Follow The Money: Market moves for Varian's Gemini

" Although few appeal in this race on recent form, the market is speaking clearly in favour of Almost Gemini who has moved from a high of 12.5n/a in to 5.04/1."

Back Almost Gemini @ 5.04/1 15:10 Wolverhampton 

Today's Follow The Money comes from Exeter, Southwell and Wolverhampton.

Our first selection comes from Southwell where Scepticism has been heavily backed in to 5.49/2 from 12.011/1 in the Apprentice Handicap at 14:20. Although poor on the Polytrack, the return to Fibresand should spark a revival and the market agrees. Back Scepticism at 5.49/2. 

Next we move to Exeter for he Kip Kealey Novices' Chase at 15:00. Although Jump City jumped well in his debut chase at Newton Abbot (2m) in October he has drifted from 1.9310/11 out to 2.1211/10 with Dare Me being well backed. Dare Me has placed in his last outing under Aidan Coleman here at Exeter and we think he'll go one better today. Lay Jump City at 2.1211/10.

For our last we head over to Wolverhampton for the Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap at 15:10. Although few appeal in this race on recent form, the market is speaking clearly in favour of Almost Gemini who has moved from a high of 12.5n/a in to 5.04/1. He has shown some promise in Maidens last spring for Roger Varian and on his debut for a new yard we think he'll do well. Back Almost Gemini at 5.04/1.

Recommended Bets
Lay Jump City @ 2.1211/10 15:00 Exeter 
Back Scepticism @ 5.49/2 14:20 Southwell 
Back Almost Gemini @ 5.04/1 15:10 Wolverhampton 

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Premier League: Modric deal to spark a week of moves

"It would appear that Andre Villas-Boas is wasting no time pursuing further targets."

With the transfer window just days away from closing, many Premier League teams are frantically trying to push through last-minute deals...

After more than 12 months of agonising speculation surrounding Luka Modric's post-Tottenham destination, the midfield maestro has finally moved on to Real Madrid.

In the end, it probably seems like the best move for all concerned, as the Croatian has not only netted his club around £30 million from his sale, but Spurs also have the bonus of avoiding him returning to line up for a Premier League rival.

His new team's rather sticky start to the season has seen the Spanish champions slip in the betting to retain their La Liga title, however in light of Modric's arrival, it might be an opportune time to back them at 3.259/4.

Losing a player of Modric's quality is always going to hurt a team, but it does give Spurs a chance to spend some of the revenue that they have reaped on finding quality replacements.

It would appear that Andre Villas-Boas is wasting no time pursuing further targets as French club Rennes have reported receiving a bid for their defensive midfielder Yann M'Vila in the last 24 hours.

The 22-year-old has been heavily linked with a move to England this summer and it would appear Spurs are now in pole position given their renewed financial clout. It would be a real coup for AVB, after several top clubs expressed interest, including bitter rivals Arsenal.

Another player being linked is Fulham's Moussa Dembele, who would certainly be more in the Modric mould and has thoroughly impressed in his time at Craven Cottage.

Whatever happens, it seems that AVB will strengthen in at least a few areas and this can only improve Tottenham's chances of a top-four finish this season, priced at an attractive 4.1n/a on account of a stuttering start.

Spurs are not the only club in the hunt for players though as Manchester City boss Roberto Mancini is desperate to improve his squad and it's now highly likely that Swansea's Scott Sinclair will arrive at the Etihad following his exclusion from their matchday squad to face West Ham.

Mancini has publically stated how important it is for the champions to make acquisitions to improve their squad after all their main rivals invested heavily over the summer, so Sinclair may not be the only arrival this week.

City have gone behind in all three games so far this season, conceding at least two goals, so maybe it will be in defence that the Italian will strengthen. If you fancy QPR to continue that trend, 1.8810/11 on both teams to score on Sunday seems a good shout, especially as Rangers netted twice at the Etihad Stadium in 'that game' last season.

Other final week moves being gossiped about are Joe Barton to be released by QPR, Yohan Cabaye to Arsenal, Michael Dawson to QPR and Clint Dempsey could still leave west London, with Anfield the likely destination.

