Showing posts with label Isner. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Isner. Show all posts
August 18, 2013
March 15, 2012
Indian Wells Tips: Simon and Isner in for a long one
Events 
/ Sean Calvert / 15 March 2012 / Leave a Comment Isner will need that towel if as expected, his match goes the distance
"Simon will be tired after that late one with Harrison last night and Isner should prevail but the Frenchman will make it tough and a three setter is expected."
Big-serving John Isner and Sean's nemesis Gilles Simon go head-to-head tonight and though Isner looks the more likely winner, the better bet is that it will be a pretty long match os it's time to turn to the total games market.
Wednesday at the BNP Paribas Open proved to be an ultimately disappointing one when, after making a great comeback, Ryan Harrison was beaten by Gilles Simon.
The Frenchman is proving to be an unlikely nemesis in this tournament and he next faces John Isner.
Thursday at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden sees a reduction in the number of matches with only Isner/Simon and Novak Djokovic v Nico Almagro to choose from on the men's side.
Djokovic was made to struggle by Spaniard Pablo Andujar yesterday, after winning the opening set 6-0, and he'll need to improve on his patchy (by his standards) performances this week against Almagro, but I expect him to do just that.
Almagro is more likely to put in the necessary effort in a best of three than he was when he faced the world number one in Melbourne a year ago, the result being a simple straight sets win finished off by a final set bagel for Nole.
The handicap mark of plus 5.5 games is tempting at around [1.9] and that would probably be my bet in that one. But do you trust Almagro not to throw in the towel if he's taking a beating? I'm not sure that I do.
A better bet looks to be the overs in Simon v Isner with over 23.5 games looking highly likely at a price of around [1.96].
I watched the match between these two at the US Open last year and tipped Isner to win it in this column, which he ultimately did after four tough sets, but there wasn't a great deal in it that day.
Isner hasn't been involved in a tie break so far this tournament, which is a surprise but there's a good chance that this pair will create at least one today and that might be worth an interest as well.
Simon will be tired after that late one with Harrison last night and Isner should prevail but the Frenchman will make it tough and a three setter is expected.
On the women's side I like the chances of Marion Bartoli at around [1.9] to inflict a second Indian Wells defeat in two years upon Ana Ivanovic, who probably won't push on after defeating Caroline Wozniacki in the previous round.
Recommended Bet
Back Over 23.5 games in Isner v Simon at around [1.96]
Follow Sean on Twitter @seancalvert1
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May 2, 2011
Madrid Masters Monday Tips: Fish to hunt Isner down
Events / Ben Caudell / 02 May 2011 / Leave a Comment 
There are plenty of reasons to be backing Mardy Fish against John Isner today
"The stats are definitely in favour of the 2006 ATP Comeback Player of the Year to dispatch of his rival: the 29 year-old has won four of his last five matches at Master Series level, seven in a row when his opponent is a fellow countrymen and he has won 74% of his last 50 matches overall."
Two big-serving Americans go head-to-head this afternoon on the red dirt of Madrid and we should see the more experienced of the two prevail, says Ben Caudell.
John Isner (USA) v Mardy Fish (USA)
We kick-start our Madrid Masters campaign on Monday with an all-American affair between two players not accustomed to playing on the slower European clay courts.
Mardy Fish, seeded 11, represents my value bet of the day and can be backed at a decent [1.70] in the match odds. The Miami Masters semi-finalist has a a distinct advantage coming into today's contest, having already defeated his American rival John Isner in their two previous meetings. Both matches took place within the last couple of years on hard court surfaces that are arguably more advantageous to the big serving Isner (Atlanta July 2010 4-6 6-4 7-6) and (San Jose, Feb 2009 6-2 6-7 7-5) in the first place. With this match-up taking place on clay, the advantage most certainly lies with Mardy.
Having reached an all-time high of 10 in the ATP Tour World Rankings earlier in the month thanks to a successful American hard-court campaign that saw the Florida resident reach three semi-finals (Memphis, Delray Beach, and Miami), Fish will be looking to sustain his run of good form going into the European clay court swing. Isner is definitely there for the taking as a player who struggles with the slower pace and movement on the red stuff.
The stats are definitely in favour of the 2006 ATP Comeback Player of the Year to dispatch of his rival: the 29 year-old has won four of his last five matches at Master Series level, seven in a row when his opponent is a fellow countrymen and he has won 74% of his last 50 matches overall. Fish also has a higher ranking, match and surface rating and is yet to lose to this opponent as we've seen already.
Isner has lost four of his last five matches in Europe and five of his last six when priced as an underdog, giving me even more reason to side with the top ranked American.
Recommended Bet:
Back Mardy Fish @ 1.70 to win match
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