Europa League 
/ Richard Aikman / 23 February 2011 / Leave a Comment 
Edinson Cavani will try to make sure that if he does score in the second leg, it actually stands this time
"Away from home in Europe, though, Napoli ([4.7]) tend to leave themselves more exposed than Cicciolina. Walter Mazzari’s men have not won in three European away games since beating Elfsborg 2-0 in the play-offs and have conceded three goals in their last three games on their travels..."
A goalless draw in the first leg means this tie is perfectly poised but a repeat of the goal drought is very unlikely with Villarreal at home and Napoli often more adventurous when they're away from the San Paolo. Over 2.5 goals it is, says Richard Aikman.
Had Edinson Cavani's goal not been disallowed for offside in Naples, the Partenopei would be going to Spain with a 1-0 lead. As it is, the match is delicately-poised and hard to call, although we can expect goals to flow in an open game at El Madrigal.
The chief reason for the goalless stalemate in Italy, was Villarreal's defensive set up. Normally so expansive on the wings, Joan Capdevila and Mario Gaspar sat back so as not to get exposed from the flanks, from where Cavani is so often serviced by Christian Maggio and Andrea Dossena.
But the experienced Spaniards, who are [1.85] to win, will be more forthright in front of their own supporters if Capdevila is to be believed. "You'll see a much more attacking Villarreal and I think it'll be a very open game, with lots of scoring chances," he said. Dossena is thinking along the same lines, saying: "Villarreal will have to leave themselves a little more exposed compared to in Naples."
Away from home in Europe, though, Napoli ([4.7]) tend to leave themselves more exposed than Cicciolina. Walter Mazzari's men have not won in three European away games since beating Elfsborg 2-0 in the play-offs and have conceded three goals in their last three games on their travels - albeit two of those matches ended in 3-3 draws. (Another 3-3 draw is priced at [85.0]). The Vesuviani also have Salvatore Aronica suspended, following his added-time dismissal for a foul on Nilmar, although both Paolo Cannavaro and new signing Victor Ruiz can deputise.
Villarreal's confidence will be based on having won all four of their European home games this season, scoring 11 goals and conceding just once at El Madrigal. Those games though were against Dinamo Zagreb, FC Bruges, PAOK and Dnepr Mogilev; not the side sitting second in Serie A, who might just do enough to get a draw in a high-scoring match.
Recommended bet: Draw @ [3.9]; Over 2.5 goals @ [2.08]; Correct score 3-3 @ [85].
A goalless draw in the first leg means this tie is perfectly poised but a repeat of the goal drought is very unlikely with Villarreal at home and Napoli often more adventurous when they're away from the San Paolo. Over...
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