Timeform Daily: Monday, Kempton 17:15

Mac's Power would be thrown in off this mark at his peak and has shown enough in 2 starts at Lingfield this year to suggest he can end his long losing run.

Timeform provide a runner-by-runner guide and verdict on a six-furlong handicap at Kempton...

Peace Seeker ended a long losing run when notching a turf double at Yarmouth (5f) last summer. Reliable on polytrack since, but the handicapper looks in charge for now. First-time tongue tie fitted here.

My Son Max scored over 5f at Wolverhampton in April and suggested he was on the way back when third here in December, but he failed to build on that at the former venue last time.

Naabegha took advantage of the drop to claiming company at Lingfield in December, but he's finished nearer last than first on all 4 starts in handicaps since and is now tried in a hood.

Light From Mars got back on the scoreboard in a 7f claimer at Wolverhampton for this yard in July before a spell with Tom Dascombe. Has found the frame in 3 of 4 starts this year, but more needed to resume winning ways.

Clear Praise grabbed the favoured rail when making all at Lingfield (turf) in August and not disgraced in 2 starts here last month after an absence. Still work to do from this mark, but a first-time hood may help.

Bainne landed a trio of turf handicaps for Charlie Swan in Ireland last year, but she was well held on her debut for new connections over C&D in January and needs to step up on that to figure.

Valmina bounced back to form when scoring at Lingfield in January and followed-up there 10 days later. Not disgraced when seventh in a similar event last weekend.

Toymaker showed that he still retains all his ability when landing an 8.6f Wolverhampton handicap early last month. Struggled off this revised mark there 12 days later, however.

Tyfos is a weak finisher who was placed 4 times on polytrack early in 2013, but hasn't troubled the judge in 6 starts on turf/fibresand since

Mac's Power was a very useful handicapper in his prime for James Fanshawe and ran his best race for this yard when runner-up in a Lingfield handicap last month. Potentially well treated if continuing his revival.

Glastonberry returned to winning ways at Wolverhampton in September and was just denied by Valmina on her penultimate start at Lingfield. Best excused her effort there last time (short of room final furlong).

Timeform 1-2-3:
1. Mac's Power
2. Glastonberry
3. Clear Praise

Timeform View: Mac's Power would be thrown in off this mark at his peak and has shown enough in 2 starts at Lingfield this year to suggest he can end his long losing run. Glastonberry almost certainly remains in form and may provide the strongest challenge to the selection.

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Timeform Daily: Monday, Redcar 16:10

Rylee Mooch was back to his very best when collared late at Newmarket last week, and may prove too strong for last year's winner Bedloe's Island...

Timeform examine each runner in a five-furlong handicap at Redcar...

Last Sovereign enjoyed a productive 2012, winning 4 times. Just as good this year prior to lesser effort after blowing the start at Chester last time, so no surprise if he bounced back.

Bedloe's Island won this last year and got back on the scoreboard on his second try for new yard at Thirsk (5f) this month. Found wanting off revised mark at York last week, but this less competitive.

Another Wise Kid signed off for 2012 with a win at Ayr (5f) in October. Solid efforts all 3 comback outings this year, and no reason to think he won't be on the premises once more.

Jack Luey is a tough and consistent sprinter who deservedly regained winning thread at Hamilton in September. Goood fourth when returning at Thirsk on Saturday, so one to consider if turned out again quickly.

Medici Time has run poorly since cashing in off reduced mark at Newmarket (6f) in August, failing to beat a rival when reappearing at Doncaster last month, and something to prove for the time being.

Verinco struggled to recapture best last year. Fared no better switched to AW in January, and others have less to prove now returning to turf after another break.

Partner added 2 more wins to tally in 2012, however, not the most reliable, and others more persuasive in refitted blinkers following a low-key return at Newcastle last month.

Rylee Mooch was generally consistent during a successful campaign on AW over the winter. Dead-heated for second on turf return at Newmarket (5f) last week, and fair chance he will be in the shake-up again.

Willbeme was progressive when landing a brace of 6f handicaps in August. Beaten off this mark when last seen in September, though, and needs to prove as effective over 5f on return.

Cocktail Charlie managed to get competitive off similar marks on occasions last year, but more required in order to end the drought on reappearance.

Timeform 1-2-3:
1. Rylee Mooch
2. Bedloe's Island
3. Last Sovereign

Timeform View: Rylee Mooch was back to his very best when collared late at Newmarket last week, and may prove too strong for last year's winner Bedloe's Island. Last Sovereign and Jack Luey are others that enter calculations.

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Sectional Debrief: Kempton, Monday April 22

Simon Rowlands analyses the sectionals from Monday's meeting on the all-weather at Kempton Park...

Both the potential and the limitations of sectionals taken by hand can be illustrated by the Kempton meeting on Monday April 22. On the one hand, sectionals taken for the leaders and engineered for individual runners at the 3f marker identify the general run of the races and flag up a number of interesting performances. On the other, the unavoidable absence of sectionals for every horse at every furlong almost certainly results in some important information being missed. 

