Events 
/ Sean Calvert / 10 May 2011 / Leave a Comment 
Sam Querrey has a fine head-to-head record over Kevin Anderson
"The big hitting pair haven’t met on clay before today, but Querrey has taken three of their four meetings on hard-courts and the one ongrass, so he takes a psychological advantage into this clash."
This match will lack the skills and subtleties of classic clay court tennis but let's not allow that to get in the way of making some money, says Sean Calvert.
It was a bizarre and disappointing day at the Rome Masters on Monday, with some odd results and even stranger retirements.
The match between Kei Nishikori and Gael Monfils was cancelled when both players scratched through various medical ailments and to top it all, Alexandr Dolgopolov put in a shocker against Potito Starace.
Tuesday at the Foro Italico sees the remaining first round matches take place, with a number of uneasy favourites, and of these, the one I like the look of is Kevin Anderson versus Sam Querrey.
Anderson has been made favourite for this at around [1.54], which looks awfully skinny to me based on a number of factors.
The South African has been in the better form of the two lately, but I still entertain severe doubts about his ability on the red dirt, especially on the particularly slow clay of Rome.
Anderson has only once been past the second round of any dirt event and has lost to the likes of Victor Hanescu and Fabio Fognini on clay in recent weeks.
Querrey, despite being out of sorts in 2011, has won a title on clay (Belgrade last year) and reached two other finals on the surface and crucially as far as this match is concerned, has a 4-1 head-to-head lead over Anderson.
The big hitting pair haven't met on clay before today, but Querrey has taken three of their four meetings on hard-courts and the one on grass, so he takes a psychological advantage into this clash.
Querrey's lack of recent wins makes him a betting underdog today, but Anderson's lack of experience and form on clay make this more of an even money game.
Both of these giants can give the ball a real clubbing, so don't expect much subtlety - even on clay this will be a ball bashing encounter and Querrey is much better at it on his day and is arguably a better mover. That's why his results on the dirt have been better.
The best play in this one is a lay of Anderson at [1.54] and a trade in- play, but for an outright wager, I'll be laying the South African.
Recommended bet:
Lay Anderson at [1.54] v Querrey
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