Meanwhile in the Championship, it appears that Wolves' clear out of stars may not quite be finished yet, with Republic of Ireland striker Kevin Doyle linked with a surprise £6 million move across the midlands to rivals Aston Villa.

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Follow The Money: Sunday market moves from Betfair

Follow the Money / Follow The Money / 04 March 2012 / Leave a Comment

Will you Follow The Money today?

"With a proven liking for this course (a win and last time second), no worries about the quickish ground, a two month break and the James Ewart stable in fine form, everything looks set up for a big run from Frontier Boy this afternoon."

Today's bets run at Leopardstown and Sedgefield

We start over the water at Leopardstown for Won In The Dark in the 14.30 who has been supported from [6.0] in to [4.0]. Without a win for two years now, there was much to admire about his performance last time when finishing second behind the one time "talking horse" Cousin Vinny. With the favourite in this event, Pittoni, running a shocker at Cheltenham on his last outing, there has to be a question mark as to the jolly's well being. Should Pittoni fail to recapture his form, our selection looks the likely beneficiary.

To Sedgefield now and in the 15.20 Frontier Boy has been backed from [6.2] in to [4.8]. With a proven liking for this course (a win and last time second), no worries about the quickish ground, a two month break and the James Ewart stable in fine form, everything looks set up for a big run from Frontier Boy this afternoon.

It's back to Leopardstown for our final mover and our "lay of the day" which comes in the shape of Donnas Palm in the 15.30 at Leopardstown. Matched at around the [2.2] mark early exchanges, the gelding has proven friendless and is now freely available at [3.25]. A top-rated hurdler in this field of novice chasers, Noel Meade's charge enjoyed a hard-fought victory two weeks ago at Navan but the two questions that will need answering are whether he is over the exertions of that race and whether the blinkers fitted that day (for only the second time in 25 race career) have the same effect. With these doubts in mind, Donnas Palm is one that we can, at the price, take on.

Recommended Bets
Back Won In The Dark @ [4.0] Leopardstown 14.30
Back Frontier Boy @ [4.8] Sedgefield 15.20
Lay Donnas Palm @ [3.25] Leopardstown 15.30

Today's Follow The Money comes from the meetings at Newbury and Kelso....

Today's Follow The Money movers come from Lingfield and Newbury......

Today's Follow The Money movers come from Southwell, Ludlow and Taunton....

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Transfer Deadline Day: All the moves as they happen

Premier League / Mike Norman / 31 August 2011 / 1 Comments

"Tottenham boss Harry Redknapp says that Luka Modric is a million per cent certain to remain a Spurs player, though Peter Crouch can leave with Sunderland and Stoke leading the chase to land the £10m-rated striker."

Tied to a chair and armed with just a TV and a laptop, Mike Norman (and later Jaymes Monte) is here to bring you all the deals as they happen on Transfer Deadline Day.

12:41

Joe Cole has signed for French side Lille on a season-long loan, scuppering Aston Villa's last ditch attempts to take him to Villa Park.

QPR have agreed a fee with Sunderland to take defender Anton Ferdinand to Loftus Road.

12:33 Done Deal

It's official, Gary Neville is staying at Sky Sports, and he is not moving to some Lithuanian non-league football channel as the whole country had hoped.

Stoke have agreed a fee with Birmingham to bring striker Cameron Jerome to the Britannia Stadium, whilst it is also being reported that Stoke is the preferred club of Peter Crouch. Still no more on that 'exciting' news coming out of Old Trafford however (re: 11:35). Maybe it was Darren Fletcher opening his wallet!

12:15

We are still waiting for official confirmation but it definitely looks like both Arsenal and Liverpool have grabbed themselves a centre back each - Per Mertesacker moving to the Gunners and Sebastian Coates moving to Anfield.

Liverpool can be backed at [1.63] and Arsenal at [2.58] in the Top 4 Finish market.

Meanwhile, ala Owen Hargreaves, I've just released a video of myself proving my fitness in the hope I might get a move to a new club soon - take a look.