Still, for as long as British Racing prefers to invest in projects other than sectional timing, even diehard sectionalists will have to make do with living in a state of semi-ignorance. 

The most obvious piece of missing information is that for (the appropriately-named) Secret Talent in the 7f maiden. The last 3f sectional shows that the race turned into a sprint, but it does not capture the fact that the winner quickened from the front in tremendous style something like a furlong AFTER the sectional (and yet he won by 7 lengths and the same). 

The mark-up based on last 3f sectional is modest in view of the overall race time, but a very rough estimate of 21.7 sec for the last 2f for the winner would result in a sectional rating of 105, not 79. The likelihood is that Secret Talent is a decidedly useful performer, and that he will rate well into the 100s. But there is a large degree of educated guesswork involved in that from a sectional point of view.

Some observers will tell you that Bright Strike did well to win the 7f handicap "against the pace bias that had been evident throughout the afternoon". This is nonsense and reveals a fundamental misunderstanding of the subject. Both pace and position can be modified on a by-race basis and therefore pace and position analysis needs to be conducted on a by-race basis. The only enduring pace bias is that the overall time of an individual running in a non-efficient way will be compromised. 

Bright Strike did well to come from a bit off the pace specific to the race he was running in and deserves to be rated in the region of 5 lb more superior to the placed horses than implied by the bare result. Fourth-placed Excuse To Linger made late headway also and can be rated third-best. 

Shahrazad, Order of Service, Pether's Moon and King Olav were all winners who were leading turning in. In each case, at least one of their rivals did better than they did in time terms from the sectional, but that is not to say any of them was clearly flattered.

Black Truffle (59 sectional rating) comes out best on sectionals in the opener, but only just ahead of Shahrazad in a race run in a decent overall time (given the abilities of the horses concerned); the same can be said of Shearian (72 sectional rating) in Order of Service's race; Pether's Moon comes out best in his race, with the first two more superior to their rivals than the bare result; Mount Abora (67 sectional rating) might have finished closer to King Olav set less to do, but the eased winner won well enough (and in a reasonable enough time) to think that he was comfortably best on the day in any case.    

Foxhaven came from second at the sectional in the first division of the 11f handicap and comes out scarcely better than second or third on sectionals in what was a tactical affair. Midnight Feast came from a few lengths back to take the concluding 7f handicap, with South Cape (66 sectional rating) also worthy of marking up from the bare result. Runner-up Homeward Strut (66 sectional rating) and fourth-placed Mishrif (61 sectional rating) looked to have been slightly favoured by the run of the race. 

To follow: Bright Strike
To oppose: Foxhaven, Homeward Strut 

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League One Betting: Crewe an interesting lay on Monday

Under Guy Whittingham, the Fratton Park outfit are far better organised, and having a much more settled side has helped. Jed Wallace's recent goals have been a bonus, but this an encounter they'll have to take hold of defensively.

Alan Dudman returns to hopefully make the start of a new month a winning one, and is looking to lay Crewe Alexandra, whilst also taking on Tranmere Rovers this Bank Holiday Monday.

Portsmouth 2.829/5 v Tranmere Rovers 2.789/5, the draw 3.45n/a

Both clubs haven't got the biggest of squads, which will prove to be a test of their collective strength for Monday's game. The market is finding it hard to split the sides, and this is usually the case when two teams are fairly evenly matched, and the draw is often the best trading option.

Pompey are six points away from safety, and gained another point in their unlikely quest for survival on Friday with a really hard fought draw against Preston. Portsmouth battled and were very dogged in their defensive work, and withstood everything North End threw at them.

Under Guy Whittingham, the Fratton Park outfit are far better organised, and having a much more settled side has helped. Jed Wallace's recent goals have been a bonus, but this is an encounter they'll have to take hold of defensively.

Tranmere are a big threat from set-plays and rely on balls into the area. They are a big, strong side and have just signed Manchester United defender Sean McGinty. He'll fit in well, as he is (you've guessed it) big and strong.

Rovers were simply shut out two days ago when defeated 1-0 against Sheffield United. The 90 minutes showed
their inexperience, as the Blades were up to using the 'dirty tricks' better - according to Rovers boss Ronnie Moore.

My in-and-out play is definitely the draw, which will hopefully get to around 2.01/1 in-running. And the price is short enough to take on the visitors.

Recommended bet:
Lay Tranmere @ 2.789/5

Leyton Orient 1.9010/11 v Bury 4.507/2, the draw 3.8014/5

I mentioned Orient's potential nosebleed recently in reference to their usual wobbling anytime they get near the play-off positions. And true to form, Orient were beaten on Friday at Scunthorpe 2-1 to end their recent seven match unbeaten run.

On the plus side, they haven't become a bad team overnight. The pitch is really poor at Glandford Park, and despite Os manager Russell Slade going with three forwards, they could never quite get going. Their defending wasn't great either - but Scunny are fighting for their lives.

I prefer Orient in a 4-4-2, and they have been playing well recently at home. Two of their three games at Brisbane Road last month were over 2.5 goals, and I think they'll have to go for it here.

