Showing posts with label Hobbs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hobbs. Show all posts

August 24, 2012

Follow The Money: Will Hobbs' veteran be your choice at Ffos Las?

"Although without a win since 2010, last season’s Hennessy third place was encouraging, and Fair Along is currently vying for favouritism."

Back Fair Along @ 5.14/1 Ffos Las 16:30

Today's Follow The Money movers come from the meetings at Ffos Las and Newmarket.

We start at Newmarket with the 13:50, a 7f Maiden Stakes where Golden Causeway has seen significant support moving from 6.05/1 into 3.412/5. Charlie Hills' two-year-old daughter of Giants Causeway is highly regarded with entries in all the top juvenile end of season contests. On her only start to date at Glorious Goodwood she was prevented from showing her true colours after meeting traffic problems. In today's smaller field the market points to her losing her maiden status at the second attempt.

Now to Wales and today's negative where in the 14:45 at Ffos Las, a 1m Maiden Stakes, Be My Rock has been easy to back moving out from 1.981/1 to a current 3.185/40. Rae Guest's 3yo filly started her career 11 days ago on the polytrack at Lingfield when finishing well, when a distant second to an odds-on favourite. Today's contest on soft ground could be a whole different prospect, the lack of market confidence suggests that connections may have to wait another day to see her record her first win.

Staying at Ffos Las for the 16:30, a 3m 1f Handicap Chase where Fair Along has moved from 8.27/1 into 5.14/1. Phillip Hobbs' 10yo veteran makes his first appearance this season. Although without a win since 2010, last season's Hennessy third place was encouraging, and Fair Along is currently vying for favouritism. The market suggests the long break and the class of rivals may bring another win for this stalwart chaser.

Recommended Bets
Back Golden Causeway @ 3.412/5 Newmarket 13:50
Back Fair Along @ 5.14/1 Ffos Las 16:30
Lay Be My Rock @ 3.185/40 Ffos las 14:45

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March 1, 2012

Arkle Chase News: Don't overlook Menorah warns Hobbs

News RSS / / 01 March 2012 / Leave a Comment

Menorah and Richard Johnson

Menorah and Richard Johnson

"I do think he has been a bit unlucky, his schooling at home has always been very good."

Philip Hobbs believes the stronger guaranteed pace in the Racing Post Arkle at the Cheltenham Festival will be of great benefit to Menorah.

The former classy hurdler, who was rated 159 (7 lb higher than his current chase figure) over timber by Timeform, has a tendency to give the odd fence a clout in his races since being sent over bigger obstacles.

Menorah was a faller at Doncaster when last seen, but Philip Hobbs expects the faster pace a week on Tuesday will help his jumping in one of the hottest renewals of the race for years.

He said: "I do think he has been a bit unlucky, his schooling at home has always been very good.

"In his races he jumps 90% of his fences very well but of course 90% is not good enough, so we hope we can get everything together on the day.

"A strong pace will suit him much better - these muddling novice chases haven't been ideal.

"Sprinter Sacre looks as though he might be exceptional, Peddlers Cross obviously disappointed last time.

"Cue Card would be a danger if he was back to his best and he'll probably make the running, so we'll see.

"His schooling has been brilliant since he fell. Maybe Doncaster might even have taught him a lesson, you never know," the Minehead handler told At The Races.

Menorah is currently trading at [15.0] for the Arkle Chase at Cheltenham on March 13, with Sprinter Sacre the [2.32] market leader, Peddlers Cross second best at [5.5] and last year's Supreme Novices' winner Al Ferof at [6.4].

....................
Timeform ratings are in fine form! Among 5 top-rated winners at Kempton on Saturday was Nacarat (BSP [5.58]). Click HERE for today's cards & ratings.

With the weights announced for the Cheltenham Festival handicaps, Timeform take a look at those set to carry top-weight and what bearing they have had on the ante-post markets......

Leading Kentucky Derby contender Algorithms has been ruled out of the Churchill Downs classic through injury......

Trainer Brian Hamilton has confirmed amateur rider Declan Lavery will maintain his partnership with Champion Bumper favourite Moscow Mannon....


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February 28, 2011

Timeform Weekend Review: Quinz wins for Hobbs and Johnson

Timeform Features RSS / Timeform / 28 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Mount Oscar survives a blunder but cannot overhaul the younger Quinz

Mount Oscar survives a blunder but cannot overhaul the younger Quinz

"Quinz put in such an exemplary round of fencing that connections are now very much considering the Grand National."

Timeform takes a look back at the best action from the weekend, where ever-softening conditions gave us some astonishing performances.

Saturday's card at Kempton looked full of quality on paper and it didn't disappoint, with novice Quinz emulating Gloria Victis by winning the highly-competitive Racing Post Chase despite only limited experience over fences, in the process continuing Philip Hobbs' and Richard Johnson's stranglehold on the valuable race.

