Home And Away: Clean sheet specialists Brescia to win again

Daily Tipping / Jonno Turner / 05 March 2012 / Leave a Comment

Swiss left back Fabio Daprela forms part of Brescia's formidable backline

Jonno Turner is backing Brescia and 1860 Munich to prevail in second-tier action on the continent this evening...

It's that time of the week again where we look to turn this miserable Monday into a money-making one, and we are focussing on the 2. Bundesliga for our first tip, as 1860 Munich welcome St Pauli to the Allianz Arena.

The hosts have been going well this season, and are a particularly formidable outfit on their own patch, where they have won their last four consecutive league outings - and in some style, too.

Nine goals scored - and just two conceded - in that time has lifted Reiner Maurer's side to sixth in the table, and they will be keen to ramp up the pressure on the top five with a win against fifth-placed St Pauli in this one.

The visitors have enjoyed some excellent results so far this campaign, and an autumn mini run of four straight wins away from home saw them secure their status at the right end of the table, but Andre Schubert's side have suffered with a bit of travel sickness of late, and go into this tie having won just one of their last four on the road.

Der Freibeuter are still in a great position as we reach the business end of the season, but just three wins in their last seven league games indicate that the wheels could be coming off down at the Millerntor Stadion, and the pressure is on Schubert's men to avoid a defeat in this tie.

1860 Munich have won their last eight home games against St Pauli, and I think that - all things considered - this one has home win written all over it.

Bet 1: 1860 Munich (HOME) to win @ [2.5]

Over to Italy now, where struggling Gubbio will be aiming to earn just their second win in seven as they host in-form Brescia at the Stadio Pietro Barbetti.

Il Lupi have struggled in their first season back in Serie B for 64 years, and coach Luigi Simoni has seen his side lose four of their last six league games.

The hosts have been saved by their home form this campaign, but even that is beginning to waiver now, and just three wins from seven in front of their fans has seen the Umbrians fall to 18th in the table, a relegation play-out place.

Brescia, meanwhile, travel to Umbria on an unbeaten trot of nine games, in which they have won seven and drawn two.

And Alessandro Calori's side have one of the best away records in the league, without a loss in six away from the Stadio Mario Rigamonti, they have won their last four on their travels.

Much of the visitors' strength lies in their excellent defensive quality, and they have not conceded a single goal in a whopping nine games. That's over 810 minutes without a breach, an impressive stat at any level.

A win for Calori's side will put them back in touch with the play-offs, and I think that they'll do the business in Umbria this evening.

Bet 2: Brescia (AWAY) to win @ [2.68]

Levante welcome Real Betis to town in tonight's La Liga offering over in Spain. The odds suggest it will be a low scoring affair but the home side's last three matches have seen 17 goals fly in. Paul Robinson talks...

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Find Me a 100 Winner: Two Florida specialists for PGA National

Find Me A 100 Winner / Paul Krishnamurty / 28 February 2012 / Leave a Comment

Carl Pettersson just loves Florida golf

"Previous stats at PGA National emphasise the importance of a classy short game, and Pettersson boasts impressive numbers for both scrambling and putting average."

Florida golf suits some golfers more than others and this pair of selections have excelled in the Sunshine State previously, making them value picks at huge prices for Paul Krishnamurty

As the PGA Tour begins it's annual 'Florida Swing', the name of the game is searching out those players with form in the Sunshine State. Largely because of the tricky Bermuda greens, some players never seem to produce their best results here, while equally there are plenty who view it as a better opportunity than usual. Both of this week's picks are proven Florida winners.

With four PGA Tour titles to his name, including the 2005 Chrysler Championship at nearby Westin Innisbrook, Carl Pettersson has a better win ratio than most and is therefore always worth keeping an eye on when available at triple-figure prices. He's in solid form, having made his last 12 cuts, including three top-five finishes, most recently when runner-up at the Sony Open. Previous stats at PGA National emphasise the importance of a classy short game, and Pettersson boasts impressive numbers for both scrambling and putting average.

Secondly, I see Steve Rawlings has already put up Stephen Ames, and I wholeheartedly agree. Odds of [300.0] are enormous about a proven Florida specialist, so get on quickly before they disappear.

Three of Ames' four PGA titles came in Florida, where he played college golf, and though it's been a couple of years since he produced his very best, top-25s on two of his last three starts reads well enough. As Steve points out, wind is often a factor around PGA National and Ames is renowned for enjoying his golf when it does.

The trading plan is to lay out three units on this pair, then place a couple of lay orders at [15.0] and [3.0] on each, banking a minimum profit of seven units if any are hit.

Recommended Bets
2u Carl Pettersson @ [140.0]
1u Stephen Ames @ [300.0]

Place order to lay 10u @ [15.0]
Place order to lay 20u @ [3.0]

Updated 2012 Stats: +65u

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World Snooker Daily Tips: Crucible specialists set for marathon

World Snooker Championship Betting / Paul Krishnamurty / 21 April 2011 / Leave a Comment

Graeme Dott has a slightly better Crucible record than his opponent

"Odds of [1.9] about over 22.5 frames looks an outstanding bet."

As two World Championship heavyweights face off in the second round, Paul Krishnamurty explains why there's more to betting on snooker than picking winners...

As the betting indicates, there's nothing to choose between Ali Carter and Graeme Dott in Friday morning's second round encounter, which means the best strategy may be to focus on markets that don't involve picking the match winner.

Both men have an abundance of Crucible credentials, with Dott boasting a very slight edge. The Scot won the title in 2006, and has twice lost the final, including last year to Neil Robertson. Carter has only reached one final here, losing to Ronnie O'Sullivan in 2007, but has played some of his very best snooker in the last four renewals, also falling victim to Robbo in last year's semi, and losing a classic 2006 quarter-final to Mark Selby. Both men registered solid, if unspectacular, first round victories that were typical of their prowess against inferior opposition.

It all points to a photo-finish, as we so often see in these best of 25 matches at the Crucible. In the past two World Championships, 15 out of 24 matches over this distance went to 13-10 or closer - a telling statistic considering that many of these matches involved very one-sided betting, as opposed to this virtual even money split. Indeed, given those stats and the difficulty in choosing a favourite, [1.9] about over 22.5 frames looks an outstanding bet.

Recommended Bet
Ali Carter v Graeme Dott Total Frames - Over 22.5 @ [1.8]

Paul Krishnamurty doesn't anticipate any problems for the two time World Champion against Jamie Cope......

Martin Gould is an improved player and he could be set to shock Marco Fu at the Crucible, says Paul Krishnamurty....

Here it is, the match Paul Krishnamurty has been waiting for, Ricky Walden versus Rory McLeod! Why? Well it's a must-win tie for one and that makes for a top betting opportunity...

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