English Football League 
/ Alan Dudman / 03 March 2011 / Leave a Comment 
Bournemouth's Michael Symes can help his side to three points against Oldham
"Expect Bournemouth to rotate between a 4-3-3 going forward, and digging in for a 4-5-1
to defend. The Cherries have a great attitude with a fine work-rate, that should be too good for Oldham."
Alan Dudman talks us through the best bets in League One this weekend, starting with why Bournemouth can beat Oldham at the ground formerly known as Dean Court...
Bournemouth [1.90] v Oldham Athletic [4.50], the draw [3.65]
Oldham haven't scored a goal in five games, whilst Bournemouth have maintained their push for promotion under new boss Lee Bradbury, and yet the layers look like they are taking a slight chance with the [1.90] on offer for the Cherries.
The case to back the home side here is fairly conclusive. Saturday's 2-1 win at Dagenham was the first time Bradbury's side have gone behind in a game, yet came back to win it, and remain unbeaten since Eddie Howe left for Burnley. Bournemouth look a tough team to beat and can really dig in against opponents when needed,
plus are quite capable of doing the ugly side of things.
Oldham will try and be ugly here. They haven't scored in 450 minutes of football and defended appallingly last Saturday when losing 5-0 at home to Peterborough. Having completely collapsed after conceding the first goal, Latics boss Paul Dickov said: "That will be the first and only time."
That gives us the recipe for the visitors to try and spoil this, and the hosts will need one moment or two of quality to win - which they have. Expect Bournemouth to rotate between a 4-3-3 going forward, and digging in for a 4-5-1 to defend. The Cherries have a great attitude with a fine work-rate, that should be too good for Oldham.
Best bet: Back Bournemouth to win @ [1.90]
Back Bournemouth to win 1-0 [10.00] and 2-0 [12.00]
Peterborough United [1.81] v Exeter City [4.80], the draw [3.95]
Yes we all know about Peterborough, so do the layers of the over 2.5 goals markets - which trade at a miserly [1.58] for this match. Yes, Craig Mackail Smith with his 19 league goals is brilliant. And yes, Lee Tomlin is a player oozing
quality. And we all are aware of the 5-0 win over Oldham last Saturday to make it a staggering 72 goals this season for Darren Ferguson's side. But I will start with the vistors.
Why? Well Exeter were held 1-1 against Tranmere in midweek, with Tranmere boss Les Parry labelling the Grecians as the best footballing side in the division. Exeter like to pass, and do well against counter-attacking teams. Posh however
don't do counter-attacks, they just pour forward.
I wouldn't quite put Exeter as the best in terms of possession, but they like to pass and play good football. However if they try and out-pass Peterborough it could be a fairly dangerous tactic. In midfielder Ryan Harley they have one of the loveliest touch footballers in the division, but they'll have to pull out something special here. On the plus side, they have played much better away from home and have netted wins at Charlton and Notts County.
Back Peterborough to win @ [1.81]
Back Peterborough in Asian Handicap -0.5 and -1.0 @ [2.00]
Back any unquoted score @ [6.00]
Rochdale [2.42] v MK Dons [3.15], the draw [3.45]
A very rare opportunity to talk about Rochdale this week, a side that hardly ever gets a mention round these parts. Shame on me too - they are unbeaten in 11 games with the play-offs still a possibility. Manager Keith Hill has one of the fittest squads in the league, who score too. Saturday's 0-0 at Walsall was a slight blip though, considering the Dale
failed to net just once in 13 games prior to that.
However it's the MK Dons I am interested in here. A 1-0 win over Brighton last weekend is the standout, and achieved with some cracking football. Dons boss Karl Robinson was left drooling: "At times it was exhilarating and a joy to watch." This young team is going places.
The Buckinghamshire outfit can beat most teams on their day with their attractive pass and move style, plus their away form has been the key to their push into the play-off zone. The MK Dons are far more consistent now.
Back MK Dons to win @ [3.45]
Back MK Dons to win 1-2 @ [16.00]
Alan Dudman talks us through the best bets in League One this weekend, starting with why Bournemouth can beat Oldham at the ground formerly known as Dean Court......
Ian Lamont tells us why Crewe are worth taking on at home to Burton plus the remaining best betting options in League Two this weekend....
The televised Notts County v Charlton on Friday night is the featured match in this week's column. A column worth reading because Alan Dudman is in fine form, showing a profit of 31.42 points to level stakes since December 30....
No comments:
Post a Comment