Prominent throughout, Quinz put in such an exemplary round of fencing that connections are now very much considering the Grand National, despite his jockey not initially being convinced the horse was ready for such a test. The fact that he may never get another chance to race off 10-8 could shape their thoughts and there's every possibility that he may now miss the Stewart Family Spinal Research Handicap Chase at Cheltenham for the Aintree showpiece. He also has the option of the Mildmay Novices' Chase at the same meeting so it will be interesting as to where we see him next.

Mount Oscar rolled back the year's and nearly emulated Marlborough, who won the race aged twelve in 2004, when looking likely to overhaul the winner, before Quinz seemed to find more after the last. This was a spirited performance and, incredibly for one of his age, his highest rated effort over fences.

Nacarat ran a gallant race in third but the weight seemed to tell, possibly finding the rain-softened conditions more testing than he would have appreciated. It's hard to be certain whether the breathing operation and first-time tongue strap had any effect as it wasn't surprising that his effort petered out in the straight on the ground and we may know more when he is back on a better surface.

In the Pendil Novices' Chase, Captain Chris finally landed his first win over fences after succumbing to Ghizao (twice) and Medermit in his three chase starts. In all honesty this race wasn't much of a test for him though as American Trilogy's jumping left a lot to be desired, whilst Adams Island simply wasn't good enough. Like the same owner's Wishfull Thinking, Captain Chris is still in the RSA Chase, but recent reports suggest they could both take their chance in the Golden Miller, rather than take on the likes of Ghizao and Medermit again, and they are both strong contenders.

The Adonis Juvenile Hurdle saw a clutch of ex-French horses make their British debut and it was Arc winner Zarkava's half-brother Zarkandar who impressed most. Having apparently taken time to get over being gelded, Zarkandar created a good impression on his hurdling debut, suddenly appearing on the bridle in the straight after momentarily being out-paced by sharper rivals turning in. Somewhat excitable beforehand, his performance on track was thoroughly professional, and he now heads straight to the Triumph Hurdle, for which he is now one of the leading fancies.

Runner-up Molotof , who's fluent jumping allowed him to travel well throughout the race, ran an encouraging race before being overhauled close home and can surely win good races for a trainer who won the race with Punjabi, Binocular and Soldatino in the last four years.

The Dovecote Novices' Hurdle provided a very impressive winner in Sire de Grugy, who had no trouble ploughing through the soft ground and stepped up on his minor wins at Fakenham and Folkestone to put himself firmly in line for further Graded success. He won't have that opportunity at Cheltenham, however, as he is not entered in anything, but Aintree beckons and providing he gets his conditions, he'll be a force to be reckoned with as his jumping looks assured and he's open to more improvement.

Paul Nicholls will have been disappointed with the running of Toubab, whose ability to jump probably wasn't helped by the soft ground, but he will have been delighted with the progress of Empire Levant, who stepped out of juvenile company with a highly promising, albeit well-beaten, second. He too may prefer better ground so is one to follow closely back on more suitable terrain.

In the concluding bumper, Oscar Magic opened his account at the first time of asking, at the expense of previous winner Tour d'Argent. He clearly knew his job, responding well when pressed to record a pleasing win and he looks to have a bright future over hurdles. In the meantime, however, he's now close up in the market for the Champion Bumper at the Festival.

Heavy conditions at Newcastle produced an Eider that caused some within the industry to question it's four mile one furlong distance, as the race itself reduced most competitors to a walk, none more so than eventual third Morgan Be, who somehow scrambled over the last to bag some prize money after being all but pulled up in the straight. All the plaudits must go to winner Companero however, as he brushed off his trainer's pre-race talks of retirement with a pillar-to-post victory, showcasing a foot-perfect round of jumping and seemingly endless reserves of stamina to win by 30 lengths from the very tired Giles Cross. The runner-up, who loves heavy ground but may not have stayed the full marathon distance, was the only horse to give chase to the winner and deserves full credit for doing so.

Despite having what looked a very hard race, both horses have been reported to be none the worse for their exertions, but time will tell whether it will have left its mark permanently.

Switching codes, there was also quality action on the all-weather at Lingfield where the front-running Waveband produced a career-best in taking the Listed Cleeves Stakes from another filly in Anne of Kiev. Seemingly thriving since joining David Barron in October of last year, she is equally as effective on turf so connections have an exciting prospect to start the season with.

On Sunday, the Graded action continued at Fontwell where Celestial Halo confirmed his well-being with victory in the National Spirit Hurdle. Not having to match his Kingwell performance of a week ago, he nonetheless impressed by backing the performance up with another classy effort and is now due to attempt to right the wrongs of last year's fall when leading in the Aintree Hurdle. In this form he will be a major player.

Of the supporting races, Fruity O'Rooney was perhaps the classiest performer and he made all to win the novices' chase, carrying on the Moore family's fine form after Sire de Grugy's performance yesterday. However, he is now going to be hard to place with a double penalty from now on and is seemingly no better than a fairly useful staying novice.

