Showing posts with label Spirit. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Spirit. Show all posts

January 4, 2013

FA Cup Tips: Coventry to summon the spirit of '87

"The Sky Blues have had some good cup runs in a recent seasons, with victories at Blackburn and Manchester United being the undoubted highlights."

Back a Tottenham v Coventry draw @ 5.8 (24/5)

The Premier League makes way for the FA Cup this weekend and Paul Robinson has cast his eye over Betfair's Fixed Odds markets for you. Here are his selections:

Crystal Palace v Stoke  
Back Crystal Palace @ 2.87 (15/8)  
Back Over 2.5 goals @ 2.1 (11/10)  

The FA Cup is notorious for its upsets and I think we could be in store for a bit of a mini one at Selhurst Park as Crystal Palace take on Stoke.

The Eagles are soaring in third place in the Championship at the moment and they ended a five match winless run by defeating Wolves last time out. In all fairness to Palace, three of those five games were away from home and they only lost one of them, which was against the league leaders. 

Ian Holloway has come in as manager since the departure of Dougie Freedman and he has continued their fine record at home. After losing their opening match at Selhurst Park of the season, Palace have gone on a 12 match unbeaten run,  winning eight and drawing four. They have been scoring goals for fun, netting two or more in 10 of those dozen games.

Stoke's own 10 league match unbeaten run came to an end last time at Manchester City. While that can be forgiven, they did draw a fair few in that spell and it took a late fight back to snatch a point against Southampton the time before.

The Potters have already been knocked out of the Capital One Cup by lower league opposition this term and I think they could be vulnerable away to Palace here. The Londoners score plenty of goals, especially at home, so not only do I think a home win is overpriced at 2.87 (15/8), over 2.5 goals at odds-against is also worth a bet.

Millwall v Preston  
Back Millwall @ 1.66 (4/6) 
Back Millwall to win 1-0 @ 6.5 (11/2)  

Millwall are another Championship club who are playing well at the moment and I strongly fancy them to have too much for League One's Preston.

The Lions are seventh in the table, missing out on the play-off places on goal difference only. They put a pair of defeats behind them on New Year's Day by beating Bristol City at home, and before that they'd lost just one of their previous 16.

The Den has always been an intimidating place to go for opposition players and fans alike, highlighted by the fact that Millwall have won six of their last nine there. They lost just once during that period, and that was in a game where they were reduced to 10 men.

Preston are 14th in League One, having won just three of their last 16 in that division. Not so long ago they were pushing for promotion to the Premier League, but things aren't as rosy as they once were at Deepdale, and manager, Graham Westley, has a job on his hands to even get them back to the Championship.

On the road, The Lilywhites have won two of their last half dozen, and one of those was against the struggling, Hartlepool. The goals have dried up away from home lately, firing blanks against Leyton Orient and Portsmouth, before managing just a single goal in each of their last two.

Millwall look like a solid pick here to make it through to the fourth round and a 1-0 correct score appeals to me as neither side score that many and two of Millwall's last five at home have finished with the same scoreline. 

Tottenham v Coventry  
Back the draw @ 5.8 (24/5)  
Back 'Yes' in the both teams to score market @ 2.05 (21/20)  

It's a repeat of the 1987 cup final here and I fancy Coventry to pull off another shock and snatch a draw at White Hart Lane.

Spurs are in fine form at present, third in the league after winning seven of their last nine. After being held by Stoke just before Christmas, they have gone on to pick up maximum points over the festive period, with six of them coming away from home.

AVB got off to a somewhat sluggish start during his initial games at the Lane. Tottenham won just two of their opening half dozen, losing to Chelsea and Wigan and being held by West Brom and Norwich. Since then they've won four of their next five, but they can look a touch shaky at times, especially if the manager persists with William Gallas in the middle.

Coventry got off to an abysmal start in League One, but since Mark Robins was appointed manager, they have flown up the table. They suffered a shock home defeat to Shrewsbury on New Year's Day, but before that they'd lost just one of 14 in all competitions, winning 11 of them.

The Sky Blues have had some good cup runs in a recent seasons, with victories at Blackburn and Manchester United being the undoubted highlights. They are scoring for fun at present, especially away, as they have netted three or more in each of their last five, so not only is the draw a bit big at 5.8 (24/5), both teams to score is huge at odds-against.