Bury's plan will be to press hard and harass as much as possible. Manager Kevin Blackwell recently revealed that defender Joe Skarz had to leave as they simply couldn't afford to pay him. Harry Redknapp often uses the phrase 'bare bones'. Blackwell has gnawed past the bones with not much left.

The Shakers are physical and will make the game messy and bitty. But Orient have some decent creative players, in particular out wide. And as long as Kevin Lisbie starts instead of the unimpressive David Mooney, they look a good bet this Monday. Bury have conceded 35 on their travels too, which makes the overs very interesting aswell.

Recommended bets:
Back Orient to win @ 1.9010/11
Back Over 2.5 goals @ 2.166/5
Back Orient to win 3-1 @ 19.018/1

Crewe Alexandra 2.6813/8 v Preston North End 2.8615/8, the draw 3.3512/5

Two of my old friends do battle in Staffordshire this Bank Holiday, and I will go with the tried and trusted formula of laying the home team. The Alex have their JPT final at Wembley a week away, and this is the match before that big day.

Crewe have been chronically inconsistent this term, and are a better side than their current league position. They have won nine on home soil, but only one of three in March. Friday's 2-2 draw against Bury was agony for manager Steve Davis, as Crewe conceded a last minute penalty. But for me, the Shakers deserved that point as they created plenty of chances.

Davis has highlighted a lack of goals recently (which was obviously rectified two days ago), but now has a problem with his defence dealing with the ball from wide areas.

Preston still have something to play for. Survival firstly, but also new contracts under the new manager Simon Grayson. Their last three away games have been 1-0, 1-0 and 1-1 - which gives you an idea where I am going. All eight of North End's last matches have been under 2.5 goals. I perhaps was too brave in plumping for the under 1.5 goals on Friday.

North End will keep plugging away and defensively will give very few chances. Granted they had enough opportunities on Friday against Pompey to win the game (finished 1-1), and they will be strong enough to make the Alex a lay again.

Recommended bets:
Back under 2.5 goals @ 1.784/5
Lay Crewe @ 2.6813/8

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Timeform US SmartPlays: Monday March 18

Following three winners yesterday, making it their sixth profitable week from eight, Timeform's US team provide three more selections...

Sam Houston race 2 (18:26 GMT) win back #6 SWITCHEN ER UP at 2.89/5 or longer
Will Rogers Downs race 2 (18:28 GMT) win lay #8 ONE MEAN CAT at 3.613/5 or shorter
Sam Houston race 7 (20:36 GMT) win back #4 DONALD GENE at 4.03/1 or longer
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Timeform Daily: Monday, Doncaster 15:00

Rock On Ruby should strip fitter now after his return but Darlan was most impressive when winning the Christmas Hurdle at Kempton on Boxing Day, and can further enhance his Champion Hurdle claims here...

Timeform give their view on a fascinating hurdle race that is sure to have an impact on the Champion Hurdle market...

Countrywide Flame showed all his battling qualities when a gutsy winner of the Triumph Hurdle, and stepped up again with easy win in Fighting Fifth. Only fourth behind Darlan in Xmas hurdle last time, though.

Darlan was one of last season's best novices, second in Supreme Novices' before readily winning Grade 2 at Aintree. Showed himself a high-class hurdler when landing Xmas hurdle on return and one to beat.

Rock On Ruby took just 3 starts last season to develop into top-class hurdler, beating Overturn by 3¾ lengths in the Champion Hurdle. Shaped as if needing return in December, and merits plenty of respect.

Clerk's Choice was third in Scottish Champion Hurdle in April but well held since, including on the Flat/jumpers' bumper. Looks up against it here.

Timeform 1-2-3:
1. Darlan
2. Rock On Ruby
3. Countrywide Flame

Timeform View: Rock On Ruby should strip fitter now after his return but Darlan was most impressive when winning the Christmas Hurdle at Kempton on Boxing Day, and can further enhance his Champion Hurdle claims here.

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Market Movers: Monday January 28

All the early betting moves ahead of today's racing at Kempton and Wolverhampton

Kempton
13:20
Camachoice 6.0 in to 3.75
Ishigunnaeatit 8.2 out to 15.5

13:50
Diplomatic 4.3 out to 5.4

14:20
Sand Boy 5.0 in to 2.72
Clock Opera 2.28 out to 2.86

14:50
Irene Kennet 4.0 out to 6.6
Roman Senate 9.0 in to 6.6
Shirattaki 12.0 in to 8.4
If you Whisper 10.0 in to 7.2

15:20
Evergreen Forest 9.0 in to 5.1

15:50
Easy Life 8.8 out to 13.0

16:20
Brimstone Hill 7.4 in to 4.8

16:50
Russian Ice 4.2 in to 3.5
Fairyinthewind 3.25 out to 4.1

Wolverhampton
13:40
Glenten 14.0 in to 11.0

14:10
Blue Noodles 7.8 in to 5.6

14:40
Hillbilly Boy 5.8 in to 4.9
Marmot Bay 5.6 out to 7.0

15:10
Henry The Aviator 3.7 in to 3.1
Bouyrin 4.3 in to 3.55
Botteen 4.4 out to 6.6

15:40
Bussa 3.9 in to 3.0

16:40
Naru 3.55 in to 3.0
Walter White 4.8 out to 7.0
Abraq 10.0 in to 8.2

17:10
Dazzling Valentine 17.0 in to 12.0
Cheers For Thea 10.0 out to 17.0

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Timeform US SmartPlays: Monday January 28

Our US team aim to kick off the week in style...