Timeform takes a look back at the best action from the weekend, where ever-softening conditions gave us some astonishing performances....

Fifty of the best prospects for the Flat from Timeform's experts, plus big-name interviews & much, much more. Read on to find out exactly what's inside......

The calm before the Cheltenham storm somewhat, but this week's action is set to feature some good horses and lots of opportunities to bolster you betting kitty for the Festival......


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February 23, 2011

Racing Post Chase Betting: Quinz to deliver for Hobbs

Tipping RSS / Adam Brookes / 22 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Improving chaser Quinz seeks to continue Philip Hobbs' great record in the Racing Post Chase

Improving chaser Quinz seeks to continue Philip Hobbs' great record in the Racing Post Chase

"Even though you have to go back to 2000 to find the last novice to succeed (Gloria Victis), Quinz is well worth considering on Saturday, very much the type to win at graded level."

The Cheltenham Festival build-up is well and truly in full swing now, with Saturday's Racing Post Chase at Kempton a mouth-watering precursor of things to come. Timeform's Adam Brookes looks over the field...

Leading trainer Philip Hobbs has won the Grade 3 handicap three times since 1999, most recently with Farmer Jack in 2005, and he has young pretenders Quinz and Mostly Bob entered in the three-mile contest this time, with both looking to hold strong form claims.

The first-named is a very solid jumper, but making the running told last time ultimately told when third behind Time For Rupert. As a result, he is much better judged on his previous run when comfortably dispatching the well-treated Far More Serious in an Ascot handicap. Even though you have to go back to 2000 to find the last novice to succeed (Gloria Victis), Quinz is well worth considering on Saturday, very much the type to win at graded level.

Fairly useful hurdler Mostly Bob has translated his ability to fences and confirmed his fall first time out was unlucky with his two improved performances, most notably when winning with an assured round of jumping at Doncaster last time. It will be intriguing to see if Richard Johnson retains his partnership with either of the two Hobbs horses, as he has won the race four times since the turn of the century.

Just like in the Grand National Trial last week, weight hasn't seemed a burden to runners in the Racing Post Chase, with the aforementioned Farmer Jack, Marlborough and Gungadu all carrying top weight to victory in recent years. The horse that carries the baton this year is Nacarat.

The winner in 2009 and runner-up last year, Nacarat seems as good as ever this season and is actually clear Timeform top rated for this race. Having undergone a breathing operation since his King George fourth, it's likely that the front-running tactics that have stood him in such good stead in the race previously will be employed again, and there's no reason why he won't go very close once more, especially if allowed to dictate his own pace.

Next best in on figures is the consistent Fistral Beach, who was fancied for last year's race before unseating at the second. A horse whose ability should have won him more races than it has, he looked better than ever when successful on his return at Wincanton and will be a big danger if backing that effort up. Any further rain will enhance his chances more, and Paul Nicholls has recently announced that Tony McCoy will take the ride.

Tatenen, like former stablemate Fistral Beach, was another horse to produce a career-best last time, when winning an Ascot handicap chase by 16 lengths, yet it appeared that the strong pace suited him more than his rivals and his overall profile tempers enthusiasm with regards to him following up.

Another with an inconsistent profile is last year's winner, Razor Royale, who, in trying to retain his crown, is attempting a feat that hasn't been achieved since Docklands Express in the early nineties. After two disappointing runs so far this season, it's impossible to know how much ability Razor Royale retains. Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has also entered the unreliable Beat The Boys, and Crescent Island, who returned with a bang last time at Wetherby but must avoid the dreaded 'bounce'.

Hey Big Spender is a far better jumper than his recent form figures suggest and confirmed that last time when posting a career-best effort with a win at Warwick. If he jumps like he did last time, he's another who could go close.

Sagalyrique, another fluent jumper who usually finds plenty, seems to have enjoyed the change of scenery since leaving Alan King for Donald McCain, and comes into this on the back of two handicap chase victories. He needs to step up a gear but the fact that those last two efforts were the highest-rated performances of his life bode well.

Of the market principals, the one who actually has to improve most is Bakbenscher, who missed the end of last season through injury, but has made amends so far this year. However, the suspicion remains that, due to his suspect jumping, big-field handicaps may not suit him and it would be a surprise if he were not to find a few too good in a race of this nature.

Finally, Mount Oscar will be the oldest horse in the field if lining up, and veterans can win it, highlighted by Marlborough's triumph in 2004 and Desert Orchid's victory as a sprightly eleven-year-old in 1990, but his lethargic performance under his regular jockey last time doesn't suggest he's in great form.

Recommendation

Back Quinz @ [8.4] in the Racing Post Chase


The Cheltenham Festival build-up is well and truly in full swing now, with Saturday's Racing Post Chase at Kempton a mouth-watering precursor of things to come. Timeform's Adam Brookes looks over the field......

Three jumpers to back this afternoon, all courtesy of Timeform's Free Form Website....

Two win selections and a lay for Sunday's Naas card........


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