Vulcanite and Hazy Tom, have sound each-way claims.

"Vulcanite seems in great form and he should get the strong gallop that he needs. Hazy Tom needs a good pace as well. That's important," said the Chipping Norton trainer.

"They will be massively improved for their last run and I think they are solid each-way horses."

Vulcanite will be ridden by Paddy Brennan, who said: "I didn't get it right on him last time, he got left in front, but he's a very exciting animal.

"In the schooling field I've not sat on many horses like him."
..........
Timeform TV Focus callers enjoyed over £2500 profit (to £20 level stakes at Betfair SP) in our first year. Call TV Focus for tips on all Cheltenham CH4 races.

Connections of Binocular are expecting a big run from the 2010 winner, who was unable to defend his crown 12 months ago......

Nicky Henderson is hoping Sprinter Sacre can succeed where stablemate Finian's Rainbow failed in Tuesday's Arkle Chase at Cheltenham......

Timeform look back at the highlights from the weekend, which included the Imperial Cup at Sandown and Super Saturday at Meydan......


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Supreme Novices' Hurdle: Henderson, Harrington & Longsdon all hopeful

News RSS / / 12 March 2012 / Leave a Comment

Who will win the Supreme Novices' Hurdle?

Who will win the Supreme Novices' Hurdle?

"I do think Darlan has that touch of class."

Find out what Nicky Henderson, Jessie Harrington and Charlie Longsdon had to say about their runners in Tuesday's Cheltenham curtain-raiser, the Supreme Novices' Hurdle....

Trainer Nicky Henderson expects Darlan to put the fall he had at Newbury behind him when he lines-up for the Supreme Novices' Hurdle at Cheltenham on Tuesday.

The JP McManus-owned five-year-old was travelling as well as anything when he came down at the second-last flight in the Betfair Hurdle won by Champion Hurdle hope Zarkandar.

He had been unbeaten up to that point, and connections are full of hope Darlan can put the record straight in the Festival curtain-raiser.

"How Darlan took that fall I've no idea as he schooled well after Newbury," said Henderson.

"I do think Darlan has that touch of class. Tetlami, our other runner in the Supreme, you'd call a good horse but Darlan might be a touch better."

Darlan will be ridden by Tony McCoy, who admits he would not change mounts for anything else in the race.

"Darlan was going very well but it was a long way out at Newbury. Who knows what would have happened, but I wouldn't swap him," said the champion jockey.

"Steps To Freedom is a fair horse and apparently he's flying but I hope Darlan has got a very good chance."

Steps To Freedom's trainer Jessica Harrington reports everything has gone to plan since he beat Prospect Wells on this course in November.

"He is in flying form I could not be happier, he has done everything I have asked of him on the run up to this week," she told her website, www.jessicaharringtonracing.com.

"People question why I haven't run him since November but that was always the plan.

"I am really looking forward to him hopefully showing his true colours and to get the Irish off to a winner in the first."

Jockey Robbie Power is looking forward to a decent show from Steps To Freedom.

"The plan's gone perfectly well with him, and he won over course and distance around there in November, which at Cheltenham is a major help," he said.

"We know he handles the track and he has been going well at home.

"For every race at Cheltenham you need a little bit of good luck, he's a tough horse off the Flat and had plenty of hustle and bustle in the bumper at Aintree last year."

Charlie Longsdon feels his two runners, Vulcanite and Hazy Tom, have sound each-way claims.

"Vulcanite seems in great form and he should get the strong gallop that he needs. Hazy Tom needs a good pace as well. That's important," said the Chipping Norton trainer.

"They will be massively improved for their last run and I think they are solid each-way horses."

Vulcanite will be ridden by Paddy Brennan, who said: "I didn't get it right on him last time, he got left in front, but he's a very exciting animal.

"In the schooling field I've not sat on many horses like him."
..........
Timeform TV Focus callers enjoyed over £2500 profit (to £20 level stakes at Betfair SP) in our first year. Call TV Focus for tips on all Cheltenham CH4 races.

Connections of Binocular are expecting a big run from the 2010 winner, who was unable to defend his crown 12 months ago......

Nicky Henderson is hoping Sprinter Sacre can succeed where stablemate Finian's Rainbow failed in Tuesday's Arkle Chase at Cheltenham......

Timeform look back at the highlights from the weekend, which included the Imperial Cup at Sandown and Super Saturday at Meydan......


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