Turf Paradise race 5 (21:26 GMT) win back #3 FIREFLY BAY at 3.02/1 or longer
Turf Paradise race 8 (22:50 GMT) win back #2 TOUCH THE SUN at 3.39/4 or longer
Sam Houston race 10 (22:54 GMT) win back #7 WAR HOOT at 4.84/1 or longer

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Timeform Daily: Monday, Leicester 14:10

Act of Kalanisi is a useful hurdler who wasn't far off that level when close fifth in a decent maiden at Ascot on chasing debut/reappearance. This definitely easier and looks the one to beat.

Timeform take a look at this interesting novice chase...

Court In Session is a dual hurdles winner who won on chase bow at Hereford in May and good second at Wetherby later that month. Below par when last seen in July but booking of McCoy suggests better expected on return.

Tindaro bettered hurdling form when opening chase account at Fontwell (2¼m) in August. Placed next 2 starts and claims if latest poor run can be forgiven. Cheekpieces added to usual tongue tie now.

Act of Kalanisi is a useful hurdler who wasn't far off that level when close fifth in a decent maiden at Ascot on chasing debut/reappearance. This definitely easier and looks the one to beat.

Balinroab is an Irish point winner who was runner-up in couple of maiden hurdles in the spring. Should be sort to do even better over fences at some point but market probably best guide to expectations on return.

Ciceron was a useful hurdler, winning a Sandown handicap in January. Lost way towards end of last season, however, and fared no better switched to chasing on reappearance. Need to see more before supporting.

Denali Highway won a bumper on debut but bit disappointing over hurdles for Alan King last season and needs to improve for fences and change of yard to make a significant impact here.

Dubai Crest was a fairly useful hurdler for Nicky Henderson but left that yard since last seen in September and remains to be seen if he's capable of similar level sent straight over fences by new yard.

Timeform 1-2-3:
1. Act of Kalanisi
2. Court In Session
3. Tindaro

Timeform verdict: Act of Kalanisi showed enough at Ascot to suggest he's going to translate most of his hurdling ability to chasing and can take advantage of the 7 lb he receives from previous chase winners Court In Session and Tindaro.

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Timeform Daily: Monday, Newcastle 15:00

The well-bred Almost Gemini is a potential blot on the handicap back from a break and gets the vote...

Timeform take a runner-by-runner look at a staying handicap at Newcastle on Monday...

Petella won twice last season and now back on her last winning mark. Not seen to best effect when fifth at Musselburgh recently (sent off favourite) and better expected on this stiffer course.

Descaro won twice in 2011 but has left the impression he's merely been going through the motions of late. Is potentially well handicapped if a first-time hood helps get his mind back on job, though.

Jawaab is potentially well treated and promise when placed on both starts for new yard in recent weeks, second to Looks Like Rain over 2m at Wolverhampton last time. Obvious chance off same mark.

Grand Art was twice successful over hurdles in 2011 and back to winning ways on Flat when scoring by 5 lengths at Musselburgh (2m) last week. Player under penalty if turning up here in similar form.

Hi Dancer got back to best when winning twice over hurdles in the spring and run respectably on Flat since, second to Dr Irv at Redcar (1¾m) last month. Return to 2m should suit and needs considering.

Pegasus Prince is a 3-time winner at Southwell and won over hurdles/fences for Keith Reveley. Potentially well treated back on Flat but new yard hasn't had a winner since May 2011.

Spiders Star was a fair staying handicapper at her best but not been anywhere near the top of her game so far this term, running no sort of race at Ripon last time. Cheekpieces refitted now.

Manager Mick ran just about his best race to date when fifth in a C&D handicap in May but well held at Carlisle since and refitted visor needs to spark improvement for him to get heavily involved here.

Pugnacious ran best to date when plugging-on second in first-time blinkers at Catterick (1½m) last time. Shapes as if well worth this try up in trip and less exposed than most here.

Almost Gemini was no better than mid-field in 3 1¼m maidens this spring but related to some smart sorts and could prove a totally different proposition upped in trip on return from break (has been gelded).

Asteroid Belt put up just about his best effort for new yard when staying-on third to Sweet Fairnando over 1¾m at Redcar last time. Step up to 2m should suit and can't rule out with cheekpieces now back on.

Timeform 1-2-3:
1. Almost Gemini
2. Jawaab
3. Hi Dancer

Timeform Verdict: The likes of Jawaab and Hi Dancer look sure to go well, but the well-bred Almost Gemini is a potential blot on the handicap back from a break and gets the vote.

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The Monday Football Column: Keep laying Liverpool

"The Reds are anywhere up to 2.77/4 for a top-six finish, and 5.24/1 to reach the top four. There’s still value in laying both of them."

Ralph Ellis' pre-season scepticism about Liverpool's latest reboot has been justified by a shaky start...

