Showing posts with label wager. Show all posts
Showing posts with label wager. Show all posts

November 28, 2011

I'm A Celeb Betting: Rock a solid eviction wager

I'm a Celebrity RSS / Alan Dudman / 28 November 2011 / Leave a Comment

The smiles might be replaced with tears tonight for Crissy Rock

The smiles might be replaced with tears tonight for Crissy Rock

"It's all about the air time, Rock's had about two minutes, whereas Wright is getting air miles. If Monday night's show is just as free of Crissy, then it's worth another go on her for eviction at around [3.0]."

The camera does not love Crissy Rock on IACGMOOH 2011 and that lack of air time makes her a good bet to leave the camp on Monday night, says Alan Dudman

The jungle is minus three more (well two without Tedward), as Pat Sharp and also Lorraine Chase headed to the five-star hotel to lick their wounds on Sunday. The 80s DJ only has himself to blame after his shock tactics with the teddy bear badly backfired - that and being the cheesiest person on the planet. Chase on the other hand was too nice, apart from when she told Sharp to 'sod off'.

Two more down, eight to go.

The Friday and Saturday shows were dominated by the jungle royalty task, in which Willie Carson was the ruling prince. We also had the knights of the round table, in which Dougie delivered a stirring speech. Any kind of communication is good from the rocker, who has been a modern day Harold Lloyd film. The McFly man is steady at around [7.0], although it's a slight drift from his price last week.

Antony is still whining over the cooking as he toiled over his wallaby stew. Sunday's chef duties went to Fatima Whitbread, which
immediately put the Corrie's star nose out of joint. He's lucky it wasn't a right hander, as the javelin thrower is one of the hardest competitors in camp.

She brushed aside Pat with ease in the trial, a success which kept her in the show. There has been a move on the Olympian, who has been cut into about [2.25] for top female. Her winner's price however is huge - at [27.0]. But for the tasks, she is unbeatable.

Sunday's show was fairly quiet on Mark Wright front, until yet another of his celebrity chests, and by bizarre coincidence with Emily, the potential romance. Backers of the TOWIE stud are now in a position of power, with a seismic shift
into [1.68] to win it. He is red-hot in the market, and [1.5] for top male. He is ticking all the boxes, missing his mum, great editing, romance, more great editing, torso shots, low IQ and phobia now conquered. Check, check, check and check. The future TV show is looking more and more realistic.

The next elimination has surely got to involve Crissy Rock who might have gone over the weekend. To say she hardly featured in the three hours of programming on Saturday and Sunday was an understatement. In fact, last year's winner Stacey Solomon was more visible, and she's in the adverts.

It's all about the air time, Rock's had about two minutes, whereas Wright is getting air miles. If Monday night's show is just as free of Crissy, then it's worth another go on her for eviction at around [3.0]. Emily is still vulnerable, but will this
potential romance keep her in? A price around [3.5] will be interesting for the Aussie.

Recommended Bets
Split stakes back on Crissy @ [3.0] and Emily [2.9] in fifth elimination.
Back Jessica Jane as top female @ [2.3]

Already Advised
Back Antony Cotton in winner market @ [4.6]
Lay Mark Wright in winner market @ [3.2]
Back Willie Carson in top male @ [6.2]
Back Male winner @ [1.55]
Back to lay Pat Sharp [15.0] LOST
Back to lay Fatima Whitbread @ [16.0]

Saturday's elimination looks a tough one to call but Alan Dudman does his best to decipher who's most likely to get the chop. Let's just say it might be no laughing matter for a particular female contestant......

The eliminations have begun with a quickie last night and another tonight. Alan Dudman looks at the betting and has bad news for FHM model Emily Scott......

It's all gone 1980s in Australia where Sinitta and Pat Sharp are the latest contestants to enter the I'm A Celebrity arena. And Al Dudman likes the former Funhouse man's chances at a big price......


Betfair website

July 19, 2011

Mercury Music Prize 2011 Betting: Shake a wager on PJ?

Mercury Music Prize RSS / Maxliu / 19 July 2011 / Leave a Comment

Great hat, great album, bad bet

Great hat, great album, bad bet

"If I'm having an early bet, it's on Everything, Everything."

Mercury Music Prize betting aficionado Max Liu takes an early look at this year's shortlist. He'll be back with a more comprehensive article in the coming weeks.

Let England Shake is a fine, fine piece of work and I would be delighted if it won the 2011 Mercury Music Prize. However, with PJ Harvey likely to go off as favourite when the Betfair markets go up, I won't be backing her to repeat her 2001 success. The favourite won last year but I don't think it's a profitable punting position to take in a field of this size. And on an event so famously unpredictable.

Now, this column has made history by correctly tipping two out of three of the last Mercster laureates - Speech Debelle at 14/1 and Elbow at 7/1 - and I want it noted that the present document is very much a first draft. I won't be backing Guy Garvery and co. to repeat their 2008 success because two-time winners are a rarity and Build A Rocket, Boys! is the Bury quintet's weakest long player.

I'd be delighted if either King Creosote & John Hopkins - Diamond Mine is excellent but perhaps a little short at around 37 mins for judges' taste - or Anna Calvi - whose self-titled debut is a super-smart, sexy-swinging post-surf-rock lipstick romp - were to triumph. But if I'm having an early bet, it's on Everything, Everything.

Everybody likes Everything, Everything. I don't like Everything, Everything but that's not what this is about; if it was, the King of Limbs - a challenging album that asks us to ask ourselves what we want from listening and, indeed, what listening is - would be at the top of that list. Oh, loss.

The market will be up soon but, for now, here's the list in full:

1. Metronomy - The English Riviera
2. Adele - 21
3. PJ Harvey - Let England Shake
4. Gwilym Simcock - Good Days At Schloss Elmau
5. Tinie Tempah - Disc-Overy
6. James Blake - James Blake
7. Elbow - Build A Rocket, Boys
8. Everything Everything - Man Alive
9. Katy B - On A Mission
10. Ghostpoet - Peanut Butter Blues & Melancholy Jam
11. King Creosote & Jon Hopkins - Diamond Mine
12. Anna Calvi - Anna Calvi

Veteran Modfather is second favourite after late turn around in the betting......

The Contrarian can't wait to inject his wallet with cash provided by one of the most reliable sources of profit every year, a lay of the Mercury Music Prize favourite. Here's why he expects [2.88] market leader The XX to...

The Mercury Music Prize can change artists' lives overnight, but what would a hat-trick of correct calls do for Max Liu's tipping career? After backing Speech Debelle last year, and before that Elbow, Betfair's resident pop picker offers his take...


Betfair website