11:55

I agree with The Other Stevie G's comment below, especially as it looks like Liverpool have agreed to let David N'Gog go to Bolton. That just leaves Suarez, Carroll and Kuyt at the club who can play in attack. Peter Crouch is available you know. Would you have him back? Big man, giant man in attack could be the new big man, small man combo!

11:45

Here's a tip for all you Football Manager fans. Don't go out and buy FM2012 later this year, just load up your FM2011 Editor and replicate all the real life transfers that way. I'm still using FM1979, though I refuse to retire Trevor Brooking. What a wonderful player he was/is... he's 78 now but he still gets 40 goals a season playing in front of Paul Gascoigne and Lionel Messi!

11:35 - Major news

We don't know what it is, but there are reports that there's some exciting news coming out of Old Trafford for Manchester United fans. For the moment though, we'll just have to sit tight and wait for it. Wesley Sneijder anyone? Bit of an anti-climax that wasn't it?

Aston Villa are in talks with Liverpool's Joe Cole. I'm a big fan of Cole, and at his age he definitely needs to be playing regular football. Will be a good deal all round that one.

11:23

The most surprising signing today could be that of Owen Hargreaves by Man City. The England international has been plagued with injuries since he joined Man Utd four years ago, so much so that Sir Alex Ferguson released him at the end of his contract a few months back.

But in an amazing twist Hargreaves, barring any last minute hitches (like a broken leg, cruciate ligament damages etc) is expected to complete a move to City in the next few hours and join a squad that already has excellent players that can play in his position.

What do you think City fans? Will Hargreaves complete your jigsaw?

As well as all the arrivals at Eastlands (can I still call it that?) in the summer there are a handful of players expected to leave the club today. Shaun Wright-Phillips should complete a permanent transfer to QPR, whilst Craig Bellamy is also in talks with the London club. And Stewart Downing has tweeted that James Milner has left the England camp, though my guess is the City midfielder has gone for an early bath, and not to another club.

Tottenham boss Harry Redknapp says that Luka Modric is a million per cent certain to remain a Spurs player, though Peter Crouch can leave with Sunderland and Stoke leading the chase to land the £10m-rated striker.

11:10

Right, let's start with some odds in the Premier League.

Manchester United are the favourites to retain the title at [2.42], just ahead of neighbours City at [3.15] - both have made magnificent starts to the new season. Chelsea are a rather tasty looking [5.9], how busy will new boss Andre Villas-Boas be today?

In the relegation market QPR can be backed at [2.76] but I have a feeling Neil Warnock and his staff will be bringing in some big names throughout the day and that price may well drift.

11:00

Morning everyone. It's one of the most exciting days in the football calendar today with clubs up and down the country desperately trying to fine-tune their squads before the transfer window slams shut. There will be many twists and turns as the day progresses, and there could even be some huge deals.

All eyes will be on the likes of moneybags Manchester City, Premier League new boys QPR, transfer deadline-crazy Harry Redknapp at Tottenham, and the desperately in need of improving Arsenal.

The betting.betfair team will be here all day to let you know who moves where and who stays put, but it's not all just about the football clubs. You the fans are just as important so please let us know who you would like your club to sign by leaving a comment below. Which players are on your wish list and who are you hoping will be staying put?

It's going to be a very exciting day, and that's about the only thing I can guarantee you at this stage.

Harry 'don't call me a wheeler dealer' Redknapp looks set for a massive day of wheeling and dealing with several players linked to moves in and out of White Hart Lane...

Manchester City are going against the grain and getting someone on the cheap, while Arsenal are going mad and spending some money...

After the Manchester Massacre at the weekend, Wayne Rooney and Edin Dzeko have become joint favourites to finish top Premier League goalscorer...

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Follow The Money: Ballerina to make the wrong moves

Follow the Money / Follow The Money / 06 April 2011 / Leave a Comment

"With a respected tipster picking Clearing House and money for Sonny G, our negative Angelina Ballerina has been squeezed out from [4.0] to [5.4] in the 17.30 at Lingfield."