"Don't it always seem to go", sang Joni Mitchell, "that you don't know what you've got 'til it's gone." Ok, so You'll Never Walk Alone will always be the number one song at Anfield, but this week, at least, it seems Big Yellow Taxi might be number two in the charts.

It was more of a claret-and-blue taxi that took Andy Carroll away from Merseyside to go to West Ham last Thursday night. Who would have thought he would be missed so much, so quickly?

From the moment that Kenny Dalglish spent £35m to sign the big centre forward from Newcastle last January, there was always a large contingent of Kop fans who didn't want or rate him. Not a Liverpool player, they said. His touch wasn't good enough, he wasn't mobile enough, he wasn't creative enough. Waste of money.

And when Brendan Rodgers took over, it was soon pretty obvious that he shared those views. Within days the signals were being given through the media that Carroll could go, and when subtle hints weren't working Rodgers said it outright.

He got his wish when Carroll went. But Clint Dempsey, the man the manager thought was lined up as a replacement, went to Spurs instead and right now Liverpool are a team without anybody to do the most important job in football - put the ball in the net.

All the optimism that surrounded the appointment of Swansea's former manager has evaporated already. Back in early July, I suggested laying the Reds for both a top-six finish at 1.558/15 and a top-four finish at 3.7511/4. My reasoning was that Rodgers' attempts to change the style of football would take too much time. What we didn't know was that his attempts would also be hampered by a lack of resources in the transfer market.

This morning, the Reds are anywhere up to 2.77/4 for a top-six finish, and 5.24/1 to reach the top four. There's still value in laying both of them. Talk of an approach to Michael Owen might bring some romantic headlines but will his fitness record stand up to playing regularly in the Premier League?

Rodgers was recruited by Liverpool's owners who had wanted a different direction after spending huge fees on the likes of Carroll, Luis Suarez, Stewart Downing and Jordan Henderson without seeing any value for their money. But it meant his first task was to trim the wage bill. He's got eight players off the books and saved around £20million, which is smashing - except it has left him with a squad of just 19 to work with.

And while he was allowed to pay out £15m to bring in Joe Allen, at the moment the pocket-sized midfielder is not on the same wavelength as those around him. During his debut at West Brom, I lost count of the number of times he moved into space and showed for the ball, but didn't get it. A look at the TV pictures from yesterday's defeat by Arsenal suggested that hasn't changed too much.

Rodgers is undoubtedly a talented young coach. He's a deep thinker about football, about tactics and strategy. He has the ability to make the most of what's available.

But like any football manager, he's only as good as the players he can work with. And if his squad doesn't have a goalscorer, his team won't score too many goals.

Liverpool have got a recall clause for Carroll that kicks in on January 1. By then they might be preparing a Big Red Taxi to bring him back!

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Timeform US SmartPlays: Monday September 3

Timeform's North American team give you their three best bets from Monday night's racing...

Saratoga race 3 (18:34 BST) win back #11 SMOOTH BERT at 2.915/8 or longer
Woodbine race 3 (18:57 BST) win lay #2 AWESOME FIRE at 3.814/5 or shorter
Louisiana Downs race 8 (22:50 BST) win back #2 I'MABADBOY at 5.04/1 or longer

Simon Rowlands has previewed the best of the Stateside action on Labor day. Read it HERE.

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Timeform Daily: Monday, Ffos Las 16:50

Supreme Spirit was better than the result last time and is worth chancing in refitted blinkers (both wins gained in them) with the Makin team back among the winners...

Timeform take a runner-by-runner look at a six furlong handicap at Ffos Las on Monday...

Bouncy Bouncy has been hit and miss since regaining winning thread at Yarmouth (5f) in April, though does go well with cut in the ground and was runner-up off this mark in July so a player if on a going day.

Night Trade won at Wolverhampton in February and back on the scoreboard over C&D in July. Not repeated that form in 3 starts since, however.

Fillionaire made winning debut last October and third in Newbury listed event later that month. Not gone on from that this year, though bit more promise when third of 6 over this trip at Goodwood last time.

Supreme Spirit won twice in 2011, including over C&D in mud. Only run twice so far this season, though better than result last time (not clear run) and yard going bit better all of a sudden. Blinkers back on.

Bella Ophelia was a big improver on fibresand early in year and proved she's as good on turf when second at Newmarket in June. Not repeated that in 3 starts since, though has had excuses on couple of occasions.

Blackdown Fair won Salisbury maiden at 2 yrs. Ran up to best when fourth in 6f AW handicap on return after 14 months off, but below that level at Windsor since and needs to bounce back.

Shes Rosie has gained both her wins gained at Chepstow, keeping on well when getting back on scoreboard over 7f in July. Well held upped to 1m since and now drops back in trip.

Sparking was better than ever when scoring in mud at Hamilton (6f) in July. Drying ground possibly against her when below par over C&D last time and better expected back under more suitable conditions.

Iced Opal improved as 2011 went on, signing off with third in 6f Haydock nursery. Yet to find the frame this season, but wasn't disgraced at Bath last time, and won't need to step up much to figure here.