Recommended Bets
Back Crystal Palace @ 2.87 (15/8)  
Back Over 2.5 goals in Crystal Palace v Stoke @ 2.1 (11/10)  
Back Millwall @ 1.66 (4/6) 
Back Millwall to beat Preston 1-0 @ 6.5 (11/2)  
Back a Tottenham v Coventry draw @ 5.8 (24/5)  
Back 'Yes' in the both teams to score market for Tottenham v Coventry @ 2.05 (21/20)  

Prices are based on our Fixed Odds product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

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January 22, 2012

Champion Hurdle News: Spirit Son suffers new setback

News RSS / / 21 January 2012 / Leave a Comment

Spirit Son could miss the rest of the season.

Spirit Son could miss the rest of the season.

"The work was great, but I fear we've got to take things very carefully..."

Spirit Son's participation in the Champion Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival is in serious doubt after suffering another setback...

The six year-old, rated 159p by Timeform, has not been seen since winning a Grade Two at Aintree last April, and is unlikely to return for the foreseeable future.

Henderson said he could even miss the rest of the season.

He said: "The picture is grey. If you are going to miss two weeks at this point of the game, you are really out of the ball park.

"We had a hiccup with him earlier on (in the season) which cost me three weeks, but this was a new problem.

"I'd rather start next season with a horse in one piece than risk him and lose him for this season and next."

Henderson added: "Everything went great in his gallop the other day but Barry thought that he needed it and we ruled out Ireland (Irish Champion Hurdle)

"But we do have a problem and we will have to monitor it.

"When you have a problem with a good horse it's all over the world before you know it owing to the exchanges.

"The work was great, but I fear we've got to take things very carefully."

Somersby (BSP of [5.8]) finally gained the big victory his consistent efforts deserved when wearing down Finian's Rainbow in the 25th Anniversary of the VC Chase at Ascot......

Betting.Betfair columnist Donald McCain fired in a quartet of winners at Haydock on Saturday......

Paul Nolan's Noble Prince continues his Cheltenham Festival preparations in the Normans Grove Chase at Fairyhouse on Sunday......


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Champion Hurdle News: Spirit Son suffers new setback

News RSS / / 21 January 2012 / Leave a Comment

Spirit Son could miss the rest of the season.

Spirit Son could miss the rest of the season.

"The work was great, but I fear we've got to take things very carefully..."

Spirit Son's participation in the Champion Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival is in serious doubt after suffering another setback...

The six year-old, rated 159p by Timeform, has not been seen since winning a Grade Two at Aintree last April, and is unlikely to return for the foreseeable future.

Henderson said he could even miss the rest of the season.

He said: "The picture is grey. If you are going to miss two weeks at this point of the game, you are really out of the ball park.

"We had a hiccup with him earlier on (in the season) which cost me three weeks, but this was a new problem.

"I'd rather start next season with a horse in one piece than risk him and lose him for this season and next."

Henderson added: "Everything went great in his gallop the other day but Barry thought that he needed it and we ruled out Ireland (Irish Champion Hurdle)

"But we do have a problem and we will have to monitor it.

"When you have a problem with a good horse it's all over the world before you know it owing to the exchanges.

"The work was great, but I fear we've got to take things very carefully."

Somersby (BSP of [5.8]) finally gained the big victory his consistent efforts deserved when wearing down Finian's Rainbow in the 25th Anniversary of the VC Chase at Ascot......

Betting.Betfair columnist Donald McCain fired in a quartet of winners at Haydock on Saturday......

Paul Nolan's Noble Prince continues his Cheltenham Festival preparations in the Normans Grove Chase at Fairyhouse on Sunday......


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May 27, 2011

Timeform Radio Racing Tips: Warrior spirit

Timeform Radio Tip RSS / Stephen Molyneux / 26 May 2011 / Leave a Comment

Stephen's backing Guilded Warrior to show some fight at Folkestone

Stephen's backing Guilded Warrior to show some fight at Folkestone

"Captain Kolo should take some beating at current odds of [3.45] in the 15:20 at Ayr."

All eyes will rightly be on Workforce tonight as he makes his eagerly awaited comeback but there are three afternoon meetings to plough our way through first and Stephen Molyneux has a couple of bets to keep an eye on.

