Millwall v Wigan: Lions bite no problems for resurgent Latics

"Millwall are 4.67/2 to win the game with The Draw at 3.9n/a, but on current form, ability, and the stats it's impossible to select anything other than a Wigan win."

Back Wigan to beat Millwall @ 1.8810/11

One of the prizes for winning this FA Cup semi-final might not be too appealing, but the other one certainly is and Mike Norman believes Wigan will be the team celebrating...

Millwall v Wigan
Saturday 17:15, live on ESPN

Arguably the worst prize in football awaits the winner of this weekend's first FA Cup semi-final.

No, I'm not talking about a return to Wembley to contest the oldest cup competition in the world against either Chelsea or Manchester City; which is obviously a fantastic reward. I'm talking of course about qualification to the Europa League; in my opinion the worst competition in football.

Everything about the Europa League is wrong; Thursday night football, regular Sunday afternoon domestic football, the format, Champions League clubs entering at a later stage etc. It's awful.

Not that any of this will be entering the minds of anyone - barring the supporters - connected with the Latics or the Lions on Saturday afternoon. Both sets of players will simply be concentrating on trying to reach a major Wembley cup final for the first time in their club's history, and with it the chance to lift some silverware.

Of course, these two clubs have played in major cup finals before, staged at the Millennium Stadium however, and they did contest a Wembley cup final between each other in 1999, Wigan emerging 1-0 victors to lift the Football League Trophy - far from being labelled a major Wembley cup final.

Match Odds

As cup competitions progress it's inevitable that upsets become less likely and Andrew Atherley details here perfectly the task facing Millwall this weekend.

Since the Premier League era began, seven times a club from the top-flight has faced a Championship side in the semi-final of the FA Cup, and the outcome after 90 minutes has been six wins and a draw for the 'bigger' club. On this stat alone Wigan look to hold a great chance of winning the match at odds of 1.8810/11.

Opta also highlight a significant stat counting against the Lions. Millwall have won just one of their last 13 clashes against top-flight opposition in the FA Cup, and that came against a bang out-of-form Aston Villa side earlier this season.

Current form also suggests Wigan hold the advantage. They are fighting for their lives in the Premier League, though three wins and a draw from their last five games has given them a chance to survive. In the middle of that good league run Roberto Martinez's men went to Goodison Park and produced one of the performances of the season to beat Everton 3-0. They'll want to keep the momentum going here.

Kenny Jackett's Millwall lost at home to relegation-threatened Sheffield Wednesday in midweek meaning it's three Championship games without a win, and while this recent form can be attributed to having one eye on this game, it will take a huge performance to get the better of Wigan.

Millwall are 4.67/2 to win the game with The Draw at 3.9n/a, but on current form, ability, and the stats it's impossible to select anything other than a Wigan win.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Cup semi-finals/finals tend to be tense affairs with the initial emphasis being on not losing rather than trying to win, and I expect this encounter to be no different.

Millwall will line-up defensively-minded with four at the back, and Liam Trotter - if fit - anchoring the midfield. They'll aim to keep Wigan at bay and it will probably take a while for the Premier League outfit to find their stride and creat some chances.

Under 2.5 Goals is available to back at 1.910/11 and the way I expect the game to go I think that is worth a decent wager with a view to laying off later in the game if it starts to open up. Obviously an early goal will be a negative, but I certainly don't envisage a high-scoring encounter.

First Goalscorer

I fancy a Wigan victory in a low-scoring game, so would much rather have a wager in the First Goalscorer market as opposed to the To Score market as it could be that just one goal settles this tie.

Arouna Kone has been in terrific form of late with six goals in his last seven league and cup games and is a worthy favourite at 6.86/1, but at slightly bigger odds a chance is taken on Jordi Gomez (8.88/1). The Spaniard has started all five of Wigan's FA Cup games this season, scoring three goals, and looked really impressive against Everton in the last round.

Recommended Bets

Back Wigan to beat Millwall @ 1.8810/11
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.910/11

There are no comments on this article.

Product reviews and advice for best reference

Betfair Cross-Sport Multiple: Latics good for a point

"Swansea have had no problem finding the net this season, but they’ve been letting them in at the other end just as readily..."

Andrew Hughes thinks Wigan can hold Swansea to a draw in Saturday's Premiership meeting and help land a cross-sport multiple in the process.

Betfair now gives you the facility to mix and match your multiples across a huge range of sports and markets with the easy-to-use betslip and so each weekend I've been putting together a cross-sport treble with the aim of showing the way to maximise your profits.

Bet 1: Back Swansea to draw with Wigan at 3.4
With tough games against Manchester City and Chelsea coming up next, it's important for Swansea side to pick up three points against another struggling team in Wigan who, like the home side, have gone five league games without a win.

Swansea have had no problem finding the net this season, but they've been letting them in at the other end just as readily, so Michael Laudrup may be torn between shoring up the defence and allowing his side to express themselves going forward.

And Wigan will be no pushovers. They managed a creditable draw with Everton recently and on paper their form is slightly better than Swansea, despite being four places lower in the league. Both teams have a reputation for good football but won't want to lose this and will cancel each other out. A draw is on the cards.

Bet 2: Back Mumbai to beat Chennai at 1.85
Indian teams have struggled badly in this year's Champions League. Kolkata are already out and both of these teams will be saying goodbye if Yorkshire can't beat Lions earlier on Saturday.

Choosing between these old rivals in what could turn out to be a dead fixture is a tricky business. The last time they met was in the IPL Elimination game, Chennai prevailing on that occasion, but conditions in South Africa are very different and batting is nowhere near as straightforward as on the Indian roads.

Chennai's Aussie bowlers Doug Bollinger and Ben Hilfenhaus have looked good so far, but in Mitchell Johnson and Lasith Malinga, Mumbai have more of a cutting edge. I'd also give them the advantage batting wise, particularly if Sachin turns up. Back the men in blue to win this one at 1.855/6

Bet 3: Back Racing Metro to beat Saracens at 3.75
Pool 1 of the Heineken Cup is a potentially tricky section that includes former winners Munster and last year's semi-finalists Edinburgh. So Saracens will be delighted to have got off to the best possible start, bulldozing the Scots at Murrayfield last week, to set the early pace.

But whilst we shouldn't read too much into the result two years ago when Racing Metro beat Saracens at Vicarage Road, I think the French team can spring another surprise. For a start, this game is being played in Brussels, so there will be no home advantage for the English side.

And though Saracens are a powerful team, they can be one-dimensional. Racing Metro's expensive squad is littered with internationals and boasts considerable flair. They also showed plenty of fight to come back twice against Munster in their opening Heineken Cup fixture last week. Back them to spring a surprise in Brussels at 3.7511/4

Total Odds for this multiple: 23.59n/a Remember, multiple prices are based on our Fixed Odds product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

There are no comments on this article.

Amazon Sports Center