Timeform 1-2-3:
1. Supreme Spirit
2. Sparking
3. Bouncy Bouncy

Timeform Verdict: Supreme Spirit was better than the result last time and is worth chancing in refitted blinkers (both wins gained in them) with the Makin team back among the winners. Sparking is also of interest with conditions to suit, while Bouncy Bouncy won't be far away if anywhere near her best.

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Market Movers: Monday August 20

All the early betting moves ahead of today's racing at Stratford, Thirsk, Wolverhampton and Tramore

Stratford
14:10
Patsy Cline 4.6 in to 3.8

14:40
Hes Our Lad 2.4 out to 2.62
Vinnes Friend 18.0 in to 9.6

15:10
Peaks Of Fire 8.8 in to 5.8
Generous Kenny 6.4 out to 8.4

15:40
Premier Dane 2.9 out to 3.5
Moulin De La Croix 5.8 in to 5.1

16:10
Ahyaknowyerself 2.1 in to 1.78

16:40
Makena 9.0 in to 6.8
Southway Star 5.4 out to 7.6

17:10
Best Excuse 5.8 in to 4.7

Thirsk
14:30
Done Dreaming 2.82 out to 3.25

15:00
Waking Warrior 8.6 in to 7.0
Lost In Paris 11.0 out to 15.0
Pavershooz 38.0 in to 27.0

15:30
Authora 5.2 in to 4.3

16:00
Icy Blue 12.0 in to 8.6
Prophesy 10.5 in to 8.4
Daring Dream 19.5 in to 15.5

16:30
Fayr Fall 4.0 in to 3.25
Fine Altomis 11.0 in to 8.0

17:00
See Clearly 9.33 in to 5.5

Wolverhampton
14:50
Beluckyformammy 3.45 out to 5.3
Angels Calling 15.5 in to 6.6

15:20
Cross Pattee 3.2 out to 4.0
Veturia 5.5 in to 4.5

15:50
Quick Bite 12.32 in to 7.6

16:20
Abhaath 7.77 in to 6.0

16:50
Jerry Allen 7.8 in to 5.6
July Days 8.0 out to 19.5

17:20
Position 6.6 in to 3.1
The Tiger 5.4 out to 7.8
Light From Mars 9.8 in to 7.2
Asifa 7.6 out to 11.5
King Of Windsor 5.9 out to 10.5

17:50
Fleur De La Vie 4.18 in to 3.35

Tramore
14:25
Dare To Doubt 1.56 out to 1.8

14:55
Zalantoun 1.62 out to 1.94

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The Monday Football Column: Clarke and Baggies a perfect fit

"If you’re looking for a value bet for the season, then West Brom in the top half ticks all the boxes you could ask for."

Ralph Ellis explains that not all successful coaches turn into poor managers, and why he believes Steve Clarke will do a very good job at West Brom this season...

One of football's more illogical maxims is that a good coach will never turn into a successful manager. The theory goes that putting on great training sessions is one thing, managing the fragile egos of top players is another.

True, there have been plenty of examples to justify the claim. Brian Kidd, brilliant assistant to Sir Alex Ferguson at Manchester United, had a nightmare 12 months in charge at Blackburn and has never worked as the number one since. Sammy Lee was such a good coach that he worked with a succession of different Liverpool managers before joining the England set up - and then managed to win one game in 11 in charge of Bolton while splitting what had been a united dressing room in the process.

But there are just as many who have made the success of stepping up. After all, if you've spent time looking and learning from top bosses, wouldn't that work as the perfect apprenticeship to take the helm?

I mention all this because many people have been lazily expecting Steve Clarke to fall flat on his face in his first management job at West Bromwich Albion. And despite an opening day 3-0 demolition of Liverpool, that is clearly still the view. The Baggies, tenth under Roy Hodgson last season, are anywhere between 3.3512/5 and 4.47/2 to finish in the top half this time.

Now I fully accept Romilly Evans' warning that you mustn't read too much into first day results. Otherwise after a 5-0 demolition of Norwich you would be putting down the £93 available on Fulham winning the Premier League at 1.000n/a and booking a Caribbean cruise for next May. But there were valid reasons for believing that Clarke could improve on Hodgson's work, even before the season began.

For a start, the players are the same. The list of those who have left The Hawthorns this summer covers only those let go on free transfers because West Brom didn't want them. Key defender and captain Jonas Olsson might not have signed a new contract but chairman Jeremy Peace has so far dug his heels in and refused to sell him either.

There have been, however, some excellent additions to the squad. Argentine international Claudio Jacob looked a sensational free transfer capture on the evidence of his debut on Saturday. A Bosman signing from Racing club de Avellaneda in Buenos Aires where he was club captain, he won tackles and used the ball with simplicity to dominate midfield.

On loan Romelu Lukaku is at the perfect club to take out his frustrations at getting so few chances at Stamford Bridge. And Swedish international Markus Rosenberg, as readers of his Betfair Big Interview will know, has scored goals in Holland, Germany and Spain.

