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Darrell Williams / 07 March 2012 /
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It's trap five for Darrell in the big one
"Sids Dream could hardly have taken to this track any better, has the speed to lead which could prove decisive and is probably still improving"
Swindon's Arc final - live on Sky Sports on Thursday night - looks an absolute belter and it's possible to argue a case for almost the entire field, but track-record holder Sids Dream may just prove too speedy says Darrell Williams.
21:45 Arc final
T1 King Jaffa
Early paced railer who can prove hard to dislodge on the bunny. Has beaten both Sids Dream and Jazz Apollo in this event and in the best form of his career.
T2 Ballymac Cryan
Lightly raced youngster who has improved throughout the event following a two month layoff. Draw between two speedier types is of some concern.
T3 Jazz Apollo
Ante post favourite has endured a rough ride in the event so far. Very unlucky not to win semi-final and has a big run in him given the opportunity. Worthy of a saver.
T4 Droopys Loner
2011 Oaks finalist and an ultra consistent bitch who wins plenty of races, but will need everything to go right from a tricky berth.
T5 Sids Dream
Could hardly have taken to this track any better, breaking the clock in the quarter-finals and almost repeating it in the semis. Has the speed to lead, which could prove decisive and is probably still improving.
T6 Mays Gold
Outsider of the field looks up against it and has yet to strike in five races here.
Verdict:
A terrific final in which a case can be argued for almost all the runners. Strong running Jazz Apollo has enjoyed little luck in the event so far and would be a big player if getting anything like a clear run. King Jaffa has beaten both the principals and comes here in peak form, but probably needs a flyer, as does Droopys Loner, while Ballymac Cryan is improving rapidly. But given the likelihood of an early lead, track-record holder Sids Dream is the one to side with.
19:40 509m
A trappy heat with Ding Hero earning a tentative vote to frank his narrow CD win over veteran course specialist Burwood Freddie. Arc semi-finalist Bit View Micko is another to consider.
20:00 737m
Hard to call between Penskey Rain and Wise Totty, with the latter a regular winner here over 685m just preferred to last year's Leger fifth, but a reverse forecast might be the best option.
20:15 285m
Prolific winning Lil Risky, despite a previous look round, remains the one to beat having looked back to his best in recent starts. Back to form Dynamo Joe rates a viable alternative.
20:35 685m
Ballymac Pet is building a solid reputation over six bends and rates the night's best bet after an easy win on her CD debut last week.
20:50 480m
Excellent Juvenile runner-up Go Go Sonic may find it tougher drawn inside speedy Droopys Lorenzo. Classy Longwood Fantasy will be ready to take advantage.
21:10 737m
A Golden Jacket final re-match between Blue Bee and Lottes Girl with the former, still improving after season, narrowly preferred.
21:25 509m
A high class affair with Arc casualties Mark My Words, Sawpit Sensation and Longwood Days all more than capable, but Westmead Adonis, who can't stop winning races, can prove best.
Recommended Bets
Ballymac Pet 20:35
Longwood Fantasy 20:50
Westmead Adonis 21:25
Sids Dream 21:45
Wise Totty/Penskey Rain (Reverse forecast) 20:00
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