Follow The Money: Can anything catch Fire at Southwell?

"If Dubai Dynamo can reproduce the form of his last run and take advantage of a lower handicap mark he could go close to victory today."

Back Dubai Dynamo @ 3.352/1 in the 16:05 at Ayr

Today's movers come from the meetings at Ayr and Southwell.

We start at Southwell where Relight My Fire has been backed in to 4.43/1 from 7.96/1 to win the 14:15 Nursery (Class 6) over 6f. The two-year-old colt ran reasonably well at Redcar, beaten by two lengths on softer ground and makes his handicap debut today at this modest level. With so little form in the book it is very difficult to come to any obvious predictions, but the market support suggests a positive ride is expected.

In the 14:45 Maiden Auction Stakes over 7f at the same track, Poetic Princess has drifted out to 4.03/1 from 3.02/1. The 2yo filly did not run well in her last race at Redcar and perhaps looked exposed, so this could be a market reaction to that race. She is making her debut on the fibresand, and much will be decided on how she takes to this surface. She has the most experience and runs off the lowest weight, though the market suggests she may well find at least one too good today.

Our final bet takes us to Ayr, where in the 16:05 in the Class 2 Handicap over 1m Dubai Dynamo has been supported in to 3.352/1 from 4.203/1. The 7yo gelding finished second at Ripon last time out and drops 2lb in the handicap for today's race since that run. It has to be said that Dubai Dynamo doesn't have a high win rate, with one victory in his last eight races. However, the forecast good/good-to-soft may help as his last victory was on good-to-soft and he has dropped 5lb in the last month. If he can reproduce the form of his last run and take advantage of a lower handicap mark he could go close to victory today.

Recommended Bets
Back Relight My Fire @ 4.403/1 in the 14:15 at Southwell
Lay Poetic Princess @ 4.03/1 in the 14:45 at Southwell
Back Dubai Dynamo @ 3.352/1 in the 16:05 at Ayr

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The Punter's In-Play Blog: Kaymer playing catch up

The Punter / Steven Rawlings / 12 April 2012 / Leave a Comment

Schwartzel and Oosthuizen after a successful first round in Malaysia

“Hopefully I’ll wake up in the morning to see Kaymer has at least caught Schwartzel and that he’s nicely tucked away in his hotel watching the storms gather.”

It's early days at the week's two events but given Steve's already involved in-running, here's his early thoughts...

13:50 - April 12, 2012

Although it's early days, given I've got involved in Malaysia, I thought I'd kick off the blog.

The RBC Heritage has only just kicked off so there's nothing to report there but they've already finished round one at the Maybank Malaysian Open and I've had an in-running play already.

My two pre-event picks have flopped and grabbing the headlines are South African friends Charl Schwartzel and Louis Oosthuizen, who played together this morning. Schwartzel leads after an opening eight-under-par 64, and Louis, who shot two shots worse, is in a tie for 3rd. Jeev Milkha Singh is currently 2nd on -7 but I've backed someone much further down the list...

Although raindrops fell and storm clouds threatened, we didn't experience any delays today but that might not be the case tomorrow. Today's afternoon starters may look miles behind now but that may not be the case this time tomorrow and although it really doesn't look like it now, if the weather does close in tomorrow, today's late starters may have the advantage. Given the cream has risen to the top at this venue so far, I've spent the morning nibbling away at the classiest of those that that will be up and at 'um early tomorrow - Martin Kaymer, at odds of over [20.0].

Starting out six behind on -2, it will be his turn to play in the best of the conditions tomorrow and there's a strong chance that Schwartzel and co get delayed in the afternoon and that they'll need to come back early on Saturday to finish off.

There are a few ifs and buts there obviously but I fancy it's worth the risk. Hopefully I'll wake up in the morning to see Kaymer has at least caught Schwartzel and that he's nicely tucked away in his hotel watching the storms gather. We'll see.

Maybank Malaysian Open Pre-event Picks:
Bernd Wiesberger @ [140.0]
James Morrison @ [160.0]

In-Running Play
Martin Kaymer @ an average of [23.0]

RBC Heritage Pre-Event Picks:
Jim Furyk @ [20.0]
Zach Johnson @ an average of just over [50.0]
Brian Gay @ [100.0]
Mark Wilson @ [110.0]
George McNeil @ [180.0]
Robert Garrigus @ [180.0]
Chad Campbell @ [250.0]
Stephen Ames @ [280.0]
Time Herron @ an average of [340.0]

Our man takes a look at this week's US PGA Tour event, where he can see Jim Furyk contending again and where value picks are plentiful. Read Steve's preview here......

Steve takes a good look at this week's Race to Dubai event in Kuala Lumpur. Will another promising youngster take the title?...

Steve looks back on yet another fantastic Masters tournament. What lessons have we learnt for next year?...

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Follow The Money: Catch Bob on the drift

Follow the Money / Follow The Money / 06 March 2011 / Leave a Comment

Will this be a successful Sunday afternoon for Follow The Money?

"At Sedgefield, in the 14:50 , Catch Bob has drifted from [2.78] out to [3.45]. "

Today's Follow The Money comes from Huntingdon and Sedgefield.

In the 14:10 at Huntingdon, Robin De Creuse has been strongly supported from [4.1] in to [3.5]. The Philip Hobbs trained runner has been in useful form this season and ran a decent race over C&D last time out to finish third. He did pinch a three length lead at the start and would've finished much closer if he hadn't made an error at the last flight. He travelled really well throughout the race and with today's quicker going in his favour he should be thereabouts once more.

At Sedgefield, in the 14:50 , Catch Bob has drifted from [2.78] out to [3.45]. Ferdy Murphy trained seven-year-old has only had three chase starts and after failing on his chase debut, he has finished placed in his last two races. The drop back in trip and today's soft going will suit, but punters seem to be aware that he has not jumped well since switching to fences and are happy to take him on today.

Our last selection comes at Huntingdon where Cloudy Spirit has been backed from [6.0] in to [4.6] in the 15:10. Reg Hollinshead's mare ran well in two jumpers´ bumpers over Christmas and put in a decent effort in a mares handicap hurdle at Ludlow last month when finishing fourth and the form of that race is working out quite well. She does look one of the more obvious contenders.

Recommended bets:

Back Robin De Creuse @ [3.2] Huntingdon 14:10
Lay Catch Bob @ [2.24] Sedgefield 14:50
Back Cloudy Spirit @ [2.0] Huntingdon 15:10

Today's Follow The Money comes from Huntingdon and Sedgefield....

Today's Follow The Money come from the meetings at Doncaster, Kempton and Newbury....

Today's Follow the money comes from the cards at Lingfield and Doncaster....

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