Perhaps most important of all is that Clarke, while he will be picking the team, is still Head Coach under West Brom's well developed structure rather than manager. There is an established principle that football director Dan Ashworth handles all the contracts and recruitment. That leaves the head coach to concentrate on putting on good training sessions, and it didn't do either Roberto Di Matteo or Hodgson any harm in their career development.

In short Clarke has come to a club where he needs apply only a few tweaks to a well oiled machine to keep it running smoothly and maybe do better. If you're looking for a value bet for the season, then West Brom in the top half ticks all the boxes you could ask for.

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Timeform UK SmartPlays: Monday August 20

Fayr Fall (16:30) posted a career-best effort over C&D last time out at Thirsk when a neck second to It's A Man's World, who has gone on to score since.

Today's SmartPlays look for some value at the afternoon meetings on the Flat at Thirsk and Wolverhampton...

In what looks a two-horse race in the betting this morning, our first SmartPlay selection is Grievous Angel (14:20 Wolverhampton) who is taken to overcome Richard Fahey's Multisure. Both just missed out last time, but Grevious Angel, who finished a neck second to The Sixties after wandering under pressure, has the better form. Now fitted with a visor, this improving filly is dropped back in distance, which her pedigree implies should suit her as a half-sister to five furlong two-year-old winner Dancing Red Devil, meaning Grevious Angel should be ready to break her maiden today.

Fayr Fall (16:30) posted a career-best effort over C&D last time out at Thirsk when a neck second to It's A Man's World, who has gone on to score since. Although that has meant a 5 lb rise, the race should be run to suit Fayr Fall today, with more than one confirmed front-runner suggesting there will be plenty of pace on, which should allow Tim Easterby's runner to get his head in front for the first time on turf. Blinkers appear to have been the making of him, with two strong perfomances since their application and on similar ground to his outing here last time, this race looks set for the taking by Fayr Fall.

Tim Easterby can offer us a quick-fire double with Jerry Ellen (16:50) back at Wolverhampton. Jerry Ellen won last time out on his handicap debut when switched to the polytrack at Wolverhampton. Fitted with headgear for the first time on that occasion as well, he didn't disappoint to win by a length from Dingaan and showed enough to suggest he can follow up, off a revised BHA mark of 50. Despite failing to stay a mile in his second maiden race, when presumably still learning his trade, Jerry Ellen's breeding suggests the step up to seven furlongs shouldn't be a hindrance and he is chanced to improve further on only his fifth start.

Timeform SmartPlays

Back Grievous Angel @ 2.3611/8 in the 14:20 at Wolverhampton
Back Fayr Fall @ 3.211/5 in the 16:30 at Thirsk
Back Jerry Ellen @ 5.69/2 in the 16:50 at Wolverhampton

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Timeform Daily: Monday, Thirsk 15:00

With her stable having turned a corner in recent weeks it may be worth chancing that Beauty Pageant can follow suit...

Timeform provide a runner-by-runner guide to a competitive handicap sprint at Thirsk on Monday...

Barney McGrew was a Group 3 winner in 2010 but not up to that level nowadays, though largely consistent all the same. Suited by strong pace when dropped back to 5f latest, but others more persuasive for win purposes.

Pavershooz was last seen when eighth of 9 at Haydock in September 2011 (reported to have bled that day). Best watched on belated return in tongue tie given such concerns.

Lost In Paris was gambled on and got back to winning ways off reduced mark at Catterick (5f) last month, digging deep under pressure. Form generally up and down, and this tougher off 2 lb higher mark.

Haajes finished in the frame 4 starts prior to beaten seventh of 13 at Ripon (5f) last time, blinkered. Back down to last winning mark here, however, and frame claims again if in the mood.

Beauty Pageant ended 2011 on the up, her 5f Ripon handicap victory representing a career best. Yet to fire so far this term, but yard going much better in recent weeks and one to consider back on faster ground.

Defence Council is on a long losing run and very inconsistent this year, better run following 3 lesser efforts when fifth at Ripon a fortnight ago (had Haajes behind). Remains opposable for the win.

Bronze Beau is a front runner who was only caught close home twice earlier this term. However, not at best last 4 starts nor a battler, and losing run starting to mount up.

Eland Ally was a ready winner of 5f Doncaster maiden last summer. Better than result on return at Redcar, though failed to deliver at York (6f) latest. Drop down to 5f will suit, but bit to prove currently.

Dispol Grand was back in business at Nottingham in April, and produced a career best to win readily there when last seen in May. Has 9 lb rise to overcome on return here, but should go well nevertheless.

Whozthecat was down in weights and got back to form when third here (6f) earlier in the month. Went off too hard latest, and on a good mark now, but winless streak does extend back to November 2010. Blinkers on.

Mandalay King was seen to maximum effect when scoring at Ripon in April, and generally more miss than hit this term, following poor Carlisle effort in June with even worse one at York last month. Others more solid.

Fear Nothing snapped long losing run when landing hat-trick of 5f wins in July. Another rise in the weights prevented the 4-timer at Beverley latest but still ran respectably, and visor applied now.

Waking Warrior has not won since juvenile days, though given chance by handicapper and has put up a couple of creditable efforts when runner-up last 3 starts, including over C&D. Respected.

