May 5, 2011

League One Betting: Get on the goals at London Road

English Football League RSS / Alan Dudman / 05 May 2011 / Leave a Comment

Peterborough are preparing for the playoffs but will they have their eye on the ball when Dagenham come to town?

Peterborough are preparing for the playoffs but will they have their eye on the ball when Dagenham come to town?

"Posh have already secured a play-off berth, but Darren Ferguson's side are not in great form and have yielded just two victories from their last eight games. However, they have gone over 2.5 goals in their last three to keep their status as 'Overs Kings' going.

Al Dudman casts his eye over a selection of League One's finest fixtures on the final weekend of action before playoffs and relegation

Peterborough United [2.04] v Dagenham and Redbridge [3.35], the draw [3.70]
Two months ago and this game would have had a totally different market with Peterborough more like a [1.55] shot. But it's the end of season and the visitors are chasing a win with the hope of staying up, Dagenham are skinny at [3.35] to succeed at London Road.
Posh have already secured a play-off berth, but Darren Ferguson's side are not in great form and have yielded just two victories from their last eight games. However, they have gone over 2.5 goals in their last three to keep their status as 'Overs Kings' going.
Ferguson was fuming following Saturday's 2-2 draw at Rochdale. Mainly down to the fact his centre-half decided he was Romario, trying back-heels on the edge of his box. His team are conceding poor goals at the wrong time and have lost momentum (also at the wrong time).
Dagenham are the 'up and at 'em' side, who have given themselves a chance of survival on the final day of the season. Saturday's 3-0 win over Carlisle was a huge effort, and they really took the game to their northern opponents. Victory came at a cost however, their best midfielder Danny Green collected a red card and misses this weekend.
The Daggers line-up 4-4-2 and get balls into the box. Posh have been using all sorts of formations, and I wonder if Fergie Jnr is tinkering to try and get ideas for the play-offs. Last weekend he went with two wingers, and likes to create one-on-ones. I hope he goes that way again, as the overs can surely be collected again.
Best bet: Back over 2.5 goals @ [1.8]
Back over 3.5 goals @ [3.0]
Back 2-2 @ [24.0]

Bournemouth [1.93] v Rochdale [3.8], the draw [3.5]
Despite the odd wobble, Bournemouth have made the play-offs thanks in part to Leyton Orient slipping up while Rochdale ruined their chance of some post-season action following defeat at Charlton. Both have nothing to play for this weekend - which makes punting via several angles difficult.
Perhaps the best approach here is to rely on Bournemouth's knack of conceding late goals. They conceded in the 94th minute last weekend, prior to that it was 86 and 93 minutes, and before that a 94th minute winner from Tranmere two weeks ago. Four of their last five games have resulted in a 'dying embers' strike, therefore it might be wise
to use the In-Play market to full ability, and pick out scorelines and outrights during the interval.
Rochdale have had a terrific season and are a good footballing side, whilst manager Keith Hill is one of the most interesting (and confident) to listen to post-match. The Dale try to play football, whilst Bournemouth have the tools to be a good side. I love the look of Donal McDermott for the Cherries - a real bright spark who drifts in from out
wide and causes problems. He's given Lee Bradbury's side a lift, as has the returning Steve Lovell with a bit of pace.
Best bet: Back over 2.5 goals @ [2.04]
Back 2-1 @ [15.0], 2-2 [25.0]

Charlton Athletic [1.9] v Hartlepool United [4.2], the draw [3.55]
The ever difficult-to-read Charlton have been disappointing this season, whilst Hartlepool have had nothing to play for in a long time. Backing the Addicks at [1.9] has always been fraught with danger, but with two recent improved home displays against Rochdale and Leyton Orient, it might be worth siding with the Londoners.
Charlton boss Chris Powell hasn't had much luck, but has some decent players. Against Rochdale, his team played some of their better stuff, if maybe too open and vulnerable to the counter attack. It will be a good chance for the home fans to say farewell, and the Robins will want to go out on a high. They have the players to do so - in particular the creative Nathan Ecclestone - who always looks a threat.
Back Charlton to win @ [1.9]
Back 2-0 @ [14.0]

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