Front-runners can be very difficult to peg back at Folkestone and Guilded Warrior looks the one to be on at [4.0] in the 17:00. Both his runs this year have contained plenty of promise, going with all his usual zest at Ffos Las last time and finding plenty, no disgrace in finishing third behind Zebrano and Tariq Too, the latter a winner next time. He has actually been dropped 1lb for that which leaves him on a mark 2 lb lower than when successful at Windsor last June and he should be able to dominate this small field.

Captain Kolo only went down narrowly at Thirsk on Monday and as long as this doesn't come too soon, he should take some beating at current odds of [3.45] in the 15:20 at Ayr. The step up to 6f was the catalyst for his return to form that day and with doubts about several of his rivals regards either ground or trip, it will be disappointing if he doesn't go close.

I also came close to suggesting Lauberhorn as a bet at [7.2] in the 14:40 at Brighton. There are only three runners, all of whom are usually held up, but he seems by far the most straightforward of the trio and most in need of a stamina test at this trip. Filun and Celestial Girl are undoubtedly in good form at present but the former needs producing with exact timing whilst the latter hung away her chance at this course last time.

If Kieran Fallon decides to take the bull by the horns on Lauberhorn and make it a good test, then he could easily run the sting out of his rivals, and as such I will be waiting to see how things pan out in the first couple of furlongs, prepared even to take a point or two shorter if he is soon out in front.

Recommended Bets
Back Guilded Warrior @ [4.0] in the 17:00 at Folkestone
Back Captain Kolo @ [3.45] in the 15:20 at Ayr

Terry Norman turns his attention north of the border for a promising Tuesday afternoon runner......

In a world where many commentators claim to tell it like it is, Graham Cunningham is the genuine article. If there's little to bet on, he won't fudge. But will today's selection run the run like our man walks the walk?...

Rory Delargy is the Timeform Radio pundit on Monday for afternoon racing at Leicester and Carlisle but it's the evening fare at Windsor that is catching his eye...


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February 26, 2011

Timeform Daily: National Spirit Hurdle, Sunday, Fontwell 15:45

Race of the Day RSS / Timeform / 26 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Celestial Halo looked more like his old self last time

Celestial Halo looked more like his old self last time

"Celestial Halo and Karabak look the pair to focus on."

Celestial Halo looked back to himself when going down narrowly to Mille Chief in the Kingwell at Wincanton last time and is turned out quickly to make amends in the National Spirit at Fontwell. But he faces stiff opposition in the shape of Karabak amongst others....

Karabak deservedly regained winning thread in 2½m Relkeel hurdle at Cheltenham in December. Over 3 lengths behind Celestial Halo back at that venue since, though, and meets him on same terms here.

Trenchant is smart on his day, keeping on dourly when landing this race on heavy ground last year, but meets tougher opposition this time round and lack of a recent run probably no help.

Celestial Halo finished in front of Karabak when third over this trip at Cheltenham in December. As good as ever when going down fighting in Kingwell Hurdle last weekend and the one to beat if in a similar mood here.

Sentry Duty showed smart form when easily landing a 2½m event at Cheltenham 13 months ago. Never able to land a blow behind a few of these on return to hurdling in December, but place claims if back to best.

Afsoun was a very smart hurdler in his prime, third in 2007 Champion Hurdle. Become temperamental since, however, and hard to see him matching his third in this race last year.

Black Jack Blues made all when landing a 2m Ffos Las handicap in October. Stays this far and ran to a similar level when chasing home Oscar Whiskey in Welsh Champion Hurdle at that venue recently.

Tarkari is a rare improver since leaving Willie Mullins, excelling himself when not far behind Black Jack Blues in Welsh Champion Hurdle recently, but needs to raise his game again back up in trip.

Warne's Way is hard to predict, but back to best when winning a couple of handicaps this season (including here). Poor effort last time, though, and biting off more than he can chew in this exalted company.

Timeform 1-2-3
1. Celestial Halo
2. Karabak
3. Sentry Duty

Timeform's View: Celestial Halo and Karabak look the pair to focus on, with the former taken to confirm his most recent superiority over his old rival after going with all his old zest at Wincanton last week.

Celestial Halo looked back to himself when going down narrowly to Mille Chief in the Kingwell at Wincanton last time and is turned out quickly to make amends in the National Spirit at Fontwell. But he faces stiff opposition in the shape of Karabak amongst others.......

Timeform go through the field for Saturday's showpiece......

Timeform run the rule over this 13-runner handicap hurdle......


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