Indian Trail is a hold-up veteran who blows hot and cold these days, below form over 6f/5f last twice. Expensive to follow over the years, and opposable on balance again here.

Kyzer Chief made all to win Catterick handicap last spring and repeated trick in claimer wearing first-time hood last month. Denied run attempting follow up on Friday, but mark high enough and hood now off.

Timeform 1-2-3:
1. Beauty Pageant
2. Dispol Grand
3. Waking Warrior

Timeform Verdict: With her stable having turned a corner in recent weeks it may be worth chancing that Beauty Parlour can follow suit and take advantage of a reduced mark. Dispol Grand and Waking Warrior are others to consider.

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Timeform US SmartPlays: Monday July 16

Timeform's North American Team begin the week with three more US SmartPlays...

Fort Erie race 2 (18:42 BST) win back #6 TETHRA'S WORD at 2.81/1 or longer

Finger Lakes race 8 (21:19 BST) win back #6 ANNA MAE JONES at 5.04/1 or longer

Delaware race 8 (21:45 BST) win back #2 ROCK YARD at 3.82/1 or longer

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Market Movers: Monday July 16

With apologies for the delay, here are all the betting moves ahead of today's racing at Ayr, Southwell and Dundalk.

Ayr
14:05
Majestic Moon 6.13 in to 4.0

14:35
The Nifty Fox 4.65 in to 4.0
Hills Of Dakota 8.55 in to 6.40
Rasaman 5.57 out to 8.0

15:35
Fieldgunner Kirkup 6.20 in to 5.10
King Of Eden 5.40 out to 7.40
Orbit The Moon 11.0 in to 7.60

16:05
Dubai Dynamo 4.20 in to 3.40
Indepub 5.40 out to 7.60
Extraterrestrial 9.60 in to 8.0

16:35
Danube River 9.83 in to 6.80

17:05
Lady Bluesky 2.45 in to 2.0

Southwell
14:15
Relight My Fire 7.90 in to 4.30
Lincolnrose 3.75 out to 4.60
Hitherto 4.80 out to 8.80

14:45
Bix 4.60 in to 3.65
Poetic Princess 3.0 out to 4.40

15:15
Son Vida 5.0 in to 3.85

15:45
Sir George 6.35 out to 9.40
Dream Win 12.35 in to 8.40

16:45
Marmalade Manannan 3.25 out to 4.0

17:15
Three White Socks 6.0 in to 4.20

Dundalk
13:25
George Vancouver 6.0 in to 3.85
Antrim 6.40 in to 4.0
Dusty In Memphis 4.70 out to 9.40

16:25
Mad For Road 6.60 in to 5.10

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Timeform Daily: Monday, Ayr 16:05

Dubai Dynamo can race off a 2 lb lower mark than when an excellent second at Ripon last time, and makes by far the most appeal...

Timeform offer a runner-by-runner guide to a mile handicap at Ayr...

Dubai Dynamo is a tough handicapper who was back to winning ways at Ripon (1m) in May. In frame 4 times since, and excellent neck second over same C&D a week ago. Races off 2 lb lower mark now, and much respected.

Oriental Scot was back to best when winning at Haydock in May, and again suited by strong pace with narrow defeat over 9f at Musselburgh next time. Undone by further rise in weights at Windsor early this month.

Extraterrestial is a hold-up handicapper who is generally thereabouts but hard to win with. Not at best on last 2 outings, and his losing run now stands at 14. Percentage call remains to oppose.

Colour Guard was largely progressive in 4 starts at Southwell, winning 3 times at up to 1m. Creditable fourth of 7 at Ripon last month, but found nothing last time. Opposable.

Sam Nombulist opened his account in a visor at Doncaster (7f) in November, and improved to bag another big-field handicap at York last month, although had run of race. Well below form at Carlisle last time.

Paramour landed a 1m Pontefract maiden last August and bounced back to take 7f handicap at Newmarket last month. Well below form in 2 starts since, though, and now tried in cheekpieces.

Karaka Jack won big-field 7f handicap at York last July and at Doncaster on return in April. Back to form when third of 13 at Sandown last month, but failed to fire when mid-field at Carlisle last time.

Staff Sergeant produced a number of creditable efforts in defeat last year and improved to win over 9f at Musselburgh in May. Below form since, although more chance he can dominate here, and not ruled out entirely.

Dhaular Dhar was a surprise winner of big-field handicap at Doncaster (1¼m) in October, and better effort this year when sixth of 11 at Chester (10.3f) last time. Left with plenty to do there, and may do better.

Indepub surpassed 2-y-o form when runner-up to Eastern Destiny in 9.8f Ripon handicap in May, and back to winning ways in 4-runner affair at Newcastle last time. Would have claims if securing early lead.

Timeform Verdict:
1. Dubai Dynamo
2. Indepub
3. Staff Sergeant

Timeform View: Dubai Dynamo can race off a 2 lb lower mark than when an excellent second at Ripon last time, and makes by far the most appeal. Indepub and Staff Sergeant can both go from the front, and would have claims if not cutting each other's throats.

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