The FTM boys suggest two backs and a lay of the beautifully named Angelina Ballerina. Here's why...

With going concerns clouding the markets of several races at Nottingham, today's Follow The Money selections come from Beverley and Lingfield

One Kool Dude is in from [2.0] to [1.82] in the 14.40, following a promising debut over the water at Dundalk last month. Lily's Angel, who looks the stable's string in this, has attracted some support into second favourite, the rest seemingly unfancied today. With all the opposition unraced as yet, there may be some strength to the opposition but no signs evident this morning. One Kool Dude has the sort of profile of a selection though and should shorten further in price before the off.

Verrazano has proved popular with early backers in the 16.40 market, having been matched at rates from [9.8] into [6.8]. This is a competitive Beverley 7 ½ handicap and we shall see plenty of those in the coming season - today's 14 runner field is a mixture of those making a seasonal debut and others, such as Verrazano, attempting to bring across AW form. Verrazano was a good second at Southwell last time and backers are hopeful that this one can give her trainer a repeat success in this race today.

With a respected tipster picking Clearing House and money for Sonny G, our negative Angelina Ballerina has been squeezed out from [4.0] to [5.4] in the 17.30 at Lingfield. She has won her last two races at Wolverhampton and Southwell but now needs to transfer that form to Lingfield today. All out last time, the 2lb rise in the weights may just be the difference between winning and losing today.

Recommended Bets

Back One Kool Dude @ [1.82] in the 14.40 at Beverley
Back Verrazano @ [6.8] in the 16.40 at Beverley
Lay Angelina Ballerina @ [5.4] in the 17.30 at Lingfield

Today's Follow The Money comes from Pontefract, Kempton and Exeter....

THe FTM boys give us their usual two backs and one lay, the latter a case of opposing Kieren Fallon's mount in the 16:20 at Folkestone....

Today's Follow The Money bets come from Doncaster and Market Rasen...

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Follow The Money: Big moves at Doncaster

Follow the Money / Follow The Money / 03 April 2011 / Leave a Comment

Will you follow the money?

"Paul Midgley's yard should always be respected when their horses are well backed and the booking of Kieren Fallon for Internationaldebut suggests connections are very hopeful that the horse will be best fresh after 159 days off the track."

Today's Follow The Money bets come from Doncaster and Market Rasen

Our first selection comes in the 14:10 at Doncaster where the Richard Hannon-trained King Of Jazz has been supported in the maiden from [2.9] into [2.48]. The three-year-old colt has run twice finishing second, then third last time out when only beaten two lengths by stablemate Libranno who went on to win two Group Two races including the Richmond stakes at Goodwood. Ryan Moore is in the saddle today and with improvement likely, you can understand why the money has come for him.

We stay at Doncaster for the next race at 14:45 where there has been a strong move for Internationaldebut who has been backed from [8.12] in to [5.1]. The 6yo had a busy season last year, running a few respectable races without winning. Paul Midgley's yard should always be respected when their horses are well backed and the booking of Kieren Fallon suggests connections are very hopeful that the horse will be best fresh after 159 days off the track.

Today's lay takes us to Market Rasen for the 16:10, where there has been a negative move for Fin Vin De Leu who has drifted from [2.62] out to [2.98]. At first sight this is a strange one as Charlie Mann's chaser has been in good form of late, winning his last two races. That said, his two main rivals never ran their races last time and he was suited by making all, which might not be possible today with fellow front-runner Dovers Hill in the race. It remains to be seen how his jumping will hold up in this small field should he be taken on for the lead.

Recommended Bets
Back King Of Jazz @ [2.48] Doncaster 14:10
Back Internationaldebut @ [5.1] Doncaster 14:45
Lay Fin Vin De Leu @ [2.98] Market Rasen 16:10

Today's Follow The Money bets all run on the all-weather at Kempton...

Today's Follow The Money movers come from Stratford and Musselburgh......

Today's Follow The Money movers come from the meetings at Leicester and Ludlow respectively....

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